Was willing to raise rates in march. The minutes show that some other participants indicated an increase in the target range at the committees next meeting might be appropriate if the incoming data remains consistent with their expectations. In march, the majority was not convinced with the number of participants judging that foreign headwinds would subside only slowly and several expressing the view that raising the target range as an is april would signal a sense of urgency that they did not think was a appropriate. Call, if notougher in april, in june. While members agreed that the path of rates would be lower Going Forward than they had anticipated in december, the committee was divided over whether the recent increasing inflation weve seen will be sustained. They are divided over whether the economy is approaching full employment. Feds Charlie Evans told us this week that the markets may not be pricing in enough fed moves this year. You read the minutes today, you think you might be right. The last time the fed has been this divided over how to even project and message to the market a message to the market . September ofack to last year when they started talking about raising rates and did not do it, when we saw the taper tantrum when the fed suggested perhaps they were going to do something and did not. When you get to turning points, there are a lot of viewpoints thatow, it seems its him have become more emboldened to offer their opinions. The fed seems more emboldened to offer their opinions. You have the opportunity at the april and june meetings that ybe more than one person will vote for increase. What they are looking at is the impact in areas that are affected by global headwinds, primarily manufacturing. This was in the middle of march. Manufacturing has slowed in the first quarter, the dollar was taking a bite out of it, as was lower for in demand. While they felt that would slowly diminish in u. S. Economy had been resilient, it would still have some still have impact for some time to come. David stocks here still higher after these minutes have come out. Rami it looks pretty much unchanged, seeing no change whatsoever the past be minutes after the fed minutes came out right there. The highest it has been throughout the entire day, up 1 . The s p still where it has been just before those meetings details were released. We are seeing the reversal of what happened the last two days of pauls, finally breaking that streak. Falls, two days of breaking that streak. We saw the markets taking a leg down, but now, we are just about about flat, up by 6 . Pretty much unchanged leading up to the 2 00 mark there. Dollar, or Interest Rate slide is good for the dollar, and an 18 month low. More Interest Rate slide is good for the dollar, at an 18 month low. Weve been seeing this lower for much of the day, down. 4 . Year to date, it is up by about 15 . Also seeing its best quarter since 1986. Lets move on to oil. Oil also taking a leg up, especially with what happened when we saw that stockpile fall from its highs level in the past eight decades or so. Highest level in the past eight decades or so. The top into the bloomberg. Lets hop into the bloomberg. April,il, looking at traders are pricing in a 0 chance of anything happening there. It is not until december 14 when you see something over the 50 mark. David thank you so much. More reaction and analysis of the minutes. Roberto, welcome. From these notes that we received today, what is your biggest takeaway so far . Roberto the big news was that they discussed in april potential rate hike and concluded that was not appropriate. Hardly anybody in the market will be surprised or shocked by this news. Thes very consistent with dots and the speech that yellen gave last week. The fed wants to raise rates, but want to do it at a very gradual pace. Mike mckee, you are seeing some reaction. Mike you are seeing twoyear yields rise and the dollar gets a bit stronger on the back of the headlines that have come out of these minutes. It does suggest that maybe markets will rethink the idea of how soon the fed will move. They want to raise rates and do it cautiously, the question is, what is cautiously mean . The fed may be more divided than the impression janet yellen ve ve. Minoritya substantial that will not be intent to wait if the economy continues to provide the numbers weve been getting. Lisa what are you looking for to get a better sense of what the fed is looking for globally with respect to china and brazil . What will make them comfortable to rely solely on the strength of the u. S. Economy . Roberto the recent pmi data that came out in march are good and encouraging. They point to a better global picture. The fed has to look at the financial markets. If the fed moves too fast, emerging markets are exposed more than they were in the past too bad policy. There will be turmoil in and the outlook for the u. S. Economy will go down. In thent to see calm market. April is probably not going to happen. David i want to ask about the importance of unanimity there. George was the lone dissenter. How important is it for yellen to preserve that consolidation Going Forward . Present asants to much a united front as she can Going Forward. Who was the other person who wanted to raise rates . Would they be more willing to vote for a rate move at the april or june meetings . You dont want to get more than two. If you get three, her controll d comes under question. It is important that you bring the committee together on a viewpoint. It in marchough because there is no News Conference to get through in april. It will be an interesting discussion in june. Lisa even the front end it seems to be going back to where it was before the minutes were released. You talk about how important it is for the market to be stable for the fed to have confidence to make a move. You think the fed has successfully eliminated their role in the market by saying we are listening to you and looking internationally at the same things you are . Roberto i dont think that is the case. If you look at how much markets have moved during press conferences, theyve moved four times as much as they moved under bernanke e. Bernanke he did not have to raise rates, yellen does. Communication has been a bit volatile. That is the price of wanting to keep the committee as much together as possible. It is good to have unanimity. The price is the story has to change in order to bring around as Many Committee members as possible. The result is a volatile market and the fed has made the calculation that is a good tradeoff to have. Lisa thank you so much. Coming up in one hour, an exclusive interview with James Bullard, president of the san luis fed. Lets get to the first word news. President of the st. Louis fed. Turnout in wisconsin was better than anticipated, 47 , easily beating the 40 predicted by election officials. Turnout was nearly 48 for the election in 1972. Trump at 39 in pennsylvania with ted cruz second at 30 . In third with 24 . On the democratic side, mrs. Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 54 . A yearlong is an sentence for don blake and chip for his role in the deadliest u. S. Mining disaster in four decades. Don blankenship. The blast killed 29 people. He was convicted of conspiracy to violate mine safety standards. An icon of Country Music is that dead. Merle haggards death follows a hospital about hospitalital about julie bout with pneumonia. Global news 24 hours a day, powered by our 2400 journalists in more than 150 news bureaus around the world. India has cuthead Interest Rates to a fiveyear low. Will it improve the Economic Outlook . Christopher of wells fargo joins us. York, ted cruz speaking after touring a Charter School in the bronx. Cruz coming up a big win in wisconsin. Primary looming. Lisa the reserve bank of india cut Interest Rates to the lowest level in five years from 6. 5 6. 5 . 75 to let me ask you to react to what we just heard from the Federal Reserve here. Mike mckee characterizing that meeting as likely and contentious lively and contentious. The meeting is lively and contentious when you try to maintain unanimity. Have ace you pay as you wider variety of opinions you have to accommodate. We do not expect a rate hike this spring. We are only looking for when this whole year. Most likely after the Elections Come december. More if there will be rate hikes than expected, where will the pain be felt in the market . Paul and concerns over how those Interest Rates may turn into headwinds for the overall economy and for manufacturing. Wrip after those minutes came out. Up a bitbility ticked paul, let me ask you about the way you see the fed reconciling the global risk with what weve seen in the u. S. Paul the fed needs to see growth somewhere else in the world. Isthe rest of the world still ticking lower, the fed needs to see stronger growth in the u. S. We dont see stronger growth in the u. S. Feeling any sort of sorts of failing any sort of source of growth lisa the dollar has weakened so much, a gift to the fed. It has allowed inflation to pick up potentially, reducing the pressure on them to some degree. If it continues this way, will it force their hand to raise rates sooner and have a feedback loop . Paul i understand that is a concern. We are probably near the end of what we would think of as dollar weakness. The positioning around the dollar, those have come from tilted in favor of a strong dollar too much more neutral. The Interest Rate differentials probably dont have much further to fall. The further we look outcome of those interest differentials should rise a bit. Dollarstill looking for strength. David the reserve bank of india cutting by 25 basis points. Bloomberg tv talk to the governor of the reserve bank. Every once in a while come asset prices start going back to work minmetals. Every once in a while, asset prices start going back to fundamentals. Says, no, morenk valuation we think this is a stable situation. India is a fastgrowing economy, inflation april problem here talk about the tricking us here. Iness here. Decline ins some confidence around global markets, especially emerging markets. Funds have flowed out of those markets. He still has two consecutive monsoons that have pushed up food prices. Finally, he has some domestic problems like very important nonperforming assets at banks. The banks are finally starting to recognize those nonperforming loans. They have another europe nonperforming loan recognition and a knowledge meant to deal acknowledgment to deal with. Tos cut Interest Rates a bit help the problem along, but much of it is out of his control. Lisa you were talking about the debt in india. Government bonds have gained more than 3 this year. Debt has donets quite well this year. You think investors are not considering adequately the risks that are still there . Has been a relief rally in government debt, especially local currency. Im at you are talking about local currency. That gain would be probably based on the recovery of this currencies against the dollar. The currency move in the credit move are characterized as relief rallies. Their domestic debt issues in china, brazil and russia have to be dealt with. They cannot be dealt with effectively in any shortterm period. You said india can be instructive to investors. Spell it out for us. Paul india has such favorable demographics Going Forward. One in three people in the workforce next 20 years will be an indian resident. That is a powerful potential source of growth. Online Payment Systems have done a remarkable job in bringing spending access and consumption to ordinary indians in cities that dont have credit cards. Eventually to indians in the rural areas. You have Serious Problems they e to deal with an interim in the interim. As interesttal finally, theres the internal problems of what some of the people i talk to in india called problems of execution. Dont need new reform laws, but need better and more efficient ways to implement those laws. David thats Paul Christopher from wells fargo investment institute. Still ahead, more bloomberg after the break Bloomberg Markets after the break. David this is Bloomberg Markets. I first, to motorbikes, 7 , itsavidson down by biggest fall in more than five months. Not one, but two analysts said the motorcycle maker may have lost market share because of its most recent quarter. Retailearch says u. S. Sales may have fallen by about 7 . Longbow research is pointing to an indian brand, polaris industries. Havere good quarter make their good quarter make have harleys quarter. Disappointing guidance weighing on casino stocks. Out of las vegas, revenues are expected to be flat. The homemaker seeing its biggest jump in about a month come up by nearly 2. 5 here. Barclays upgraded the stock to equal weight from underweight. Recent underperformance from shares is a recent thats a reason to buy. David oil having its best day in three weeks. Thank you. Ordering chinese food is a very predictable experience. I order b14. I get b14. No surprises. Buying business internet, on the other hand, can be a roller coaster White Knuckle thrill ride. Youre promised one speed. But do you consistently get it . You do with comcast business. Its reliable. Just like kung pao fish. Thank you, ping. Reliably fast internet starts at 59. 95 a month. Comcast business. Built for business. Youto get the help yourefar looking for. Thats why at xfinity were opening up more stores closer to you. Where you can use all of our latest products and technology. And find out how to get the most out of your service. So when you get home, all you have to do is enjoy it. Were doing everything we can to give you the best experience possible. Because we should fit into your life. Not the other way around. David this is Bloomberg Markets. Lisa lets get a check of the bloomberg first word news this hour. Mark Hillary Clinton has unleashed a new round of attacks against rival Bernie Sanders after a string of primary defeats come including last night in wisconsin. Mrs. Clinton is questioning senator sanders on his truthfulness, readiness and ties to the democratic party. Top Campaign Advisers to john kasich plan to meet with gop activists in washington. The only contest the Ohio Governor has won so far was in his home state. Homeland security secretary j johnson countered recent calls for surveyed american muslims. Bridges of dialogue need to be american muslim communities are as diverse as christianity and arent driven into the shadows. Efforts to vilify and isolate torican muslims are counter our Homeland Security interests and counter to our National Security interests given the nature of the global terrorist threat. Mark he praised congress for providing 10 million in this years budget to home and security. Global news 24 hours a day, powered by our 2400 journalists in more than 150 news bureaus around the world. Im mark crumpton. David Commodity Markets closing in new york. Lets look at the days biggest movers, starting with gold. Minutes from the Federal Reserve showing that policymakers debated an Interest Rate hike in april. Bestrude reporting its 37. 33 aeeks, around barrel. A chart showing the correlation between price of west texas intermediate crude and Energy Stocks here. Wti in the white. Blue, the world index world energy index. 838. V they are trading derivatives, namely energy futures. Theres been a host of new rules aimed at making these safer. Welcome, craig peered is the Financial System more fragile . Craig i dont think its more fragile, but the fragility has been transferred. Weve gone through a lot of regulations theyve relocated the fragility. Post when you look at regulation hast caused the most change . Craig that the mandates for derivatives have been the biggest in terms of compliance burden on Market Participants and implications for stomach risk. Risk. Systemic lisa the Biggest Exchange transaction in europe, they are arguing against having a too big to fail moniker. You think the combined entity uld be too big to fail . Craig the individual entities are too big to fail, so the combined entity would be too big to fail. Lisa there was a story today about how the committee came out and proposed a way for banks to atone for derivatives. Require them to hold less capital against their derivative partly because of what they have to post with the clearinghouses. Do you think in general there is enough collaborative enough collateral being posted . Craig collateral is exactly the way risk has been transferred. It has made it derivatives transactions and safer, but other Bank Activities less safe. The other important thing about collateral, during times of a crisis, there will be huge margin costs. That will put tremendous liquidity strains on the system. That makesis a way some transactions and safer and other transactions less safe. On that, it is hard to say whether weve improved things or not. Lisa which transactions have become less safe . Craig what collateral and other does t clearings somebody else gets moved back in line. It could be that those are systemically important entities as well. The main effect here is to redistribute risk, not necessarily to reduce it. David on the process of room , theng rule writing committee saying it is carefully considering what the industry has to say. When i was in washington after dodd frank was passed, how long the lines seemed to be in terms of all the comments that were made, all the letters the regulators had to get throug