Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg West 20160929 : vimarsan

Mark im mark crumpton. Lets check with your first word news. I72 to 26 vote, the u. S. Senate passed a 10 week stopgap measure to ensure no lapse in government spending, funding democrats wanted to address the water crisis in flint, michigan, will be handled in a separate water bill. The house could pass it tonight. , kratz joined with republicans to and president obamas first veto override. Both house and senate voted overwhelmingly to allow families a 9 11 victory 9 11 victims to sue saudi arabia for its alleged backing of the attackers. The president has argued it could open the u. S. To lawsuits around the world. Bernie sanders and Hillary Clinton made joint appearances at the university of new hampshire. Sanders called clintons plan to provide Free College Tuition to middleclass families revolutionary. Senator sanders i want young people to leave schools excited about the future, the new businesses they will open up, getting married, having kids, buying a house, not being saddled with tens of thousands of dollars in student debt. Mark clinton is struggling to win over the millennials who supported sanderscampaign. A dutch investigation implicates russia and the downing of a malaysian passenger jet over lewd over ukraine two years ago. Im mark crumpton. Bloomberg west is next. Emily im emily chang and this is bloomberg west. Its the end of an era blackberry is powering down its own business. We will take a look at what is next. Plus the future of mobility from Battery Power to self driving cars, we will hear from ford ceo, mark shield ahead. And to veterans dealmakers, we will talk about what is driving acquisitions and buyouts in the Tech Industry today. The end of an era for smartphones blackberry has said it will stop making the handsets that were once so addictive that we called them crack berries. Shares surging 5 on the news. The company struck up a deal with an Indonesian Company to distribute blackberry devices running on blackberry secure software. The move comes three years after the ceo, john chen took over and outsourced manufacturing to foxconn. We asked him if he feels this is the end of an era. John the end of an era is a wrong thing to think about. A lot of our competitors, they have their phones built overseas by foxconn and other people in china, and it has been a traditional thing about how people will manufacture your phone. What i did was take it one step rather to let them design hardware one step further to let them design the hardware. They want to do their own local content. I make it a win win proposition because of what their desire is. I always tell people the smartphone of the future is about the far is about the smart, not the phone. If the people focus on the physical phone, they might be missing the big equation. Its smart about application and smart about ai. Its smart about personalization, decisionmaking. It is really about that. We are focusing on doubling down on those in my opinion is its the start of a new chapter, rather than the end of an era. Emily do i hear you saying other smart phone makers will have to stop making smartphone hardware as well . If so, who . John when any market matures, it is more about integration. In the past, when you saw the phone company, even Like Research in motion, we have service lines, we build every devices, every screw and toolset and so forth. Nowadays, those are done by outside vendors, but they do it very well. We take it one step further and say you have the ability to design the phone on the hardware side. We will control design on the software and license that to you. That is what we have been doing. My prediction in this market, only a handful of very large volume players could do the complete integration, including design of the hardware. Emily how much revenue do you think these licensing deals will bring in . Are we talking revenue in the tens or hundreds of millions of dollars . John i will give you a number and you do the math. Just in indonesia, last year, they sold 33 million phones. The indonesian market. Obviously, i cannot grab everything will phone but you can figure out what a Large Telecom would be a ball to sell. Emily how close are you to another licensing deal with china . John i told everybody that is not a guarantee. The negotiations are quite complex. We are at a very late stage, so i hope sometime in the next six months, we will have something we can celebrate. Emily blackberry trading at two to four times will this change now that you have made this decision . John i believe so but the market is also looking for the proof. As we start seeing traction and revenue coming from this part of the equation, then i think people will start seriously looking at it. Emily why should customers choose your software over microsoft or ibm, especially now that you are not making your own phones anymore . John its the most secure and the most complete. If you look at the latest gartner report, they measure mobile security, they have six critical items or factors. We are number one in all six of six. Emily blackberry ceo, john chen there. Cory johnson is in new york today. What do you think is the significance of this news . Mark it is significance in terms of finally being in balance. Blackberry has not done much in the software the hardware or tablet space, but now they are telling officials this is where we are going. Were going all in on our Security Software and messaging platform. We are done on smartphone hardware where we are losing so much money. Emily is this a moneymaking venture for blackberry . Cory when Tech Companies blowup, the blowup over inventories. This move away from the manufacturing, whether they jumped or they were pushed, its hard to say. I want to show you to charts. The number of like berries sold compared to revenues. Even before they stopped making it, the white wine gets smaller and smaller and smaller. But notice the revenues remain steady. After the initial collapse of this business, 2011, 2012 and even 2014, revenues stabilize so that the sale of the phone is not so important. The yellow line is days of inventory. How many days of inventory do they have stacked on the shelves . The other line is the stock price. We can annotate that quickly. Not all of the time, but some of the time, when the inventory spikes, suddenly the stock is about to collapse. It happened there and here briefly. You can see those numbers where the inventory spikes and the stock collapses. Thats not going to be a problem anymore because inventory in the world of software doesnt happen like it does in hardware where you can create a problem even when the business is tailing off. John chen gave us a few hints there and told us to do the emily john chen gave us a few his there and told us to do the math. Mark they only have one partner lockdown indonesia. Indonesia has a big opportunity in the year to come but how big the market is now, is not substantial enough to bring blackberry into the green where it was five years ago. In terms of software and services, this allows them to put all of their eggs in that basket and grow that business. Emily how optimistic are you about blackberrys Software Business . Cory im generally optimistic anyway, but heres this story there was a time not too long ago when blackberry and nokia were dominant companies in mobile phones. Quickly, Technology Changes and that goes away. The same is true in software. The stickiness of software is not to be taken lightly. They stay with the oracle database for decades, but the same is true with security and email and that is blackberrys strength. There is still blackberry enterprise even if youre not carrying around a blackberry as an enterprise. Emily could this turnaround rock very ultimately or is it unclear . Mark it is possible if they focus on that and take the new microsoft approach and put all of their software everywhere. Right now, they are compatible with an Android Version of blackberry. Imagine if they put all of their email apps and refresh them for the iphone and on android not running blackberry and the web and all of those platforms and restructured the company around that and shut all the divisions related to the hardware and focus on that. They could become a big software player, but they need to reboot like a startup and leverage that blackberry brand name. Even forget about the licensing deal. It doesnt add much. Emily we will be watching. Our Consumer Tech reporter and cory johnson in new york, thank you both. Apple is moving its london headquarters to the south bank of the river thames. The tech giant will be the Largest Office tenant of the former power station with 1400 employees across six floors. The move wont happen until 21, when the project is complete. Argentina has just crowned its first tech billionaire. Those details ahead. Looking ahead to the start of trade in asia, shares up after the company doubled its outlook, saying growth in storage devices was boosting the forecast. This is bloomberg. Emily california will focus on building more electrical vehicle charging stations to reach its mandate for zero emission autos. It might avoid tougher emission goals pushed by environmental groups. California has 10 of the station it will need in four years. Fleet of autonomous electric cars could put off stiffer regulations for 2025. Volkswagon is laying out a bold plan to ring electric vehicles to the masses. The Company Plans dozens of new models with unprecedented driving ranges. They hope to pivot away from diesel. The move comes one year after the omissions scandal rocked the german automaker. Ford out with more details on its plan for auto electrification. The ceo stop by the Bloomberg Markets most influential summit. We are thinking about this holistically. Not lets just have an Autonomous Vehicle. We are going to available full level four, fully Autonomous Vehicle in 2021 in either a ridesharing service. But we also think about mobility and how do people get around in big cities . We are asking cities what are your transportation and congestion is choose and what assets can we bring with ford . Emily that was mark shields, ceo of ford motor company. Argentina is on its way to becoming a major tech hub. The countries leading the cart leading the continent as far as tech unicorns are concerned. Oasting multiple unicorns one company leading the charge translates to free market. Its latin americas Largest Online marketplace. Here to tell us about the nations first tech billionaire is tom metcalfe. Shares have been on a tear. This is basically like the ebay of argentina. Tom it is a clone of ebay. He thought ebay was a great is this model and transferred it to his home continent. Emily what is this guy like . Tom hes described as a mystery man. Hes obviously influential in argentinas tech scene. He keeps to the sidelines and is is difficult to see him as opposed to how it is with founders of american companies. He is pretty low profile. Emily they also have operations in venezuela which is one of the toughest markets to operate in. Hows the company doing . Tom if you look at the Companies Across south america, some of the world hardest markets, venezuela being hyperinflationary. Every quarter, they will run down assets in that country. They are taking hits in currency to valuation and thats where the benefit of being diversified across the continent is. As venezuela goes down, you have you have brazil and argentina. Emily where are they looking to expand . Tom i think they are sticking to the continent focused on diversifying products. Ebay had paypal and now they are moving into distribution and classifieds. It is more dominating latin america rather than looking up to america where you have big competition. Emily i touched on argentinas tech scene but tell us what it is really like. Tom they are pretty confident it is going to be one of the globes big success stories. They are not aiming to emulate Silicon Valley and look for the next google. Its more like what are the companies that will work well on the continent. In terms of outsourcing, thats another egg thing. Thats another big thing. Emily we will keep our eye on the billionaire mystery man. Thank you so much. Japan has the secondlargest music market in the world but 80 of sales go to physical formats like cds. How spotify is planning to change that, next. This is bloomberg. Emily music streaming giant spotify is reportedly in advance talks to buy soundcloud. Just this month, spotify announced it hit 40 million paying subscribers compared to apple musics 17 million. Soundcloud launched its own paid streaming service just a few months back. Spotify is finally making a move into the secondlargest movie secondlargest music market. Spotify japan launched, going headtohead to head with google play and apple music. Joining me for more details is Eugene Nakamura in tokyo. Theyve had an office in tokyo for 18 months. Yet apple, google, and line eat them to the punch. How much will not having first mover advantage hurt them here . Eugene golden eugene they are definitely coming late to the party. More than a year late. Streaming was a new thing. Everyone has already tried it. Whether its a free trial version from apple or line, people know what it is an a lot of people just did not sign up for it. The thing that separate spotify and the reason they were so late is spotify has a free tear. If you listen to ads, you can listen to the music. This is something that apple, line, google do not provide. So this is their advantage. Frankly, the people ive talked to, the analysts think it has a pretty good chance, probably a better chance than apple did. When apple came on, iphones are very popular. Iphones your makeup more than half of the sales. So everyone has their free three month trial of apple music the Conversion Rate was pretty low. Only about 5 became paying users. Apple made some inroads, but not really. This is where spotify has a chance. Its not a free three month trial, it is free forever. The biggest competitor is youtube. If you like a song, you can probably go to youtube and listen to it for free if you dont money has maybe with into listeningdont mind to an ad. If you dont mind the ads, you can listen to pretty much any song you want. This is why people think it has a good chance of. Emily tell us about japans music market. 80 of sales are still on physical formats like cds . Eugene its actually the opposite of the u. S. In the u. S. , its only 30 . In japan, 84 was still physical last year. It is a very big market, the worlds secondbiggest music market after the u. S. Its not that japan hasnt embraced digital. Japan had the lead over the rest of the world when it came to cell phones about a decade ago. Before smartphones came out. Back then, i could on my old future phone, i could download music directly onto the phone. They had a pretty strong ecosystem it was doing about a billion dollars, but today its down to 400 million. The big reason is the iphone did not have very good features early on. Ringtones and stuff like that was not very strongly supported. You could not download songs directly to your iphone at first, so that decimated the Digital Music industry here. The country still loves cds and cd sales to cover large percentage of sales, but they have been going down. In 2002, with the peak of the industry, they made about five made about 5 billion in sales. They realize cd sales are not sustainable and thats why Companies Like sony that have finally embrace streaming this is why i think spotify took so long to negotiate this contract and why they are here. We will see whether cds stay strong or not. Emily japan, a very significant new market. We will see where they go next. Walmart is in advanced talks to advance as much as a billion vest as much as a billion dollars in indias flip card. Its lead is under assault by amazon. Indias next big retail prize any Online Market is expected to grow 45 every year until 2020. Coming up, our weekly investing long table. Hey hows it going, hotcakes . Hotcakes. This place has hotcakes. So why arent they selling like hotcakes . With comcast Business Internet and wifi pro, they could be. Just add a customized message to your wifi pro splash page and youll reach your customers where their eyes are already on their devices. Order up. Its more than just wifi, it can help grow your business. You dont see that every day. Introducing wifi pro, wifi that helps grow your business. Comcast business. Built for business. Itie the aussie in the ring have enjoyed a at a threeweek high with Energy Shares jump in the most in six months. Markets were surprised by saudi arabia. One of koreas largest corruption investigations after a court rejected the arrest one for the [indiscernible] lotte group has been under investigation for more than a year. Senior members question about. Orruption are an export boom helping vietnams export growth. 6. 4 from a year earlier. It is being believed by stronger credit demand, a recovery in agriculture following a crippling doubt. Crippling drought. This is bloomberg. Lets get the latest from the markets with juliette. Juliette it is not often that we get surprised of side. We have seen quite a lot of dying coming through. The surprise agreement in algiers. The nikkei coming back online, up 1. 4 , holding onto those gains from the morning session. Trading dividends back at the normal prices today. The yen weakening. A good day for export stocks as well. A good gain in china as well. Up. 6 . As you would expect, the stock markets the do have a lot of Energy Exposure doing very well pinned the hen saying up the hang seng up 1. 5 . Some of the bigger players like origin and santos also doing very well. Byiland has come online, up. 9 in the first hour of trade. Comingid conviction through from Southeast Asia as well as the new Zealand Market today. Taiwans market resuming trade for the first time this week following the typhoon. It is up by nine point up by. 9 . Opec coming through in some of those commoditybased currencies. The Hillary Clinton<\/a> made joint appearances at the university of new hampshire. Sanders called clintons plan to provide Free College Tuition<\/a> to middleclass families revolutionary. Senator sanders i want young people to leave schools excited about the future, the new businesses they will open up, getting married, having kids, buying a house, not being saddled with tens of thousands of dollars in student debt. Mark clinton is struggling to win over the millennials who supported sanderscampaign. A dutch investigation implicates russia and the downing of a malaysian passenger jet over lewd over ukraine two years ago. Im mark crumpton. Bloomberg west is next. Emily im emily chang and this is bloomberg west. Its the end of an era blackberry is powering down its own business. We will take a look at what is next. Plus the future of mobility from Battery Power<\/a> to self driving cars, we will hear from ford ceo, mark shield ahead. And to veterans dealmakers, we will talk about what is driving acquisitions and buyouts in the Tech Industry<\/a> today. The end of an era for smartphones blackberry has said it will stop making the handsets that were once so addictive that we called them crack berries. Shares surging 5 on the news. The company struck up a deal with an Indonesian Company<\/a> to distribute blackberry devices running on blackberry secure software. The move comes three years after the ceo, john chen took over and outsourced manufacturing to foxconn. We asked him if he feels this is the end of an era. John the end of an era is a wrong thing to think about. A lot of our competitors, they have their phones built overseas by foxconn and other people in china, and it has been a traditional thing about how people will manufacture your phone. What i did was take it one step rather to let them design hardware one step further to let them design the hardware. They want to do their own local content. I make it a win win proposition because of what their desire is. I always tell people the smartphone of the future is about the far is about the smart, not the phone. If the people focus on the physical phone, they might be missing the big equation. Its smart about application and smart about ai. Its smart about personalization, decisionmaking. It is really about that. We are focusing on doubling down on those in my opinion is its the start of a new chapter, rather than the end of an era. Emily do i hear you saying other smart phone makers will have to stop making smartphone hardware as well . If so, who . John when any market matures, it is more about integration. In the past, when you saw the phone company, even Like Research<\/a> in motion, we have service lines, we build every devices, every screw and toolset and so forth. Nowadays, those are done by outside vendors, but they do it very well. We take it one step further and say you have the ability to design the phone on the hardware side. We will control design on the software and license that to you. That is what we have been doing. My prediction in this market, only a handful of very large volume players could do the complete integration, including design of the hardware. Emily how much revenue do you think these licensing deals will bring in . Are we talking revenue in the tens or hundreds of millions of dollars . John i will give you a number and you do the math. Just in indonesia, last year, they sold 33 million phones. The indonesian market. Obviously, i cannot grab everything will phone but you can figure out what a Large Telecom<\/a> would be a ball to sell. Emily how close are you to another licensing deal with china . John i told everybody that is not a guarantee. The negotiations are quite complex. We are at a very late stage, so i hope sometime in the next six months, we will have something we can celebrate. Emily blackberry trading at two to four times will this change now that you have made this decision . John i believe so but the market is also looking for the proof. As we start seeing traction and revenue coming from this part of the equation, then i think people will start seriously looking at it. Emily why should customers choose your software over microsoft or ibm, especially now that you are not making your own phones anymore . John its the most secure and the most complete. If you look at the latest gartner report, they measure mobile security, they have six critical items or factors. We are number one in all six of six. Emily blackberry ceo, john chen there. Cory johnson is in new york today. What do you think is the significance of this news . Mark it is significance in terms of finally being in balance. Blackberry has not done much in the software the hardware or tablet space, but now they are telling officials this is where we are going. Were going all in on our Security Software<\/a> and messaging platform. We are done on smartphone hardware where we are losing so much money. Emily is this a moneymaking venture for blackberry . Cory when Tech Companies<\/a> blowup, the blowup over inventories. This move away from the manufacturing, whether they jumped or they were pushed, its hard to say. I want to show you to charts. The number of like berries sold compared to revenues. Even before they stopped making it, the white wine gets smaller and smaller and smaller. But notice the revenues remain steady. After the initial collapse of this business, 2011, 2012 and even 2014, revenues stabilize so that the sale of the phone is not so important. The yellow line is days of inventory. How many days of inventory do they have stacked on the shelves . The other line is the stock price. We can annotate that quickly. Not all of the time, but some of the time, when the inventory spikes, suddenly the stock is about to collapse. It happened there and here briefly. You can see those numbers where the inventory spikes and the stock collapses. Thats not going to be a problem anymore because inventory in the world of software doesnt happen like it does in hardware where you can create a problem even when the business is tailing off. John chen gave us a few hints there and told us to do the emily john chen gave us a few his there and told us to do the math. Mark they only have one partner lockdown indonesia. Indonesia has a big opportunity in the year to come but how big the market is now, is not substantial enough to bring blackberry into the green where it was five years ago. In terms of software and services, this allows them to put all of their eggs in that basket and grow that business. Emily how optimistic are you about blackberrys Software Business<\/a> . Cory im generally optimistic anyway, but heres this story there was a time not too long ago when blackberry and nokia were dominant companies in mobile phones. Quickly, Technology Changes<\/a> and that goes away. The same is true in software. The stickiness of software is not to be taken lightly. They stay with the oracle database for decades, but the same is true with security and email and that is blackberrys strength. There is still blackberry enterprise even if youre not carrying around a blackberry as an enterprise. Emily could this turnaround rock very ultimately or is it unclear . Mark it is possible if they focus on that and take the new microsoft approach and put all of their software everywhere. Right now, they are compatible with an Android Version<\/a> of blackberry. Imagine if they put all of their email apps and refresh them for the iphone and on android not running blackberry and the web and all of those platforms and restructured the company around that and shut all the divisions related to the hardware and focus on that. They could become a big software player, but they need to reboot like a startup and leverage that blackberry brand name. Even forget about the licensing deal. It doesnt add much. Emily we will be watching. Our Consumer Tech<\/a> reporter and cory johnson in new york, thank you both. Apple is moving its london headquarters to the south bank of the river thames. The tech giant will be the Largest Office<\/a> tenant of the former power station with 1400 employees across six floors. The move wont happen until 21, when the project is complete. Argentina has just crowned its first tech billionaire. Those details ahead. Looking ahead to the start of trade in asia, shares up after the company doubled its outlook, saying growth in storage devices was boosting the forecast. This is bloomberg. Emily california will focus on building more electrical vehicle charging stations to reach its mandate for zero emission autos. It might avoid tougher emission goals pushed by environmental groups. California has 10 of the station it will need in four years. Fleet of autonomous electric cars could put off stiffer regulations for 2025. Volkswagon is laying out a bold plan to ring electric vehicles to the masses. The Company Plans<\/a> dozens of new models with unprecedented driving ranges. They hope to pivot away from diesel. The move comes one year after the omissions scandal rocked the german automaker. Ford out with more details on its plan for auto electrification. The ceo stop by the Bloomberg Markets<\/a> most influential summit. We are thinking about this holistically. Not lets just have an Autonomous Vehicle<\/a>. We are going to available full level four, fully Autonomous Vehicle<\/a> in 2021 in either a ridesharing service. But we also think about mobility and how do people get around in big cities . We are asking cities what are your transportation and congestion is choose and what assets can we bring with ford . Emily that was mark shields, ceo of ford motor company. Argentina is on its way to becoming a major tech hub. The countries leading the cart leading the continent as far as tech unicorns are concerned. Oasting multiple unicorns one company leading the charge translates to free market. Its latin americas Largest Online<\/a> marketplace. Here to tell us about the nations first tech billionaire is tom metcalfe. Shares have been on a tear. This is basically like the ebay of argentina. Tom it is a clone of ebay. He thought ebay was a great is this model and transferred it to his home continent. Emily what is this guy like . Tom hes described as a mystery man. Hes obviously influential in argentinas tech scene. He keeps to the sidelines and is is difficult to see him as opposed to how it is with founders of american companies. He is pretty low profile. Emily they also have operations in venezuela which is one of the toughest markets to operate in. Hows the company doing . Tom if you look at the Companies Across<\/a> south america, some of the world hardest markets, venezuela being hyperinflationary. Every quarter, they will run down assets in that country. They are taking hits in currency to valuation and thats where the benefit of being diversified across the continent is. As venezuela goes down, you have you have brazil and argentina. Emily where are they looking to expand . Tom i think they are sticking to the continent focused on diversifying products. Ebay had paypal and now they are moving into distribution and classifieds. It is more dominating latin america rather than looking up to america where you have big competition. Emily i touched on argentinas tech scene but tell us what it is really like. Tom they are pretty confident it is going to be one of the globes big success stories. They are not aiming to emulate Silicon Valley<\/a> and look for the next google. Its more like what are the companies that will work well on the continent. In terms of outsourcing, thats another egg thing. Thats another big thing. Emily we will keep our eye on the billionaire mystery man. Thank you so much. Japan has the secondlargest music market in the world but 80 of sales go to physical formats like cds. How spotify is planning to change that, next. This is bloomberg. Emily music streaming giant spotify is reportedly in advance talks to buy soundcloud. Just this month, spotify announced it hit 40 million paying subscribers compared to apple musics 17 million. Soundcloud launched its own paid streaming service just a few months back. Spotify is finally making a move into the secondlargest movie secondlargest music market. Spotify japan launched, going headtohead to head with google play and apple music. Joining me for more details is Eugene Nakamura<\/a> in tokyo. Theyve had an office in tokyo for 18 months. Yet apple, google, and line eat them to the punch. How much will not having first mover advantage hurt them here . Eugene golden eugene they are definitely coming late to the party. More than a year late. Streaming was a new thing. Everyone has already tried it. Whether its a free trial version from apple or line, people know what it is an a lot of people just did not sign up for it. The thing that separate spotify and the reason they were so late is spotify has a free tear. If you listen to ads, you can listen to the music. This is something that apple, line, google do not provide. So this is their advantage. Frankly, the people ive talked to, the analysts think it has a pretty good chance, probably a better chance than apple did. When apple came on, iphones are very popular. Iphones your makeup more than half of the sales. So everyone has their free three month trial of apple music the Conversion Rate<\/a> was pretty low. Only about 5 became paying users. Apple made some inroads, but not really. This is where spotify has a chance. Its not a free three month trial, it is free forever. The biggest competitor is youtube. If you like a song, you can probably go to youtube and listen to it for free if you dont money has maybe with into listeningdont mind to an ad. If you dont mind the ads, you can listen to pretty much any song you want. This is why people think it has a good chance of. Emily tell us about japans music market. 80 of sales are still on physical formats like cds . Eugene its actually the opposite of the u. S. In the u. S. , its only 30 . In japan, 84 was still physical last year. It is a very big market, the worlds secondbiggest music market after the u. S. Its not that japan hasnt embraced digital. Japan had the lead over the rest of the world when it came to cell phones about a decade ago. Before smartphones came out. Back then, i could on my old future phone, i could download music directly onto the phone. They had a pretty strong ecosystem it was doing about a billion dollars, but today its down to 400 million. The big reason is the iphone did not have very good features early on. Ringtones and stuff like that was not very strongly supported. You could not download songs directly to your iphone at first, so that decimated the Digital Music<\/a> industry here. The country still loves cds and cd sales to cover large percentage of sales, but they have been going down. In 2002, with the peak of the industry, they made about five made about 5 billion in sales. They realize cd sales are not sustainable and thats why Companies Like<\/a> sony that have finally embrace streaming this is why i think spotify took so long to negotiate this contract and why they are here. We will see whether cds stay strong or not. Emily japan, a very significant new market. We will see where they go next. Walmart is in advanced talks to advance as much as a billion vest as much as a billion dollars in indias flip card. Its lead is under assault by amazon. Indias next big retail prize any Online Market<\/a> is expected to grow 45 every year until 2020. Coming up, our weekly investing long table. Hey hows it going, hotcakes . Hotcakes. This place has hotcakes. So why arent they selling like hotcakes . With comcast Business Internet<\/a> and wifi pro, they could be. Just add a customized message to your wifi pro splash page and youll reach your customers where their eyes are already on their devices. Order up. Its more than just wifi, it can help grow your business. You dont see that every day. Introducing wifi pro, wifi that helps grow your business. Comcast business. Built for business. Itie the aussie in the ring have enjoyed a at a threeweek high with Energy Shares<\/a> jump in the most in six months. Markets were surprised by saudi arabia. One of koreas largest corruption investigations after a court rejected the arrest one for the [indiscernible] lotte group has been under investigation for more than a year. Senior members question about. Orruption are an export boom helping vietnams export growth. 6. 4 from a year earlier. It is being believed by stronger credit demand, a recovery in agriculture following a crippling doubt. Crippling drought. This is bloomberg. Lets get the latest from the markets with juliette. Juliette it is not often that we get surprised of side. We have seen quite a lot of dying coming through. The surprise agreement in algiers. The nikkei coming back online, up 1. 4 , holding onto those gains from the morning session. Trading dividends back at the normal prices today. The yen weakening. A good day for export stocks as well. A good gain in china as well. Up. 6 . As you would expect, the stock markets the do have a lot of Energy Exposure<\/a> doing very well pinned the hen saying up the hang seng up 1. 5 . Some of the bigger players like origin and santos also doing very well. Byiland has come online, up. 9 in the first hour of trade. Comingid conviction through from Southeast Asia<\/a> as well as the new Zealand Market<\/a> today. Taiwans market resuming trade for the first time this week following the typhoon. It is up by nine point up by. 9 . Opec coming through in some of those commoditybased currencies. The Malaysian Ringgit<\/a> receiving gains. A great day for asian markets. This is bloomberg west. Im emily chang. Time now for series a, our tech investing roundtable where we take a deep dive into the world of the markets. Tech investing has evolved in recent years with some startups getting multibillion dollars valuations and disrupting heavily regulated parts of the economy. Venture investing is moving into new territory, attracting private equity players. Joining me to discuss that is to veteran investors, scott stamford who ran Goldman Sachs<\/a> internet Investment Banking<\/a> and the partner at tpgs growth fund. Thank you for joining us. The industry has changed a lot and i know that is part of the reason you left Goldman Sachs<\/a>. Lets start with Venture Capital<\/a>. We see a lot more nontraditional investors and techniques. Where do you see Venture Capital<\/a> going . Scott venture is an asset class that has evolved quite a bit. If you look at it decade by decade, it looks completely different than it did when venture really started. What you have seen as a class venture and growth investing has taken over what was the ipo market. The early tech ipos, when you look at the size of those original ipos like microsoft and amazon, they were tiny. Venture is absorbing all of that alpha and not surprisingly, because of that, because companies are waiting longer to go public, it has attracted a ton of investors that are not traditional venture investors, including public guys, hedge funds, mutual funds. Two thirds of all venture deals were public investors investing privately. This is what you typically see absorbing the ipo. Then you have the buyout guys coming into growth investing because these companies are not going public and the tech ipo volume is anemic relative to any historical benchmark. If you look at last several decades. Emily pe has been in tech for a while but we see nontraditional investors. Whats the attraction for tpg . Is it nontraditional businesses getting disrupted . Guest part of it is the Market Opportunity<\/a> and scaling in a private context. What we have seen from a private equity standpoint is it plays to our strength because of you look at the business is being built now, things like uber and airbnb, its a combination of bits and atoms businesses. While they are engineering and technology based, they are dealing with physical objects in the real world, whether its automobiles for drivers, it starts to leverage. That starts to leverage our traditional strength where we have auto finance relationship, regulatory relationships, globally, nationally, internationally. Its a unique way to pivot from our strength and move to an area where we have done well so far. Emily you are both investors in uber and airbnb, to businesses that are part of the reason things have changed so dramatically. Is it right for them to not be going public . Is uber valued right or are they backing themselves into a corner . Scott the question of whether or not to go public has so many angles to it. Can you go public . Will they be reset of . This comment about public investors investing privately, as long as they are investing privately, whats the hurry . Public markets would probably be more disciplined than the private markets and we see that play out with the proliferations of unicorns. If they were all to be public overnight, we would see a significant correction. As david said, when uber was raising its vc, my cofounder and i did series b and we were saying uber has so quickly transcended what the valley has to offer. It was a phenomenon and thats where we went to the guys at tpg and said you need to get in here and uber says yes. These guys are exceptions. If you look at the amount of dollars, i think they soaked up a third of venture funding. You see a barbell effect where there will be a day of reckoning. Emily airbnb is in the middle of raising Something Like<\/a> 750 million. Is it smart for these companies to be waiting these longs and waiting this long and driving their own valuation before they see what Public Market<\/a> investors would actually pay . David i think they have the best of both worlds. The leeway to act with a lot of liquidity was to go public. But now you can access a lot of liquidity and have the benefit of letting the back office catch up with the revenue and getting their ducks in a row to be orderly filer reporter. They are unique examples of having their cake and eating it too. The assumption some of these companies are saying private longer, it depends on your lens. Companies with those billions in revenue, that used to be fair. Those companies are six years old, plus or minus. Im not sure if you go back historically if you would look historically at that length terms of when companies go public after being founded, these businesses scale much more rapidly than historic giants. To get the office in back order and as long as you can have your cake and eat it too, why not do that now . Scott i think the key determinant is how willing the Public Market<\/a>s are to test forward. In good ipo markets, tech inductors tech investors will go two years out and normalized margins and will give you a multiple a year from there. You are almost doing a mini discount cash flow. If they are willing to go out to that extreme, i think you could start to see a lot of support for the premiums on these valuations. The question is will the Public Market<\/a> a for growth . Historically, about a third of ipos trade below issue, well after a, and its a positive market right now. A lot of the float has been absorbed. Emily we will talk about this a little bit more in the next block. Thank you for being here. Stick with us. More of series a is next. Emily welcome back to our tech investing roundtable, series a. Both of my guests are experienced dealmakers. We talked about ipos, but what about m a . What he see more of . Scott we are in an m a boom and i think it will continue for a few quarters. When you think about what could trigger, day, bloated Balance Sheet<\/a> at the corporate level, there is a lot of cash and little innovation. Corporate have outsource a lot of research and development to Tech Startups<\/a> was so we see a bunch in ecommerce lately. You see they tech darlings really starting to put some hurt on the incumbents. It has been talked about for years, but its actually starting to happen. The innovative models the amazons of the world have introduced need to be replicated. It made no sense by the numbers, but the team is fantastic. Amazon, 58 of amazons marketplace revenue, walmart has zero and that the problem because your margins are much, much higher. Macys closed 15 of their stores. Thats a problem when you see Ecommerce Companies<\/a> growing extremely rapidly because of the new generation being willing to buy elsewhere. , day is going to continue while the markets m a markets will continue all the markets remain tepid. Emily we see verizon, unilever what, when, how much more . David a few of the things scott mentioned have been true for a few years. Big corporate Balance Sheet<\/a>, low interest rates, access to cheap capital, people trying to manufacture growth anyway you can. The thing thats starting to shift is price expectations. You see this private financing market change and we see that in a few different ways. I would argue in this bubble environment we have been in, it has been much more about access rather than diligence. We have probably flipped too much as an industry without diligence and were flipping back to diligence. Great investors have both. I think you have great rationality and operating these is this is an scaling is tougher and expected. Getting viable Unit Economics<\/a> is tougher than expected. People are questioning that and i think its starting to turn the m a environment. Emily do think we have been in a bubble or are the bubble . David i think we have been available and we are seeing that start to reset. A lot of the private financing that has been taking place is large. Its not going to be one of these things where the tap turns off. Its very different than what happened in the Public Market<\/a>s. You saw massive change in valuations at a lot of Public Investment<\/a> was hurt. Here, its much more concentrated in private hands and companies have more on the Balance Sheet<\/a>. Businesses generally healthier and better, so i think it will play out over time. Emily twitter. Whats going to happen with twitter . We have reported disney is interested. Salesforce, alphabet . Scott i dont have any inside information but i would say its a fantastic as that with its reach. It would be additive to lots of folks. Disney would make sense, if the football example of them broadcasting nfl games is going to stick, thats a great example because disney does not own distribution in so much as they can have their own dan operated distribution through a twitter platform, that would be positive. Salesforce would be in it for the data. I think its a very interesting story playing along the lines of what david said, but in the public landscape. Quarterly scrutiny, flat subscriber growth and trying to find themselves now they are going to be defined by someone else. I do get from all the signals that they are having conversations. We will see how it plays out. Emily we just reported spotifys potentially interested in buying soundcloud and they are expanding in japan. Any thoughts on what this means for the future of spotify as an independent company . David i cant comment on and a day speculation, but we invested in spotify earlier this year and the results have been outstanding when it gets reported, people think its a fixed high in the industry of streaming and if apple does this, what does that mean for spotify . The reality is, i think we are in an environment where the vast majority of the addressable audience are not subscribers yet. By more entrance coming into this space, its the rising tide lifting all boats and consumers are becoming more aware of this great lu proposition in streaming. All the new entrant activity is great for all of players. I think spotify proportionally wins in that. Emily you guys are both biased, but what about lyft . David all we know are the rumors that have been out there. It feels like they went to try to solicit them and they interest. Im not sure where that came out. It will be interesting to see how that business continues to evolve relative to competition with uber. But with peoples focus on this car networks and the belief in self driving cars, is there something of Strategic Value<\/a> . Its hard to say. It would take someone with a longterm corporate or strategic interest to see that. Scott i think lyft is a sideshow. The real thing is what are google, apple, facebook going to do because the car is one of the last devices. They need to own it. They need to be in it. Emily we will be back and you will tell us where you are placing your bets, next. Tomorrow, dont miss our exclusive interview with u. S. Treasury secretary, jack lew. This is bloomberg. Emily welcome back to our tech investing roundtable, series a. I want to talk about what is driving your investments. You run a huge swath of territory within tpg internet, digital media, where are you placing your bets and what are you most optimistic about . David we run those sectors across the tpg fund. In addition to tpg growth and the tpg capital fund, we are split across those as well as other funds we have. One area we have been active in is experiential. And its kind of counterintuitive given the digital things we are invested in. But millennials look for these outlets. You seated in the growth of music touring, festivals. One play we have on that is the largest touring agency in the world. Cirque du soleil, an event we purchased last year. You see that across airbnb. You think about that experience, live like a local thats a theme we think has secular legs. Another area is this constant balance of content versus distribution. We agreed to buy an over builder and we just believe in broadband. That last mile connection is incredibly important as we fill this new Digital Content<\/a> coming down the pipe, whether its for a case streaming, the internet of things, the connected home. That all requires higher and higher speeds and having the fastest, most recently built network is a great play on that. At the same time, we like to be the point of content creation and new overthetop content, whether it spotify its another area i suspect we will be active in. Scott at the highest level, we look at a couple of big things that steer the industry. We look for platform shifts. Clearly, we are moving away from mobile into wearables and virtual reality. We look for tech breakthroughs miniaturization, artificial intelligence. These things will drive new applications for users. Lastly, so she logical changes. This is the first year millennials are the largest living population, overtaking boomers. Combine all of those things and say what is different . Brands are very different. You can introduce brand to all new audience and consumers interact with brands in a different way. Skin care from a doctor via your mobile prescription skincare. Never possible to that prior, but now its very easy to do. We look at ai. We have invest in a Company Called<\/a> luca. They have not released yet, so i have to be careful, but they have built an ai companion for you that you can talk to that starts emulating your behavior. Its a conversational engine, but its fascinating. When you think about how much time will spend on media. We look for opportunities to rethink the supply chain. Previously it was an opaque, negotiated deal. It opens the door to a huge opportunity. These are the trends we are looking for. Emily how do both of you keep your ears to the ground and figure out what our teenage girls and boys using and watching . What should you be investing in next western mark how do you investing in next . How do you stay on the leading edge . David i think its why we enjoy working together so much. We start with this private equity lens of protecting principal and look at what could go wrong . Scott is great at what could go right. When you meld that, you get to interesting insight or we can help each other coming from different perspectives. One of the ways we look at these trends we see is that you cant just that on millennials. Thats not an investment theme. But you look for the second derivative. Thats if you cant play that main trend, lets the investment theme you can drive off of that to go along . Emily thank you both so much for joining us. Confounded those who thought no deal in algiers. Saw no deal in algiers. , at will. Rishaad there is a new mood over a string of property developers. 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