Thinking this whole kit and caboodle, it is getting real on the market. It is very hard to pry off. Hence todays action again. The dow is down. Nasdaq giving up and paint drying. And we are go to hear from a banker later on in the show. We heard about a weakening consumer today from the owner of darden. Which happens to be part of the mad money staff. Finished down 8. 9 . It yields 42 . But, that yield might not be the protection it used to be. That more than doubles the tax on dividends. We saw one of the biggest retail jugger nauts, the gap. Sales have become sloppy to surrender 3. 57 or 10 . Although that doesnt spell the death of retailers, we go off the charts tonight. And we witnessed downward pressure in the oil sector. Today is the first day when the group got any lift at all. So what do we do . Is it game over for equities should i go home . No, no, no. Let me first say absolutely not. We have to get either to a cliff resolution, or so the situation where no one expects the resolution. Going with the latter, hey, that is new. Let me walk you through here. Today last week. If you recall, we heard from a host of executives. They felt like compromise was in the air. It was real and eminent. We heard from the ceo of goldman sachs. It could be hammered out without real difficulty if it were in the private sector. When i heard those execs touch base with them and spoke with them on both sides of the aisle i thought there would be more Common Ground. That the Common Ground somewhat a loser. And the refuse al to negotiate and to never raise taxes. Ensures that inted of a deal, we are getting no deal that cant rise above. So what do we need to do . What has to happen . It is simple. The market must disabuse itself of the notion that they are going on vacation without the notion. The fiscal cliff glasgows from being half full to half empty and it is more immune to disappointment. They will be gone and checked out and sold. They will be replaced by strong holders. These people believe that some kind of deal is inevitable. They feel it wont have much of an impact on the economy. Mellow drama even. And this is their group of strong holders. Well, i should be better off going over the cliff. Rich will pay more on their fair shares and higher taxes on dividends. And the bloated defense budget. Unnecessary social programs. I think we arent where we need to be when it comes to abandoning all hope. I think those people are polyannas. I think we go into a recession with lots of layoffs and the fiscal cliff was designed to pr compromise. Everyone knew about the growth. Fewer jobs, larger deficit. As i said last night, it doesnt matter, we can pick our stocks and buy them down. Ulta salons, but i want to suggest to other groups that are going to give you bang for the buck, betting that the hope will be squeezed out and the bottom gets put in before a deal is made. Why not . We know the auto market is for 11 years now and we have been sweet on ford domestically. What are some of the other key areas. Asia already turned. I think europe could be stablized. Ford is the one to watch. Im out blessing it. In europe im thinking that im excited about ford. We have ample evidence today that im right. The rates remained too low. And pricing is moving up in california, nevada, arizona all things we learned from the luxury home builder toll today. That is fine. But what i hadnt heard is a demographic play, how the demographics are going to take over. Household formation is unnatural and because of the great resection. Well, from the delay of creation of new families, which is highly unusual, what makes that so special . The fiscal cliff could be a big deal. Im going to put it in an amusing way, it is the need to get out of your mother in laws house. Pretty intuitive concept when you think about it. We have a break here. Because the market is so darn tough. And that could be your chance for the analysts. Here is the bottom line. We need hope to be van switkwis. He so that it is so negative. Have them leave the room. And we can return to the growth themes and they are autos and homes. By them on the way down and never on the way down as the scared sellers buy them out. You can take your time. Who the heck knows when and from what level you can get back in. Why dont we go to tom in new york. Big lots and slower same store sales and make it a buy. It had its gob and i dont want you to come in now. I think that big lots is not a great operator. The market needs to free itself from the notion that there will be a deal. That is what needs to happen. Take your time. This hope is still not dashed enough to make this market immune from more disappointment. Mad money will be right back. Shop until you drop . The Holiday Shopping season is in full swing. The only thing more competitive is the cut throat clash from retailer against retailer. Holiday edition of off the charts and later, some thing is brewing. Starbucks is serving up returns alongside its coffee for years. Or is this your chance to fill up your cup before these shares get percolating . Plus rise above. While washing to be trades offers cramer is keeping you one step ahead. Tonight he is getting a read on the regionals. Find out if you should be making a deposit coming up on mad money. With the fiscal cliff looming less than a month away. You would think that some would be getting hammered right now. And im not just talking about defense. Think retail. If we go over the cliff, something that i have been telling you as of this weekend. That will deal a huge blow to the purchases power of most americans think about it. Tax rates go up. Boo. The payroll tax holiday goes away. Unemployment benefits expire for most people and that is not even accounting for the layoffs. Put it together, unless we get a deal, which wont be bad news for the single biggest consumer out there, retail. You would expect the whole retail cohort to be in trouble. Things will get a whole lot worse. Two weeks ago we got retail sales that showed a 3 decline. Last fridays gdp indicated that it had decelerated to 1. 4 . Incomes are flat and Hurricane Sandy shut down the northeast for days and in some cases for weeks. Even though we have had positive numbers from Companies Like home dep depot, the group would be flat lining. Yet that hasnt been happening. It is shown by the rth, the market vectovectors retail num. It has been showing very well. That is why tonight we are going off the charts with the help of ed ponzi. My colleague at realmoney. Com, we have to learn what the charts are seeing. If you remember, one of the reasons why i went back to ed. He is the guy who nailed it and went against the grain in europe. Right before the decision on the european bailout. And according to him, according to a guy who went against the grain then and was right. When you look at the market based on the markets, retail might be the most attractive area to own in this whole market. Look, look at this daily chart of the rth. This is it. Excellent proxy for the whole group. It does work. You can see from the year earlier in october. November 21st, this is the spot here, it has come roaring back. He points out two important things that happened. It completed almost 50 pull back. Here, this is the 50 , pull back excuse that, okay and 50 retrar rephrasemer rephrasement like we got there. It is almost a security. It will of ten change course when you get down to 50. That is a key term like a seesaw. As we call it, the mac d at the bottom of the chart. Moving average indicator. This is a momentum indicator that is used to show changes on a stocks trajectory before they happen. So it is useful to you and me. He said that the mac d indicator gave you a classic signal. These things put it back to the high for the year now. The rth had stayed above the 200 day moving average. It is the red. And this is how it stayed. It never took out the 200 day moving average. When i was in the game. I used the 200 day as my benchmark. A few days ago, we got what he called the bullish development. A shorter term measure of the trajectory. When that happens, chart followers tend to jump onboard. He knows that the rth is 1 below the all time closing high right now. If the index goes higher, it could be smooth sailing for a far as the eye can see. Wish i were taller. He says he would when it and add to this position. Lets go to the ets hourly chart. That is a chart where each tick is an hour of trading. I used to love to play with these. He wants the rth to break out of 46. This 45 level has acted here. It tends to become a floor of suppo support. We saw it pull back to 45 and it rebounded there from yesterday. Today it fell to 44. 94. Believe it or not, to me i was worried. Listen, it is in the sweet spot. The rth could be primed for another rb. He thinks this is a good sign. We look at the rth and he is encouraged that there is enormous adversity here. Apparel Retailer Limited brands. That suggests that the Retail Sector should remain resilient. I was worried that we didnt close above 45. My view, though. Im more concerned about the fundamentals here and i worry more that we could have situations like the gap today. Walmart missed its quarter. Im more concerned about that. I got that is another channel i can. There are plenty of real worries out there. In this grim environment you can find sectors that are holding up better than you might think. The pull back in retail might be just the moment that you want to pull the trigger to this key sector index. Wouldnt that be something . Stay with cramer and we will be right back. Coming up. Something is brewing. But could concerns about its moving to tea mean it is time to layoff the caffeine or is this your chance to fill up your cup before the shares get percolating . Cramer is grinding through the facts next. Welcome to chevys yearend event. So, the 5. 3liter v8 silverado can tow up to 9,600 pounds . 315 horsepower. Whats that in reindeer power . [ laughing ] [ stops laughing ] [ male announcer ] chevys giving more. This holiday season, trade up to get the 2012 Chevy Silverado allstar edition for 0 apr financing for 60 months plus 2,000 cash allowance or get a total value of 9,000. Ive been a superintendent for 30 some years at many different park Service Units across the united states. The only time ive ever had a break is when i was on maternity leave. I have retired from doing this one thing that i loved. Now, im going to be able to have the time to explore something different. Its like another chapter. When you take a closer look. At the best schools in the world. You see they all have something very interesting in common. They have teachers. With a deeper knowledge of their subjects. As a result, their students achieve at a higher level. Lets develop more stars in education. Lets invest in our teachers. So they can inspire our students. Lets solve this. Tomorrow we are going to hear from one of my Favorite Companies and it is starbucks. Right now it is more than ten points off its high for the year. I think it could mark the beginning of the stocks next big rally. You can follow along at actionalerts. Com. A service that i do with the street. Tomorrow the lots of people ask me how i would approach this meeting. Which i retired from years ago. What would i want to hear from the company to see if i could buy more or sell. First of all, why does this meeting matter . It is every other year. They are a big deal for people. The company has had its best day in 2010. Starbucks made its promises. One of the reasons im so excited about the event is they deliver. They told you about it and then they delivered. For example, last year they told you about how they delivered in china. They said china would be its second largest market. Schultz talked about getting ip to the tea business. I mention all of this to understand that starbucks doesnt go in for idle chatter when it goes in for these meetings. It has a track record of following through on these plans. We want to know how the us business is doing. And you need to hear about international. Europe, dont forget, green mountain, it has been huge. Starbu starbucks should tell us what it is going to do with its cash. They have the cash to do it. I prefer them to grow with the money. This is a major bone of contention. I think it is good. The bears, they seem to think that the coffee could be played out. Starbucks will tell us about the new juice store concept. Maybe it will give us insight to what could end up being one of the three top markets for the company india. I cant wait to hear about the projections about india. And of course they need to address teavana. I thought this could be a terrific move. Seem to be quite popular. The earnings as early at 2013. Not just the cute tea bags. Like i want to add some hot tea. I think it could turn out to be howards third place. This time for tea drinkers, it has become a hot button with the short selling community. Those guys affirm that the companys tea are contaminated with pesticides to the point where 100 of the samples violate u. S. Laws. The company is sticking to its story that it sticks to the standards. By my colleague says that there are a huge number of hedge funds believe that the deal could fall through. They are thinking it is ortho. We will be listening when starbucks talks about teavana tomorrow. Let me give you the outline so you can understand why im so bullish about the stock. It is a high quality growth stock in a lowbogrowth world. They are putting up into stores all over the world. I expect to hear it is doing better than young. Starbu starbucks has high end stores may seem like there is a starbucks in every corner in america. It is the highest quality of problems it needs to keep the lines shorter. I know they dont control the airports but please, add like five starbucks to every airport that ive been to. The company is improving the efficiency of the stores. They have the pods that you put in the keurig. And now they have the sumatra. They have the keurig the barismo. It could be a good year for the company. But 2013 should be a good year too. They should have to fight against the head wind against high coffee prices. Now the price has come down big over 30 . So what was once a major head wind is now a tail wind. It has knocked 20 cents off of the shares. The decreased cost of coffee should add nine. Here is a great thing for howard shulds for me. You want one, ask for the cramer while you are there. Well be low the companys five year average. And it is a major discount to other high growth food chains. Here is the bottom line. This company has a fabulous story to tell. It is a by into any fiscal weakness moving forward. Lets go to beth in new york. Beth. After 100 million in shared buy becomes, where could Chipotle Mexican Grill be headed . I like the fact that everyone has given up on them and they are now ready to expand the shop house kitchen thing. I think the 235 to 250 im bullish on them. Need a boost . Is starbucks could be the right brew. They have a great price and because teavana is umhum good. The lightening round is coming up next. Keep up with cramer all day long. You wont take my life. You wont take our future. Aids affects us all. Even babies. Chevron is working to stop mothertochild transmission. Our employees and their families are part of the fight. And were winning. At chevron nigeria, we havent had a reported case in 12 years. Aids is strong. Aids is strong. But we are stronger. And aids. Aids is going to lose. Aids is going to lose. Can i still ship a gift in time for christmas . Yeah, sure you can. Great. Wheres your gift . Uh. Whew. [ male announcer ] break from the holiday stress. Ship Fedex Express by december 22nd for christmas delivery. But when i was in an accident. By december 22nd i was worried the Health Care System spoke a language all its own with unitedhealthcare, i got help that fit my life. So i never missed a beat. Thats health in numbers. Unitedhealthcare. It is time for the lightening round. We are both kicking it back and forth whether to pull the ticker. You should have one too. Knock out ko. Allen in michigan. Jim, booyah. Im Holding Sprint and ive had a descent gain. I dont want you to take that gain. I want to buy one. Do not sell sprint it is a good one. Matt in michigan. I was wondering about toyota or ford. I pulled up with the subaru guy. I prefer ford to toyota. Tracy in arkansas. Yes, booyah. Ctlp or cplp. Okay yeah. It is an mlp. We are going with the tried and true. Lets go to bo in missouri. I dont think it does anything either way. I want to buy berkshire hathaway. Lets go to corey. How about the red skins . Alfred morris has put me 7 and 6. The pringles is good. Management has it together and that is for me. And that is the conclusion of the lightening rount. Coming up. Rise above. Cramer is keeping you one stead ahead. Tonight he is getting information from the ceo of national bank. Na fall in love, get married, have a couple of kids, [ children laughing ] move to the country, and live a long, happy life together where they almost never fight about money. [ dog barks ] because right after they get married, theyll find some retirement people who are paid on salary, not commission. Theyll get straightforward guidance and be able to focus on other things, like each other, which isnt rocket science. Its just common sense. From td ameritrade. Sven gets great rewards for his Small Business how does this thing work . Oh, i like it [ garth ] svens Small Business earns 2 cash back on every purchase, every day woohoo so thats ten security gators, right . Put them on my spark card why settle for less . Testing hot tar. Great businesses deserve great rewards [ male announcer ] the spark Business Card from capital one. Choose unlimited rewards with 2 cash back or double miles on every purchase, every day whats in your wallet . Heres your invoice. [ male announcer ] zeebox is the free app that makes tv even better. If your tv were a space captain, zeebox would be an alien, first officer. Just like an officer helps a captain explore the universe, zeebox helps you discover what shows are most popular, where the biggest buzz is, or what the stars are watching now. Download zeebox free, never underestimate the importance of the banks. Eventually that situation will be resolved. Once the cliff is behind us we could give out what would make this go higher. We are never going to get a sustained rally unless the banks are onboard. City national is a Business Bank also they cater to the wealthy. Mostly in Southern California and nevada new york city. This is a well run bank. Lets check in with Russell Goldsmith and find out where this might be heade