Transcripts For CNBC Worldwide Exchange 20161205 : vimarsana

CNBC Worldwide Exchange December 5, 2016

Welcome to Worldwide Exchange on cnbc. Im wilfred frost alongside Courtney Reagan in for sara. Im wearing my buckeye red because they got in College Football playoffs. Really excited. Youre educating me. Well have more on the highlights of that, but first to the market moving action this morning. And futures after a week where we did see declines across all three of the indices for the week as a whole. The dow just negative last week. The s p down 1 . The nasdaq down 2. 5 . And 8 out of 11 sectors were negative. Tech the worst down 3 . Energy the best up over 2. 5 because of oils big rally. Today, as you can see, we are pulled higher, the dow by 85 points. The nasdaq by 28. And the s p 500 by about 11. 5 . Well have a look at what the dollar is doing this morning as well. Last week the dollar did decline for its first week of declines in four the broader index is down 1 as a whole. We saw the unwinding post election dollar strength. This morning the dollar bouncing back. Its up. 30 . We could have expected more strength given the italian referendum result, but well get to consequences of that in a moment. And a half a percent of gains for the dollar against the yen. As we look at what is going on around the world in trading action early this morning, european markets actually are higher. This might be a surprise knowing what we know now about the italian referendum, but here as you can see, germany is especially strong up more than 1. 7 . France also up almost 1. 5 here. So weve got some nice momentum going on in europe. We have an ecb meeting on thursday. Banks are weak, especially the italian banks, and well get into more of that later on in the show. If we can move on to see what is happening in asia, we had a different picture in asia. The markets are lower across the board. The shanghai down more than a percent there. So we had the shanghai, the hang seng and the shenzhen lower. Taiwan also closed down. We had some headlines with the president elect donald trump making some movement over there as well. Japans nikkei down 0. 8 . Lets have a look at the broader markets. Oil prices particularly strong last week. We already said energy was the best performing sector. Oil gained some 12 for the week as a whole. So big mover there for oil prices following the opec decision. Up again today, 52. 26. So a lot of oil strength over the last week. Well see if that will continue. Well look at the tenyear treasury, we saw movement interweek, but we ended where we started below the 2. 4 level, just below there today. A little more stability there, but yields have elevated since the election. Gold prices this morning are trading a little low. We are down 1 at 1166. And now to this mornings top Global Market story. Italian Prime Minister matteo renzi announcing he will resign after voters rejected constitutional changes that he backed. Julia chat lee is joining us live from rome this morning. Im sure youve had a very busy weekend. Julia . Reporter yes, we did, courtney. A couple hours of sleep last night, but as you pointed out, a resounding, deafening loss here for Prime Minister matteo renzi. His response perfectly clear in the small hours of this morning. Translator i lost and i say it loud and clear, even if i have a lump in my throat. Because we are not robots. I wasnt able to win. I begged you to believe that i did everything i thought was possible at this stage. Reporter so even though the result was expected here, there were a few surprises. Voter turnout was incredibly high, above 65 . Thats far higher here than the last general election in italy. Also the win for the nocamp here left renzi with 0 space to move. He did announce he would resign later today. And now we wait for that. What next . He goes to resign and hands in his resignation to the president. The president can accept it or reject it. If he rejects it, Prime Minister renzi stays at the helm and then has to face a confidence vote to come at the back end of this week. But given the overwhelming negative sentiment against him, its tough to see him pass that. If the president has expected accepts the resignation. Then the hunt is on for the replacement. Thats what were expecting now. I want to give you a look at what the press is saying. This is a leftleaning newspaper saying the constitutional defeat of renzi, the Prime Minister here with his head in his hands. Another picture here says renzi goes home. Couldnt say it better than that, guys. Resounding defeat as you say, julia, and by a much bigger margin than the polls suggested. The antiestablish level of opinion being missed by the polls somewhat. Turnout is super high, yet markets are much higher in germany. And like half a percent higher broadly for the antiestablishment result. We did have a lot of negativity in the price. If you looked at the banking sector, year to date they are down 50 . We have to be a bit cautious. I think the markets will be sensitive to headline risk here, but for now we have to wait and see. Watch what we get as far as the banks are concerned, any reports or comments made about those. But also we just have to wait and see what kind of government gets formed here and how quickly. Julia, on friday we spoke about this, but remind us in terms of how hard it is for the next government and to car pri through the possibility of this vote in italy. Reporter this no vote in italy means its harder for one party to come to power. Thats likely coming in the next few weeks. This makes it more difficult for the populist party. It will be more difficult for them in the future unless they win by a landslide. And that is not what the polls are suggesting at this point. The other thing you hear is comments made about a future referendum on euro. That member is a small catalyst. Is this result another wakeup call to brussels and france and germany of the strength of the antieu feeling that is existing across the continent . It absolutely is, will fretd. I cant say it more firmly of what we have seen over the last several hours. And also more difficult to reform. This country will do very little to reform the issue. And president elect trump taking to twitter yesterday to renew his hard line against u. S. Company that is move production overseas. In a series of tweets, trump said there would be con chemical weapons consequences to those who move abroad. Any business that leaves our country for another country, fires its employees, builds new factory or plant in another country and then thinks it will send its product back into the u. S. Without u. S. Contribution is wrong. There will be a soon tax company for several beverage businesses. Trump also zeroed in on china in another series of tweets he posted yesterday. The president elect wrote, did china ask us if it was okay to devalue their currency, making it difficult for them to compete. The u. S. Doesnt tax them. Or to build a massive military complex in the middle of the South China Sea . I dont think so. This comes after trump engaged in a phone conversation with the leader of taiwan on friday. Its believed to be one of the first phone calls between the u. S. President or president elect and a leader from taiwan in dpek kids a. Since 1979, i believe. Relations between russia and china are sensitive. Eunice yoon is joining us this morning with more. Reporter good morning. Donald trump took swings criticizing beijings policies on trade, its currency and the regional security. And the whole dispute started last week when trump had a phone call with the president of taiwan. What made this controversial is donald trump said that this poll ing is represented by washington. But they said taiwan engaged in petty action. Now trump shot back in his recent antichina tweets essentially saying that china does all kinds of things that the u. S. Doesnt like and doesnt ask washington for permission. In that tweet, that came after trumps group attempts to dial back some of the more striving rhetor rhetoric. Mike pence did the same with the phone call to taiwan describing it as a courtesy call. Over to you. Eunice, over the last 3 1 2 weeks, what is the general view of a President Trump . On the one side, you have the idea of trade tariffs and reducing important trade between the two countries. On the other side, youve got the tpp no longer happening, which was something that china didnt want to happen as they werent part of it. Everyone is guessing according to and lialysts. I think what is telling in the statement that the chinese made was that it was quite benign and really not very sure in the wait and see mode. They are not sure what trump will do. They dont want to get in a slugfest with the trump and the new administration, so they are waiting to see exactly what is going to happen and how they will have to react. Eunice yoon is live from singapore. And a developing story out of north dakota. The army corps of engineers denied a permit for a controversial permit. The army corps says it will do a full Environmental Impact study in order to consider alternative routes. Yesterdays decision could be a shortlived victory for protesters because president elect donald trump has stated his supports the project. In other news the Prime Minister is lauchbing a challenge today. The appeal will be heard by the supreme court. The case is expected to last four days. If the Prime Minister wins, she can invoke 50 people by tend of march. If she loses to brexit timetable, although the case we rab will be mixed. Tomorrow we get revised productivity and factory orders. Finally on friday, december consumer sentiment. In tech news, apple has admitted that its working on tech not to develop selfdriving cars. There are rumors swirling for years that the tech giant is interested in developing the technology, but a newlyreleased letter shows last month apples director of product integrity wrote to u. S. Transportation officials saying apple is investing heavily in machine automation and is excited about the automation vehicles including transportation. I still dont get why we need selfdriving cars. I dont think we need them, but clearly it could be a big moneymaker. They make me nervous. Coming up, the european markets are bouncing back after italys referendum vote. Well head to london for the next winners and losers. Keep it here, youre watching cnbc. Your path to retirement may not always be clear. But at t. Rowe price, we can help guide your retirement savings. So wherever your Retirement Journey takes you, we can help you reach your goals. Call us or your advisor t. Rowe price. Invest with confidence. Welcome back to Worldwide Exchange. Caroline roth is joining us from london with the latest. Good morning. Reporter good morning. Italian referendum . What italian referendum . The Market Reaction a couple hours in is very relaxed. Yes, we did see initial selling. And yes, the futures did point to broadbased selling. But after we got the kneejerk reaction out of the way, it seems like the italian referendum was expected. It had already been baked into the markets. And more political instability in italy doesnt mean much because this is the country which has seen a political instability for decades. I want to tell you what the individual market is doing. The ftse is now higher by a third of 1 . We did see losses of 2 or 3 . But we also saw the market higher to the tune of 1. 3 . So pretty wild swings here. The cac 40 and the xetra tax are all higher with the xetra dax outshining. A lot of focus on the italian banks. With renzis resignation, a lot of people are concerned about whether the overhaul of banks can continue. Bank of popular down by 3 . Another reason the european markets are higher is the euro dollar was down. Back over to you. Carolin, what is the sense for the vote in the possible likelihood of the likes of the afd doing well in light of National Elections coming out. The size of the loss for renzi, even though the Market Reaction has been muted, the size of the loss in the actual vote is very significant. Reporter yes, of course. Theres a lot of concern about 2017. Well have a elections in the netherlands, germany and france. And a lot of people are talking about the trump effect spilling over into europe. Of course, we already saw that with brexit. Does this referendum mean that italy voted against the euro . Not so much. A lot of people saying this is really a vote against renzi. This is not against italys euro membership. That said, the fivestar movement which in the next general round of Elections Come february 2018, italy might come to power. They are against the your e row, but they are not against the eu. This is a very important distinction to be made. The reaction is relatively muted for the loss for the incumbent Prime Minister. Well, coming up, president elect trump considering new possibilities for secretary of state. The latest names still ahead. Olay total effects vitamin enriched to revive skin and fight 7 signs of aging your Old School Dance moves might show your age, your skin never will olay. Ageless. Welcome back to politics. President elect trump is considering new possibilities for secretary of state. For the latest we turn to tracie potts who is live for us in washington. Good morning, tracie. Reporter the trump team is considering new possibilities. And we are following the recount effort. Today the green Party Outside trump tower talking about now petitioning federal courts in pennsylvania for emergency relief. Millions of dollars in order reporter today the green party led by former president ial candidate jill stein will ask a federal court to rule that the states recount must begin today at noon. Wisconsin is already underway. We wont be frightened to jump through the legal hoops. What is President Donald Trump afraid of . Reporter he is considering new names for secretary of state. Former ambassador to china, jon huntsman. And the list is expanding. More than four, but who knows how in finalists there will be. Reporter also today the formal announcement of general james maddus. Meantime, there trump continues to tweet out his Foreign Policy defending a call from taiwans president that angered china. The waters here seem like a little bit of a tempest in a teapot. Reporter and warning american businesses that if you move jobs overseas, they may be making a very expensive mistake. Trumps proposal to impose a 35 tariff on companies that take the jobs overseas and try to sell back here to the u. S. But critics say that will just end up in your wallet as the prices are raised. Tracie potts there for us. She is always busy. Really keeping her busy. No doubt about it. Coming up, the details on the market shrug. Youre watching Worldwide Exchange on cnbc. Good morning. Italys Prime Minister resigns following a referendum defeat. The Global Reaction straight ahead. And trumpenomics. The tweets you need to see coming up. And how to take a trip to outer space. Its monday, december 5, 2016. Youre watching Worldwide Exchange. Good morning and a very warm welcome to Worldwide Exchange on cnbc. Im wilfred frost along with Courtney Reagan in for sara. Court, good morning. Good morning, wilfred. Straight to market action, declines last week. We did see the dow fractionally down. The s p down 1 . The nasdaq down most significantly about 2. 5 . Within the s p, 8 out of 11 sectors in negative territory. The tech down 3 . Energy the best up over 2. 5 . Oil rallied significantly some 12 . Well get to the reasons for that in a moment. Today we are expecting a higher open. The dow up by 75 points. The nasdaq up 22 points. The s p up about 107 points. That comes largely because of the positivity in european trade. Despite a resounding no vote against the incumbent Prime Minister matteo renzi leading to his resignation in the constitutional reform referendum. Why is the reaction so positive despite the bad outcome for the establishment . The transition postrenzi is looking to be relatively stable. So we have the bad outcome in the vote, but the realization that the worstcase scenario is highly unlikely, and by that i mean the possibility of an antieu party coming to power is still a long way off. So were seeing rallying markets across europe including in italy despite the fact that the italian banks are down sharply. Asian trade, more negative perhaps because they were open earlier before this positivity came out in european trade. Also because of some of that china taiwan trump discussion over the weekend. And also we saw the new zealand Prime Minister resign unexpectedly for family reasons. John key was in the post for eight years and pretty much liked across the region. So were seeing asian trade negative this morning. As we look at what is going on in the broader markets, oil prices are higher again today. Last week for the week oil prices were up more than 12 . You can see here, both wti crude and brent up about 1 or so. Gas prices also, you know, are rallying to multiyear highs. I should say 6 year over year, thats per aaa for all the drivers out there. As we take a look at what is going on with the tenyear, we are sitting near 2. 4. About where we were on friday on the back of the jobs number. So relatively unchanged for that metric. And the dollar is seeing some Movement Today against the euro. We saw bigger movements initially. And as wilfred just went through, the reaction to the italian referendum with things settling for the euro dollar from what we saw in early action against the pound just about flat there for the dollar pound trade. And if we take a look at what is going on with gold prices, gold is down about 1 . Were sitting at 1166 or so there for the precious metal. Italy is delivering a stinging loss to matteo renzi after the defeat of the reform referendum that renzi championed, then he announced his resignation and took responsibility for losing the vote by a 60 40 margin. The antiestablishment fivestar movement is ready to govern the country, but still a lot of hurdles before

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