Comment about the virus, evade reality show like tease of a surprise to come. As far as the joining with us on the vaccines and they are w therapeutics, id like that even better. Were working very well on both. I think were coming up with some great answers. I think youll have a big surprise, a beautiful surprise sooner than anybody would think. A beautiful surprise. Dont touch that dial. Dont lose more of your faith in me. Hes still got tricks up his sleeve so he says. Erica hill has more,er erica . Reporter its interesting the president is not wearing a mask because more and more is those masks are being mandated if not at the state level, then certainly at the local level as concern grows with cases and hospitalizations surging. California, the first state to issue a stayathome order shattered a daily high set only two days ago adding more than 7,000 new cases on tuesday. It is our behaviors that are leading to these numbers and we are putting peoples lives at risk. Reporter covid related hospitalizations and icu admissions also at an alltime high. The numbers in arizona, florida and texas also surging. This is not just increase in the number of cases, its the slope, the way its accelerating. Its almost vertical. Reporter one south Florida Health system seeing a more than 100 increase in the number of covid19 patients in the last two weeks. Were not where we need to be. If you dont like wearing a mask, you wont like wearing a ventilator. Reporter as of tuesday, 12 of arizonas icu beds were available. Well go into Surge Capacity mode probably by fourth of july. The most urgent thing i think is to get the Hospital Systems ready. Reporter nationwide, more than half of u. S. States reporting an increase in new cases over the past week. New york, new jersey and connecticut where cases are trending down want to keep it that way. People coming in from states that have a high infection rate must quarantine for 14 days. Reporter as of wednesday night, eight states subject to the new order that comes with hefty fines in new york state starting at 2,000. Its time for personal responsibili responsibility. Reporter the new york city marathon, which attracts more than 50,000 runners and more than a million spectators every fall cancelled over coronavirus fears. Major league baseball, however, will take the field this summer 60 games starting in late july. Coinciding with that news, more positive cases among the phillies and reports of infection for the rockies, too. And where do states stand on the mandatory use of masks . Reporter so more are adding those mandates. North carolina today, governor roy cooper announcing one for his state and we keep going back to florida. Governor ron desantis was asked again today about a mandate for his state as we see not only cities but counties in southern florida put them into place. He said hes encouraging people to wear those masks. He doesnt think enforcement would be an effective use of resources so he has no plans for a statewide mandate. Were hearing again from dr. Fauci. He said very clearly today just look at the data when it comes to masks. He said this should not be a political issue, its a Public Health issue and people looking at it through the political lens, time to get past it. Thanks very much. More on the modelling suggesting deaths may be lower with safeguards of masks and social distancing kept in place. Joining me is dr. Chris murray at the institute for health met tricks and university of washington and chief medical correspondent dr. Sanjay gupta. You chose to show three different scenarios when you compare the current prediction scenario to the universal mask scenario that assumes 95 of people in the u. S. Start Wearing Masks far off from, by that simple act we could save 33,000 lives by october 1st. I mean, it really is all down to the masks . Its an incredibly simple, cheap and now turning out to be effective intervention both for individuals but also for communities and thats why we were pretty amazed at how big the effect is for the country. So absolutely. There is no reason that every state shouldnt do what other states are starting to do, which is mandate mask use. Sanjay, its incredible. You know, every time you think about should i put a mask on or not, 33,000 peoples lives would be saved by october. Thats stunning. Sosh sorry, were having problems with sanjays mask. Well continue with dr. Murray. Can we continue to open businesses and keep people safe as long as people are Wearing Masks even in hot spot areas . Well, i think its going to be a balance, anderson, which is in places where transmission is really taking off, we may need to do more than just masks but for pretty much every state that weve looked at, if we can get people to wear masks, we cannot only save lives but i sort of think of it as we can also save the economy because we can keep business going if we can convince people this is the best strategy we have hat hand. Sanjay, it seems harmful what the administration is doing on one hand pushing for reopening but at the same time, not pushing with equal force to remind people that okay, wear masks when youre out, social distance when youre out and going to businesses. And not advocating from things that keep us from going back into shutdown mode again. Thats an irony. I will point out, there are countries around the world including south korea which never really went into a shutdown mode but because of testing and because of masks, they have had tremendous success. I mean, they had fewer than 300 people who have died here, you know. One thing that sort of strikes me here and im curious because we talked to dr. Murray so many times over the last few months, still, though, 146,000 people you say would still die if 95 of people are Wearing Masks, right . Is that true . I mean, does that make the argument that we still need to go into some sort of shutdown or stay at home mode . Well, remember that 121,000 of those deaths have already occurred so yes, there is still going to be 25,000 people that may likely die between now and october. But remember, were in this for the long haul because we know that there will be more of the fall and so i also think we have to tamper the strategies with that longer term view. So i think our best strategy right now outside of the big hot spots is really to focus on mask use and then in some of the hot spots, yes, we might need to scale back on some of the or reimpose some of the mandates. Is that dr. Murray, youre saying kind of we need to focus on masks now, is that because youre sensing and youre seeing that people are just fed up with being inside and all the social distancing and cant maintain that . I mean, obviously from a medical standpoint if everyone was in lockdown, that would be better from a medical standpoint but from an economic one, its not. Since were in it for the long term, give people this breathing space now the weather is warm and numbers are somewhat down because of some warmer weather because come the fall, winter, its going to wallop again. Exactly. I think were going to see kids going back to school in september, at least in some places. The Colder Weather coming in, were going to see, you know, increases coming pretty much all over the country and we can manage most of the harm, not all through masks over the summer so exactly. I think we need to take the long view and think about how were going to get through as a country, you know, right through to basically a year from now. Sanjay, it is i mean, just kind of hearing dr. Murray saying a year from now, just thinking about this as its going to go on for another year, i mean, just hearing that i kind of have to want to pause and just wrap my mind around that because its sort of i mean, its just an agonizing thought for everybody. No, i know. I feel the same way. I mean, you know, you do again have these countries around the world where youve its definitely not the same as it was but they have a sense of normal si thmal si where things functioning and you interviewed the people that wrote this the dance with the virus, you learn how to live with us in different ways. Im really struck by the idea these simple npis, none pharmaceutical interventions can have such an impact. We assumed and guessed they would but there is good data around this. Its going to be awhile still but there is ways to get through it and ways that are less painful than they are now. Dr. Murray, i know this is probably an obvious point but i think its an important one just to emphasize. It didnt have to be like this. We didnt i just want to be clear and correct me if im wrong from a scientific stand point, we didnt have to believe the number one country with covid cases and the highest fatality rate. We didnt have to be in this position that we are in right now where europe ismericans fro coming to the European Union because were handling this so poorly. I mean, we could have been a south korea or taijuan or any of the other countries or iceland, which has dealt with this very, very well and i mean, is that correct that there is nothing inherent about what happened here that this was inevitable. Its simply how we have dealt with this with the testing, the Contact Tracing, the social distancing. We just havent done it well enough. Yeah, we could be new zealand. We could be in stadiums with 40,000 people watching professional sports. Its all about how early you act and act in a concerted way before we get large scale transmission in the community and absolutely no reason this had to happen the way it did but if we set the clock back, we would have had to have acted pretty properly, had the tests in place and had cone tanment strategy in place back in january and certainly in february. And february as we know was, you know, a lost month. Dr. Chris murray, thank you very much. Sanjay, thank you, as well. See you tomorrow. Sanjay will join us once again sanjay and i will be doing the coronavirus town hall facts and fears. Special guest bill gates. Always a fascinating discussion with bill gates. Im really looking forward to that tomorrow night 8 00 p. M. Eastern here. Just ahead, why crowded bars and restaurants in ext text te among the staggering increase in races. And barr and berman and why its painted as a politicized arm of the white house. Adam schiff that led the impeachment investigation joins us tonight. Can i find an Investment Firm with a truly longterm view thats been through multiple market cycles for over 85 years . With capital group, i can. Talk to your financial professional or consultant for investment risks and information. Talk to your financial professional or consultant no no no no no, theres no space there maybe over here . Hot hot oven mitts oven mitts everythings stuck in the drawers im sorry oh, jeez. Hi. Kelly clarkson. Try wayfair oh, ok. Its going to help you, with all of. This yeah, here you go. Thank you oh, i like that one [ laugh ] thats a lot of storage perfect. Youre welcome i love it. How did you do all this . Wayfair speaking of dinner, whatre we eating, guys . Curry. Cacciatori. Chimichurri. Fried turkey. Blueberry. Mcflurry. Cheese cake. Grilled steak. Clam bake. Milkshake. We are americas kitchen. Doordash. Every flavor welcome. Tonight weve been talking about a spike in texas. One hot spot is texas. There is a rise in the number of cases. You can see the daily new case count stayed under 2,000 per day until around memorial day weekend when it spiked. Today texas announced 5,551 cases, another new record. Its not just a rise in cases but a rise in hospital beds with our next guest concerned that intensive care units in texas could fill up in the coming weeks. Joining me now is someone you heard from, dr. Peter hotez in bailor college of texas. Dr. Hotez is working potential covid19 vaccine. Youre saying this rise in cases is vertical and if this trajectory keeps going quote, houston would be the worst affected city in the u. S. And rival what were seeing in brazil. Thats pretty startling. Can you give me a sense how that might actually happen . Yeah, i mean, what were seeing now, anderson, is what i call an exponential increase if you seen what an exponential curve looks like, its flat and goes up almost vertically. That seems to be happening in houston and not only houston but a similar acceleration in dallas, in austin and san antonio. The big metro areas seem to be rising very quickly and some of the models are on the verge of being apocalyptic. Were seeing the models coming out of pennsylvania and a model but the numbers say that well have a four fold increase in the number of daily cases by july 4th in houston. So right now, were seeing a steep acceleration. There are cases were talking maybe 4,000 cases a day by july 4th weekend, july 5th. That is really worrisome and as those numbers rise, were seeing commencing increases in the number of hospitalizations and icu admissions and you worry you get to the point where you overwhelm icus and thats when mortality goes up. Right now we have icu beds and room to go. Our texas Childrens Hospital under mark wallace, their ceo is opening up the Childrens Hospital for adult beds. Md anderson can open up beds. We have more room but who wants to go there . We need to do something to halt Community Transmission right now. I want to play something Texas Governor abbott said yesterday warning texans about the virus. Because the spread is so ramped right now, there is never a reason for you to have to leave your home unless you do need to go out. The safest place for you is at your home. Governor abbott is urging people to stay at home but its not a stayathome order and texas was one of the earliest states to reopen. Do you think his approach back then is why were seeing this spike now . Well, you know, he started out pretty strong. We started off here in texas very strong. We saw what was happening in new york back in march and april and we implemented a very aggressive social distancing program and that was extremely successful. So we probably stopped the virus from really taking off because we halted it early, much earlier than new york did. They probably had transmission for five or six weeks and had thousands of patients in the intensive care units. We probably had transmission for probably two or three weeks and the consequence of that is we never saw the big surge. We were doing great. But then you just had chris murray on and ive been talking with chris and the model at the university of washington said look, keep this lockdown throughout the month of may and then you can get to containment mode, that means less than one new case per million residents per day and your public Health System should be able to handle it like new zealand but we didnt go there. We opened it up at the end of april and then after memorial day, the cases started to rise. But we didnt do some other things. We didnt put in place a sufficient level of Public Health infrastructure and the belts and suspenders that we needed to in terms of contact the level of Contact Tracing, diagnostic testing. We never put in an app based system for looking at local areas of rise of cases of fever. So houston isnt doing the Contact Tracing that youd hope they would be . Its in place but not at the level and scope that for instance were seeing in new york and elsewhere. There were some good pieces in place but not at substantial level that we needed and now were seeing the consequences of that of all those things this very steep price. We also probably didnt va level of Public Health communication because i think the governor is well intentioned doing a quarter then 50 and not just the governor but the county executives and the mayors, i dont think the people really heard that because driving around houston, people didnt have masks on. They were piling into bars and et cetera. Yeah. Dr. Peter hotez, appreciate being with us and sorry with this message but appreciate it. Up next, republicans defending and down playing President Trumps remarks about kung flu. Volkswagen today. Youll get 2 years or 20,000 miles of scheduled carefree maintenance. 3 years or 36,000 miles of 24 7 roadside assistance. 4 years or 50,000 miles bumpertobumper limited warranty. 5 years of connected services. And for 6 years you wont have paid any interest. Down the road, youll be grateful you bought a volkswagen today. Throughout our history any time something bad has happened to us. Weve recovered. Every time. We fall, we rise. We break, we rebuild. We stumble, we learn. We come together. We work together. We innovate and create. We meet up and get to work. We find our way forward. Every time. 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Clearly an issue hes latching on to because he believes