Between harry reids office and obamas office. On theere breathtaking record quotes from harry reids advisor. There is a data point. You hear talk about democratic representatives and, what he is saying about obama is reflective of the campaign. Reluctance to be a to go out and defend the president and there are these problems. You must have aged. You have become a wise man. He reflects and he learns. s reflexes to go into denial. Deflectx is to go to the nial. I have had many losses. You do not obsess about the wins. People are driven by a fear of failure. I thought obama was going to the democratic nomination because he lost the house race. Gotought dan malloy reelected by 3 , a landslide. I agree with those who say that we jump too early to 2016. Lets jump to 2016. Run . B going to does paul see any competition for Hillary Clinton . Which of you thinks that she needs some . Maggies overall perspective. I will start with jeb and take it from there. I hate this question more than the root canal i got this morning. Friends andmy tenent. I see him all the time and we talk like normal people. We do not just talk politics. I think he is today where he was and 2012. 8 he has not shut it off. He has been transparent in saying where his head is and what his timeline is. He is seriously considering it it. Stop considering he is setting a timeline for himself at the end of this year. It does not mean that you will know. I may know. If he makes an announcement, it will not be until the first water or so of next year. Quarter or so of next year. Everyone thinking of running to president has to ask two questions. Do i want to run . What is my agenda . Can i tell the American People what i stand for from a positive place . I think jeb may have answered that already. Is, shoulduestion i run . Vortex of politics has become a blender. It means that you are guaranteeing that you are going to be fighting for your life blendertype hunger game under National Scrutiny for, at least, a year. By being in aed higher level of scrutiny for an additional year. If you happen to win the damn thing, you are in that the rest of your life and you come out of the white house looking like you have been in an aging room. Question forty somebody who is in a good place in his life, that is the failed, that is happy, that is making a difference, they get to spend time with his family, see his grandkids. The answer is, i do not know. I do not think he knows. He is considering it and is serious. Bushst people regard jeb as the former governors son. We have someone who regards him as a tenant. That wethe copy do not know if hillary ariuss going to run. I have never seen this kind of early support for a candidate from the Grassroots Level and people who were not even born when her husband was running all the way up to the biggest donors and supporters. It is remarkable. I think shethat, will have a primary opponent and it is a good thing. The challenge of Hillary Clinton is the best thing that happened to barack obama and Hillary Clinton. They improve each other. I saw her after she got out of the race. She was really admiring obama because she likes toughness. The question that voters have, is he tough enough. Es. He is. Rand paul . He could. Someone could. Ron paul. W. Bush prosecutor and patd won it buchanan got a third of the vote. Is herng it will force working through the question of obama. You cannot run from him. My view of him is that he has done a ton of good for the country and his legacy could be great. Like all president s, except my boss, he had a sixyear dip. Andound down the bush wars killed bin laden. He won a latin grammy nobel peace prize, i am sorry. There are people on the left who are dissatisfied with obama and they will be with hillary. It is good for the party and for her as a talent. It is a pain in the neck. Nobody likes to get attacked. I do. Think i think i covered hillary more than jeb. I saw that. Transferring her soon. I think it is right that jeb bush has been straight . I think he wants to be president wants tonot sure he run. Once that is true of everybody. Not all of us will run for president. In terms of Hillary Clinton, i think there was night and day between the first half. I think she was pretty terrible. I think the book tour was ready terrible. Correction. Course i think there will be a primary challenge. That is where the party is. I do not know who it will be. You had andrew cuomo, who has , overall,ar especially after the spitzer and patterson years. We had a primary challenge from a professor who appealed to the grassroots. What did she get question 38 . She got 37 30 the coolest professor name that we have heard is johnny rottencrotch. My mother made me go to confession after that. Money. Had no she got almost 40 of the vote. Clinton. L be hillary she was not sitting well on the lead. And she tends to resort to tactics over message. That will be a big challenge. She will have a primary challenge will stop what does she say about obama . Does she try to run away from obama . I do not see how she can do that easily on domestic issues. I think she has opened up space with him and it has the benefit of being true, on foreign policy. Foreign policy is not what voters will be basing their votes on all stop my question about Hillary Clinton is not about who primaries her. I think she is in a better position now. Obama was a unique center and a unique candidate. Senator and a unique candidate. Elizabeth warren is not. Obama. Elizabeth warren is not barack obama. It is a question of whether she is prepared for the modern modern campaign. I was struck by watching her the last six months on the book tour. The bookstore was not what i thought it was going to be. I thought it was going to be an opportunity for her to connect and speak with voters. She was doing this. Signing books and sitting at a table, not speaking to people. Her stump speeches were really good. Not all the time. Much of the time, better than 2007. She was not connecting with voters. It was not natural. At that as ay good senator and is good in small settings. It is hard to be the head of year to going to the iowa steak fry over and over. I am not sure if she is mentally there. It will be a question she has to deal with. Ofi want to open the idea the secretary of state at a stake right. Steak fry. Can we see hands . Think of this as the second or 10th question. What is this on . Can you dare me is this on . Can you hear me . My sense is that the democrats achilles heel is the extent to which turnout is analyzed by group. There was a lot of talk about how africanamericans did not come out because obama was not hispanics notor coming out because of disappointment on immigration policy. Do you see that with hillary mark noquestion africanamerican on the ballot in 2016 and the possibility of not a lot of advancement of immigration issues. Do you see the democrats as having a weakness, and not being able to energize . As a republican is the republican achilles heel the first three primaries that favor far right candidates who never succeed in the end. Huckabee. Rcomes romney overcomes santorum. Those further to the right candidates pulled mccain and romney into positions that hurt them in the general. Is that the republican problem . You make a great point. It is fundamentally unkn owable. I dont think anybody really knows. Obama has really changed the way campaigns are run and the way the electorate is assembled, for the better, if you ask me. He saw this coming. He saw this coming before anyone else in the business. The rising american electorate, young people, unmarried women, people of color. They had been poor performers. Itesident phenomenally was the combination of the man, the message, it and the mechanics. Man. Ll not have the i hope we have the message and the mechanics. Here is one of the reasons i am excited about hillary. The formula, it seems to me, is take the Obama Coalition and inspire them the way he did. And, because i am greedy, do better with white workingclass voters. 39 of the white vote. The worst any president has done since mondale. He carried one more state that my grandmother. Than my grandmother. You do not want 38 . I dont. My party has the ability to do better with white workingclass voters. I think hillary can rally the base. It is fundamental. This happened all stop i went through the exit polls of demographics and it is astonishing. Two completely different countries. It is astonishing. Young people voted at 21 turnout. 36. 4 overall. Overall, 21 for young people. I say this at every college campus. Get freeold People Health care in america . Take a guess . 100 . What percentage of young people get free college . 0 . Why . Called, a great song you cannot win if you do not play. Old people vote will stop openable vote old people vote. President impressively inspired young people, unmarried women, people of color. Can we pick that up . Democrats need to remain in the game and build on this. That is the roadmap. Continuing to lift the rising american electorate. , iont know if you can see am white and a dude. We ought to be able to get some of us. Southern, straight, white, catholic, male, one owner, democrat. Owner, democrat. From the primary issue, the way it looks and shapes up, i think we are heading towards something similar to what the 2012, that similar to in that we will have a host of characters on the debate stages. Rnc has tried to get some logic. Putting some restraints so that it does not crazyike it is, you know, parade day in school and we do not have debate after debate, where people are trying to make a name by saying colorful and memorable 999. It looks like ben carson, rand paul, are going to run. Ted cruz is scoping out space. Peopleill be a lot of running. Myself throughd a lot of therapy and liquor that it is a good thing. With somethis conviction. It is good. To have these kind of primaries because, as painful as it may you,s entertaining for soulsearching, at the end, you come out with a defined voice. Runningyou may see some know,nnot do that, you shift to the right. It did not work for romney. I am not sure how far to the right Chris Christie could turn, assuming he runs. Or, rob portman. Records. Solid i dont think they can do the metamorphosis quickly and not shoot themselves in the foot. You will see a realm of voices. Some on the right and on the more moderate side. We are going to come out with one nomine nominee. I love the campaign slogan, navarro therapy, liquor, leadership. Have these two answers. Parties are . E the saidnot top what anna about liquor or therapy. Having two parties that are trying to figure out where the soul is, the fight for that on the democratic side will look different than the republican side. I the democratic side, mean, the irony, and you will hear Hillary Clinton supporters say this, was that she was more populist. Absolutely. Definitely. Not even close. Not in Campaign Mode and wrote a book about foreign policy. You do not hear about that. This is a huge debate in her campaign. A lot of advisors were against it. You will see the fight, it Hillary Clinton runs. She is likely to be the nominee. I think she is running and will be the nominee. You will see a hard effort to pull her to the left, even though it will be largely rhetorical, unless she is already there. The language of economic populism in the Democratic Party has changed. T has been to extensional substantial from when obama got elected. There has been a lot of discussion about the system not working for everybody and you see it working with elizabeth warren. It was interesting to see her campaigning for martha coakley. Hillary clinton was out of her comfort zone and it did not end great. She will have moments like that. On the republican side, there is the media primary. We are all writing various versions of who is up and down. Mitt romney is not running. I cannot keep protecting that he is. Nor can i pretend that Hillary Clinton is responsible for democratic losses and mitt romney is responsible for republicans. Debate on the republican side has shifted to the right. What will become a major issue is immigration. You saw this play out in the primaries. When it comes to what paul described as a void that has and you haden on it a catchall of stuff. You had the border crisis, the sil,ened economy, i ebola. You saw numbers going sideways in these races. , the Republican Party is about to have a big definitional moment on this. To dok obama is about something through executive action that will please neither side of his party and will be where republican stakeout around stop. Stake out ground. Hi, i am sarah. Ccourtt the mo school. As a voter from florida sorry. It is rough. Goot of my friends do not out to vote because they feel frustrated by the namecalling and slandering. They were turned off. Candidates, i dont think anyone was enamored. Anyone who met the candidates would agree. Maggie, the day of the election, i think rick scott needs it out. Out. Eaks it song, ike the country shaved my legs for this. Shave. D a reason to used to beinge disciplined and going out and voting for our guide, even guy, even if it means holding our nose. Question . Almost. Was in a lot of that part, at least with the Younger Generation i Just Graduated College it was like seeing issues get put aside. Not the bestald is newspaper and rose around names. Flying. S are this blending of obama and pushedlling is getting more partisan. I am interested in hearing your thoughts, looking at 2016 and further into the future, if that is possible, on how you think and its would have to approach how you think candidates would have to approach this. Our candidates in florida are not a microcosm. President ialat the candidates look like, we should start crying. Let me ask maggie. About thesomething harshness in this campaign. I blame lots of things on Citizens United and some of it in the congressional races, the outside money. Almost all of the advertising was negative. Yes. There was a turnoff going on and you see it in the generation. Your generation. They got really inspired in 2008. Watch, theazing to thing, the sarah palin line. Can you talk about it . Younger voters dropped off dramatically. That when obama got and we talked about this that they had changed the dynamics of the electorate. That is not the case. The midterm is different than the president ial. It is Citizens United. We saw a republican candidates getting by with a suitcase and 50 in their bank account if they had a super pac. Ran against mitt romney by people supporting obama were devastating. President obama look, you see this in 2010 you have less polarized house districts. Makings the way to win, the other guys numbers negative. Is involvedc paul with ran effective and devastating ads against mitt romney and his time at bain , which was his private equity firm. Became, among reporters mitt romney killed a guy. That was what one of the ad said. He gave her cancer. Right. Not white like that. Quite like that. Not far off. I will defend that. I want you to defend vicious campaigning. I will. And, and his allies frankly, some people did not like priorities usa. The Approval Rating was not great and unemployment was high. The campaign identified mitt romney as the likely nominee. There was a moment where they thought jon huntsman would be. Eyeblink and it passed. Kill kmittoped a strategy. Some of the ads ran against romney were devastating and some of the ads romney supporters ran against gingrich were devastating. Romneyer pac backing gingrich withnst tiffanythe color of ring boxes as a knock on his wife. They were rough. Imed Newt Gingrich not laughing because it is funny they tied Newt Gingrich to chinas onechild flows quote onechild policy. That became the cycle. Everybodys favorableunfavorable was at 50 or negative. Atch daniels had netnegative. That is ok. When better than hat than pat quinn. It is starting early and is becoming ugly. It is baked in. The race to the bottom used to get punished by voters. They would punish the person leading the race. Now, it is excepted. It is outside groups. Now, you dont have to blame the candidate. I dont want you to defend comparative advertising. That says, i ad want to raise your taxes, it is true. Any good negative ad has to be factual. Two negative ads that i thought were across the line. David perdue was running against michelle, who was the head of the points of light foundation. She worked for a former republican president for a long time. Foundation gave money to terrorist. They did not fund terrorism. It was not on bushs agenda. It was despicable. It is the only one i can think of, honestly. 100 of our ads were negative. More. Ied to run one i love negative ads. Love, love, love negative ads. If they are factual, they are great. They are really good. It is not that i am mean. Toughen up. You guys are on twitter. You say file things. Vile things. Got said, whyt ig dont you drink rat poison and jump in a wood tripper chipper. I was happy to retweet. Not do it. There is Science Behind this. There is research on this. The more negative the campaign, the higher voter interest. Edwin edwards, who is in a the federalntly of penitentiary, was running against david duke, recently of the clue and. Klan. Klux it was the highest turnout i have ever seen. You can get pretty high turnout. Edwards linedwin is that my opponent is so dumb that it takes two hours to watch 60 minutes. They do it because it works. All the Political Science suggests no. Run anodyne they issueless ads. I can procreate. What the hell . Who cares . Political science on this is mixed. That is for another day. Did we go over 10 minutes . Can we go the full halfhour . We will go till 7 10. I am liz murphy. Like in theooking spring when you have take ruse have ted cruz anding or rand paul running the debt ceiling. What does Mitch Mcconnell do . Hillary clinton gets a big smile. What do you think . Lets take that and the immigration question. I agree with paul. The republican have done the antiobama thing and i do not see how they reverse it. Mitch mcconnell has a hard job. Harder than before. He has to keep the caucus in line with the president ial candidates. While doing that, explain what your party is going to do about immigration. Will theo t