Good morning. My name is peter and on behalf of the nea aan roa i want to welcome you to our list of seminars on ballistic defense arms control and defense policy. We are honored today to have uzi ruben to as many of you know is the father of an arrow system and Ballistic Missile defenses in israel and he will be talking to us about what he called the gaza missile wars and some aspects of iron dome. I also want to let you know that our Seminar Series continues on the 25th of this month with general quality who is vicechairman of Strategic Command and we will also have scheduled Tom Dagostino the former head of mnsa and he will be speaking to us on october to a day to be determined. Our space series continues again on the 19th of this month. The new Space Commander general will introduce our two speakers. Our our speakers are congressman Brighton Stein from oklahoma a member of the House Committee on the Space Committee and he will be joined by highranking air force Space Acquisition official who will talk about Space Acquisition reform, threats to our space assets and secured access to space for our military. On the 18th of this month we have as you know a triad event in washington d. C. At the armynavy club. I have 200 guests with 185 seat so if anyone of you know anything about alchemy let me know. We also have, by the way on the 18th we will for the first time in history every single Major Nuclear command will be represented by a speaker. I want to thank our friends from hungary, england denmark and israel for attending in being here today and particularly i want to say hello to my friend tom who is here as a fellow from georgetown university. Martin feuer who is one of our sponsors from aipac, mikayla dodge from Heritage Foundation who does so much there. Missile defense work and my dear friend professor curtis from the Annapolis Naval academy and my sponsors from boeing and the congressional staff. I want to say thank you to all her military folks here today to give us so much. I also want to say thank you to the marshall is a tape which is here today filming this event which they do grants us as one of our associates and i also want to thank, reach out and say thank you to cspan who are here today who will be broadcasting the event as we go on. Without anything further i hope those of you interested in our further breakfasts will let me know you are attending. Will you all please give a warm welcome to my dear friend from israel, uzi ruben. [applause] good morning everyone. Its always a pleasure to be here in this magnificent venue. This year i plans to be here two months ago but then the war started and i wanted to give you some kind of a summary and at that time there was no summary. It was just the beginning so now that things, im not sure if they are over but there is a phase over and its a good time to sit down and sum up the point of view from Missile Defense and then tell my presentation the 2014 gaza war which im not sure is over. I am pretty sure its not over and i talk about the Missile Defense. I give an introduction and background. Its very technical but i will skip it and then i talk about the strategy and the tactics of the other side. Israel is the achievement of another system here and i will not forget our critics during the war who woke up and explained so i will dedicate some of the talk to them and i will make concluding remarks. I want today to stress like i do every time that all the material you see here is based on Public Domain including releases by the Israeli Defense force. Im not using any confidential information here and i would be glad to answer questions but based on open source material. I want to stress again that all the views and opinions are my own. They dont represent necessarily the government of israel, views and opinions. Some of my opinions are so after this preamble lets go into the introduction. On july 6 Islamic Jihad and hamas ceasefire that the 20 months since the operation. There is a controversial discussion why there is one school of thought. Theres another school that it was a deliberate plan by the gaza sanctions. This is probably will a lot of historians and causes of aware. Any operation launched july 8 there was one aimed to stop the rocket fire and military. Hamas interestingly declared war on its own. A very expressed objectives specified by a speech in cacao and he demanded a list of procedures of gaza and spelled out opening and closing border crossings and international guarantees to build an International Airport and seaport in gaza. While those demands are couched very smartly a better life for gaza residents but they mean practically a hamas state in gaza with open borders for the rest of the world. Free to import any troops and weapons that it wants and without any obligation. And committed to the elimination of the state of israel eventually. With this gap or distance between the positions obviously successive ceasefires didnt hold out. Hamas broke up the ceasefire and finally with the ceasefire on august 26 and 27th its Still Holding its duration and it remains debatable. In israel versus discussion on whether will continue. Within two weeks time we will see some fighting there. Lets now go to the threat. Let me stress that this engagement air campaign has a Ground Campaign on both sides. It has merit or operations and navy operations. Im skipping all this. Im concentrating on this only on the rocket assault on israel and israels responses mainly active defense responses. We have two charts. Which look very similar but this one, the left one is released by the Defense Forces in and the right one is released by thomas. Its interesting how the graphics are the same. Except notice the hamas palestine does not exist here and all the provinces of the military palestine. However if you look at the classification they show hamas and us show shortterm rockets at 10 kilometers and let me say here what does shortrange medium range of longrange main . Its completely different in american terms and the city of gaza one of the main cities of israel is exactly the distance from Dulles Airport to where we are right now. So that is an israel medium range. Everything is on a microscopic scale. We are talking about sizes and kilometers of cities. Longrange again 70 or 80 kilometers about the distance of baltimore from here and about 160 kilometers. Very quickly let me go over the dash and you can see the rockets in libya are from arsenals of gadhafi. The homemade rockets the classical that are cooked in the kitchen made from sugar and fertilizer with drainage pipes or irrigation pipes. And imported kudzu shows. They have thousands of them and this is made in iran. This is aimed at American Forces in iraq. They have all those types. Before i go further here is the new thing. What happened in the last year and a half is that hamas established with the iranian support the arms are making longerrange rockets. When you go to longerrange sugar and fertilizer dont work anymore. You need something different. You need chemicals. You need casings and pipes made of highgrade steel and you need fuses and explosives. And you need experts to know how to make a good rocket. Its a highly complicated process. You need expertise in the machinery. The iranians they help them. If before the regime they supplied everything the underground highway. Everything could be imported into gaza almost officially so my guess is during that time they set up their factories and what it says to them as they need to smuggle big rockets. Big rockets are harder to smuggle. This has lower profile elements to be smuggled in. Much easier to smuggle in sax instead of the whole rocket and they established separately with hamas and Islamic Jihad. Although they are very similar types. Why is that . Jihadis are more friendly with iran than hamas. Hamas had a cool love. Because it supported so for a while there were two separate industries and the finishing factory. So lets go on. The mediumrange rockets, 122millimeter and 2245 kilometers and now they are making their own launchers. You see those in gaza. The rocket, the main piece is the 75 or 85 climate or rockets. This is made of fiveinch, excuse me, its about sixinch, fiveinch pipes. They have all kinds of rockets. M. 75 and has some designation. Those are propaganda basically talking about the same stuff, variation of the same stuff. But from our point of view its about the same. Most of the rockets and launchers are inside gaza. With their fuses and warheads and launches. This is a simple launcher. They are manufacturing there in gaza a sophisticated launcher that they displayed last year. Its quite an elaborate piece of machinery. It shows you what level of Technical Support you need read you need to smuggle in a lot of components. Interestingly enough they put an inscription in hebrew. It says in hebrew m75 so we understand what it is. This is a very smart way of making a racket. All of this innovative folded sheet metal to support the missile. I remember that because we see it later. Thats the m. 75. They have some of that they were mostly taken out and destroyed before the fighting started. Some of them remain. They are imported. The important thing is the differences they have a large warheads, 250 kilograms while the homemade rockets are 40 or 50 kilograms, much smaller. The 160kilometer rockets it still in mr. The origin. You remember in march of this year the ship that was carrying rockets actually a locally made Chinese Rocket w. As two. Its the only one with this particular caliber. It was transported to iran. Went to the iranian airports and from there it was loaded onto the ship in the ship went into iraq, loaded cement, loaded on the rockets and then sailed to portugal and captured by the israeli navy. Where supposedly it was supposed to do bark the rockets and transfer them to gaza. They were taken and the ship was released and they knew nothing about it. They just knew the container. This can go 160 kilometers. Maybe that is this type but theres another possibility. Here is one of those rockets that fell. It fell in tel aviv and haifa. The debris was collected and let me say it looks like 10 kilometers so another possibility is a locally made attack by the gaza rocket industry to make their own longrange rocket. I have said i believe the numbers are very low. They say they fired 11 of them and we recorded only four of them. It looks more like a locally made attempts of beginning the capability of longrange rockets. The quantities estimated, officially of the Israeli Defense spokesperson you can see the distribution between hamas and Islamic Jihad and their other groups too. Its not just the islamic organization. Another three or four or five smaller organizations bandaging rockers and rockets but the important one is that hamas. You can see the shortrange and mediumrange and longrange. The one that can reach tel aviv and Ben Gurion Airport about 500 something. Altogether 9000 rockets and according to our estimation 40 are ready in gaza. So this is i say very Significant Development which is an advantage to them and also a disadvantage because if you can find the factory and you bomb them is hard not to smuggle again. All of this arsenal was at the disposal of several organizations when the fighting started in july 6 and i record recorded, copied from israelis recorded a number of launches every day of rockets and mortar boards. This information comes from her home Defense Command and to them everything that explodes is recorded. The numbers here are interesting. One interesting thing is the highest number of almost 200 per day is still lower than the largest number a year and half ago. A year and a half ago they fired almost 300 rockets and bombs in one day. This time for some reason it was lower. The other trend that you see here its slowly going down in time until the ceasefire of august 5. There was a period of partial ceasefire and then you see theres eight days of complete ceasefire that was held in the fighting breaks out again. We call that phase one. The Second Period again their rate of fire went out but it changed its nature. It shifted here about twothirds of everything was rockets and one third mortars. This was twothirds mortar and one third rocket. I will talk about that when i talk about policy. Another point i want to mention the numbers, take it with a pinch of salt because the data is confusing. There are different sources in the numbers differ by almost 10 . This is not new. After lebanon war i looked at all the numbers by the idf and there was a large difference between them. Because it depends who recorded and what it records. A lot of them were sent to the gaza strip and i have several estimations. This is the number i believe of all the sources i collected. Total rockets intercepted with 755. I have heard this number several times in we lost 71 people but only to buy rockets. I am my presentation but in the lebanon war we had 161 killed and one killed from rocket. The number killed by rockets came down this time. So this was the background and here is a map of faith communities and cities in the hinterland. You see the numbers are very impressive. The brunt is on the south of israel. 370 rockets. Those are the rockets that reigned at the cities. Some of them did not fall in the city but they fell into the open fields around them. Tel aviv and haifa four times. Iraq, three times. This didnt include the gaza strip itself so i focused on the gaza strip. The gaza angle is our name for all the communities. This is one major city so they received the attention of the hamas 82 times. The rest is 20 or 25 communities altogether and that received their majority of the fire. Mortar 2200 firings and the shortrange stuff were mortar bombs. It takes weeks and months to distinguish exactly what felt. 1 2 of the firepower was aimed against communities in gaza. You can learn or guess from the firing. One thing is sometimes firing fewer rockets in outlying communities in an obvious attempt to spread out Israeli Defense. They knew we had limited amount of defense and the idea was to spread out and to achieve that they asked the allies in the neighborhood to fire rockets and communities. We have some palestinian organizations firing mortar into israel to the Golan Heights. The idea was obviously to spread, to then our defenses. An obvious attempt to threaten strategic targets in order to harm the israeli economy. They fired again and again. They saw the dash of the Ben Gurion Airport. It was a great success. They rated it as one of their main achievements. They said they fired rockets at one of our gas fields nearby which is within range of the mediumrange rockets. They fired and i dont have to explain what is the significance of that. Obviously it was an attempt to harm our economy and dim our lights of course. The psychological effect, the meantime was primetime in the evening. At 8 00 the short time was approaching because it was the hour the news. They had teams in real time taking pictures in jerusalem and tel aviv. It was psychological warfare. 8 00 was primetime, showtime and we all made an effort not to be caught in the shower during that time. That was in the beginning. Later on they kind of wandered around. In the second phase between august 191026 they shifted the fire. The brunt of the fire went to gaza. Quite successful, to cause Mass Evacuation of the people. Again they saw this and achievement. They use mortar fire against communities and fired less towards the hinterland of israel. The fire policy and the tactics. You could see huge, dozens and dozens of rockets firing at a single target. There was obvious attempt to break through protective screen by inundating it, by flooding it. They didnt succeed. A few days into the campaign you could see the more thrifty policy and the size of going down and becoming thinner and leaner travel plea to save ammunition. They were preparing for extended campaign. In the second phase of the operation when they shifted to the gaza communities we saw one rocket, a single rocket. Obviously they were saving ammunition. There is a possibility that they were approaching the end of the bombing. My feeling was they were running out of longrange rockets. The most significant and smart thing they did was those launchers. The launchers were in a small area. So they dug everything underground. We dont have time to show videos on how they fired with a timer. An indian journalist took the whole sequence from his hotel window. Those launchers were located in places that would cause a lot of damage. This come i think its a hotel in gaza. The launching site is this is from gaza. Here you see as being fired from gaza. Im sure people have of all map of all the houses in the maps and they could identify the street in the number for which that launchers firing. These are residential areas with a lot of innocent civilians leaving them. That was human shielding was a deliberate policy and ice on the news this morning that Hamas Community inquiry about abuse of human rights and war crimes, they can make an omission but in some cases within the populati population. They apologized and said gaza is a Population Center so they had to do it. So this was their policy and their strategy. Lets now go to speak about what israel did about it. Israel did a lot about it offensively and defensively. Because my name topic is Israel Defense i will speak shortly about the offensive but it does not mean it wasnt successful. It was quite successful in effect. My point is th