Out is suddenly getting very interesting, very tight. Following on the candidates anywhere and everywhere. You can see how this is because their heads are bigger than the state they are in. Governor pence in omaha coming back to new york city tonight. Senator kaine in ohio. Donald trump of multiple events in ohio later run. We are told back in new york city and Hillary Clinton holding a rally with first Lady Michelle obama. The first time they will be campaigning together. All of this has pulls across the country began to tighten. What do you have . The races to your point getting closer. Getting donald trump to the 270 votes needed to be the next president remains difficult which we will show you in a moment. The better trendlines in four key states and the first two will show you are going blue states. Florida is where we begin in for some ways in some ways the trump argument to win begins and ends in florida. The trendlines are good youre donald trump of it not been Hillary Clinton is living down. A bloomberg poll showed donald trump by two this week in florida and the average certainly getting closer. Nevada is a very interesting state will watch closely on Election Night to see because its been a lane who stayed throughout. The blue lines moving down a little bit that the other line is moving up and that is more significant. A close race in nevada. One poll showed it dead even. 4343. The next day we will show you and you talked about ohio and the attention being paid by the Trump Campaign today. The red line across the blue line. The trends are positive for trump. Is that the little bit in ohio. We still have it as too close to call. Finally, pennsylvania, more of a stretch for the Trump Campaign. The lines have been and continue to be far apart. The real core politics. A little bit letter briefly. Its about a fivepoint gain are still in the state of pennsylvania appeared with that, we go back to the map. This is where things get difficult because even if you start to take state thought and give states like iowa and ohio and certainly not carolina. Its not a case made by any means. If Hillary Clinton may be a pointer to in the same is in arizona and utah. A lot has been made about how close that is because a thirdparty candidate. What starts to happen here ishao do. It took us a lot just to get here for donald trump without talking about the states we just mentioned. Florida is not this one. It has to go read if trump has any hope of winning it on november 8th. Out west as i said that is very interesting. Still it to 73. One vote up for grabs for Hillary Clinton from Donald Trumps dave. Give us one more state. Pick them in New Hampshire. Its tough. Down in the states. Its like pennsylvania, but the average polis we showed you was down there. Difficult to get this map passed the point. You talk about those trendlines. They got twopoint the week. In those states, maybe with the exception of maybe New Hampshire , it is not enough to close the gap. Connell ray. So it really is a pic on here. New hampshire, pennsylvania, maybe colorado. All of those states in the Trump Campaign talk about this the other day. Five, six, seven, eight points. This is at the moment a best case scenario. Hes doing better the last few days. Neil if only we had started this search may be one week earlier. That is very interesting development. In the meantime all of these various foxholes do show this consistent and rather intriguing developments among independents. Donald trump doing better and better and better. Its not enough to put him over the top to say nothing of what has been able to do with africanamericans and hispanics. With Neither Group is he running away with it but he is garnering percentages that were higher that mitt romney enjoyed four years ago. Is that enough to change the math with less than two weeks ago . Democratic strategist. We are watching this close to let me begin with you. Ive heard various talk like that. Its nice to see among republicans, conservatives, nice to see donald trump searching. We wish he had done this a little sooner. Obviously we have a ways to go. What do you make of this late break here. This is good news for donald trump. Hillary clinton is leading trump in the polls. Only 3 nationally. Trump doing much better but the independents. He has taken the lead by 13point. Not long ago they were tied with independents. But the independence of the momentum and enthusiasm that trump has with his supporters and especially with independents, that is something that can help pull them over. Neil to know, the one thing ive learned covering these things every four years as the state that are must wins or crucial for either candidate and a plain out a little bit differently. Few could envision 2000. Few could have envisioned in 2004 that it would come down to 40, 50,000 ohioans deciding to raise. There is much that will be a surprise on election day. Where do you think the surprises are . I think the surprises are in arizona. Utah is the Biggest Surprise so far this campaign. We havent had a thirdparty candidate when since 1945. This is in a guy running nationally. That could actually be the Biggest Surprise. If donald trump does not win utah, theres so many things to look at within that state for strategy Going Forward especially thirdparty candidates. Pennsylvania unfortunately estate donald trump has to win for there is no math here is trending the wrong way. Florida could be one of the flips for all the suddenly out of the panhandle after the polls close to make a call up for trump which could be a big true. Still not enough math to get him over the finish line. We are rearranging the chairs. Neil one of the things i noticed if youre donald trump and you pick up florida to choose North Carolina when it looked like you wouldnt, then what . Is that all awash in the end or is there something to this . You were crunched numbers for a living. Youre pretty good at contrarian investing as well. The contrarian view is the only one of you that if you go by consensus pull, general polls, he isnt doing well. What do you look at . Im on the contrarian side. Down here in florida granted im probably right in the middle of round zero of the red area of florida. But still i have not talked to one person across the state that is going to vote for hillary. Surprise number one. [inaudible] thats definitely a good point. I think surprise that he wins florida easily. I think there is a lot of people in the polls who are reticent to say that they are voting for trump because its not politically correct or they dont want to be branded as one of those people. The other surprise. Some of these states that are tight, and its kind of like brexit. We woke up and i say that there is a lot of sentiment for the u. K. To leave the e. U. That might be the case with trump. Neil when you look at you look at bat in the old argument and a lot of people have been raising this with me that their support is understated in the polls. Of course i heard that from romney folks. This sort of like an old reliable tests. I guess what im asking here are some of these other issues popped up since namely the problems with the Affordable Care at and some of these revelations that do come out and people remind other issues besides Donald Trumps comments to women that it is getting out there and it is something dragging her support. Is really breathtaking the number of americans who have been harmed by obamacare and more to come. The numbers are staggering. When he mentioned that people who are not above ground and their support for donald trump, i talked to a number of individuals who are Trump Supporters and they are afraid to mention. Neil i also talked to a number youve been out. Obviously its a little bit more for donald trump. Theres just as many who can admit to people i settled on her. To take away from that is Hillary Clinton presidency will be a continuation of president obamas presidency. Obamacare, high tax regulation americans are being harmed by the policies. Neil high approval rating. When you think of that that there is something gaining traction here reminded a lot of people they sold us a bill of goods is now just the fight. I think theres an interesting little dichotomy going on. Today i got the newspaper Washington Post at home and theres a whole story losing support, quitting fundraising. Theres the wikileaks email that come out. No matter how hard we try to tie these directly to Hillary Clinton and then set you the overzealous staffers and everyone else around her and they are getting in trouble. It never goes directly to them. I understand. Now theres another group. In your previous segment he talked about the obama coalition. Theres one key part and that is where we see a huge shift to the left which is something that could undermine, something no one watching. These women cannot go in and put their mark and stand behind demand reset the things he said about women. Neil a good many of them do. Do you think its possible people are saying one thing, ourselves included into quite the opposite. The mac share. Despite the fact that joe reid space to create the elect Hillary Clinton gives out every day, which i also do come in the fact that the Mainstream Media is fully 100 behind clinton, besides the fact that trump is really a horrible candidate, despite all that, he is dead even almost in the polls. [inaudible conversations] conservative newspapers [inaudible conversations] neil some Trump Supporters now and then unlike kerry who is yet to understand how anyone of florida has voted. He leaves his compound, looks around and has no idea. Thank you very much. Great seeing you well. Apple is trying to get its mojo back today with a big announcement on the new map works in computers. That used to be their whole enchilada, everything. Now if the iphone and this other fancy gadget, some say apple has forgot them. This looks like a promising new crop of products. But what if i told you microsoft is the new cool, not apple. Hold onto your keyboard. Meanwhile, some new wikileaks coming out, the drip, drip, drip that now its causing some Serious Problems for Hillary Clinton. As a combination of see products. And customers. Every ontime arrival is backed by thousands of od employees,. Who make sure the millions of products we ship arrive without damages. Because od employees treat customer service. Like our most important delivery. Od. Helping the world keep promises. Neil it is called pay to play, it is a concept to understand. You get the money and hopefully you get something for it. And the latest wikileaks dropped today, a lot of concerns about Clinton Foundation donors to get just that kind of access. Peter barnes of not. Hey, peter. Reporter hi, neil. This email from july 2015 from the head as a think tank to the Clinton Campaign chief is that john podesta about secretary clintons email controversy. Do we actually know who told hillary she could use a private email and has that person been drawn and quartered the whole thing is as sane and pain. She didnt take out those letters like we did. Second, there is an exchange between Hillary Clinton and her aides there raises questions about the impartiality of the Democratic National committee, something Bernie Sanders questioned during the primaries and caucuses another pic for someone to manage the dnc election planning robbie buck to a Top White House official had to get ian teacher Debbie Wasserman schultz on the same page with the campaigns choice and not choice did not end up getting the job. Finally, in your email that details what the Washington Post, this memo attached to a describing what the Washington Post is calling a circle of enrichment involving the Consulting Firm of top aide to bill clinton dubbed ban and the former president. The 2011 memo details how band and his friends with the donations to the Clinton Foundation for donors who hired no clip and for speaking another work. By that november, partners had raised more than 8 million for the Clinton Foundation and had arranged for bill clinton to get paid more than 3 million for speeches. The sports and had the memo shows the organization is trying to raise money for the foundations good work and that clearly shows they never received any financial benefit or benefit of any kind from doing so. Clearly to your point, the staffers for secretary clinton were concerned about how this looked. This was a memo to the foundations lawyers from doug band. President clinton was copied on it, chelsea clinton, it carried the call list, bruce point the board member and john podesta appeared neil peter barnes, thank you very much. House rules committee chairman. Mr. Chairman, i dont know if its a smoking gun, but its at least a gun. Its pretty big stud when you are ponying up that kind of money and expecting to get lawyers involved in staffers panicking about at the very least how it looks. Lawyers presumably go further than not about whether its legal. What do you think . If we receive the information would have been heavily redacted. The facts of the case are real simple. We are using their own words, their own emails, their own transgressions are very apparent amount but more importantly they are raising questions unto themselves be unto themselves be at the bottom line you have not gotten to yet but im sure you will very quickly and whom i openly says its personally aware of this and she know shes put herself in her own box. That is a smoking gun. If there is when they know what theyre doing is wrong. This is not political. It is criminal. It is criminal as secretary of state for them to use the Clinton Foundation and their own fundraising operation personally for the president and try and hide this from the american public. This is what we talked about in october surprise. I dont think it gets any better than this. Neil bottom line is gotten very little press scrutiny. A lot of emails back and forth prior with media figures themselves. Leaving that aside, very few today that involve mrs. Clinton herself. None directly. So Hillary Clinton herself can argue whatever goes back and forth between my staff or john podesta had no control of even though thats not for making clear that she was being pretty sloppy with her image and her husband with this foundation and they were urgently, trying to clean up after it. Well, there was a feeding frenzy for everybody to benefit off of the transactions. Even staff. There is information about staff even at these meetings trying to position themselves to make money. Neil the even more alarming because this is what gets lost here. Those governments that had particularly abusive policies, for example, with regard to women within the association, the initiative was dealing. That was another area. I get the feeling it was walkable. They were trying to clamp this one down. As things moved on, it was getting frantic. Make no mistake about it. This is what the president did with johnny chung and the white house way back when the book was written year of the rat. Go back and read year of the rat that was written specifically about the use of chinese donors, chinese money. When i sat on the house government reform committee, we had janet reno before the committee subpoenaed her many times. She checked into a hospital for exhaustion rather than coming forward with the truth. Neil a matter of finding out the clock. I wish we had more time. We will be on top of it. I know you are. Democrats, republicans, big stud. More after this. You can run an errand. music playing push it real good. announcer vo or you can take a joyride. Bye bye, errands, we sing out loud here. Siriusxm. Road happy. What . Pony neighing] hey gary. Oh. Whats with the dogsized horse . Im crazy stressed trying to figure out this complex trade so i brought in my comfort pony, warren, to help me deal. Isnt that right warren . Well, you could get support from thinkorswims inapp chat. It lets you chat and share your screen directly with a live person right from the app, so you dont need a comfort pony. Oh, so what about my motivational meerkat . Inapp chat on thinkorswim. Only at td ameritrade. Upgrade your phone system and learn how you could save at vonage. Com business announcer vo you can go straight home. howard stern on radio welcome to show business. announcer vo or you can hear the rest of howard. Bababooey announcer vo sorry, confused neighbors, howards on. Siriusxm. Road happy. Neil twitter is cutting 9 of its global work force among other things as that goes away. All of this after more than a few weeks when twitter is essentially shopping itself around and had no interest of his arab interest. President obama is meeting with the hhs secretary to try to deal with open enrollment in some of these other issues that have popped up including a lot of folks who are going to be looking at paying a penalty if they dont sign up for rejigger what they already have, that could be a problem right there because some folks look at paying the penalty is a cheaper alternative signing up for a system where premiums are moving up out of 25 or better clip to trump senior economic adviser on what Donald Trumps answer is to this. As far as i know, mr. Trumps view has been rated outcome is dark from scratch, but in doing so, millions of people are to have insurance on tuesday. How is he going to address that . I certainly understand the can earn. Its importan