Nevada it moves up from tossup to leaning democrat. The four other shifts we see tonight all work in favor of donald trump. Will they be enough . Well get to that three key states are moving from tossup status into the leaning republican column. Arizona, iowa, and utah. In addition, North Carolina, you see it there, shifts from leaning democrat to statusup status. So now lets look at the totals. The dark red solidly g. O. P. States through the middle there they count for 116 votes. The leaning g. O. P. Stated a another 99 they combine for a total of 215 in Donald Trumps column. The tossups in yellow including florida, that huge prize with 29 votes, they only count for 49. The dark blue, solidly democrat states bring in 182 votes. The leaning democrat states account for 92. Combine those for a total of 274 in clintons column. So, while this map shows the numbers tighter than they have ever been, trump is left with the same assignment he has had if he hopes to win on election day. All the solid and g. O. P. States pick up all the tossups in yellow and pick off at least one state that now leans democrat. We will see tomorrow if he can do it, brit. Shannon, thank you. There is also a new fox news poll out tonight which is roughly in line with the National Polling average it shows mrs. Clinton with a 4 point lead in a twoway race as you can see and 4 point lead in a fourway race. Lets get some thoughts now on the polling from Scott Jennings who did polling analysis for the white house. Good evening your thoughts on what you are seeing. Seeing the National Polling averages come in line with each other. All the tracking polls say the investors business daily and usc poll come in line to show a 3 to 4 point lead for Hillary Clinton. Some belief maybe herding going on where pollsters try to get together at the end where nobody is a true outlier. Looks like a bit of the lead in the national tracking. The question is whether that lead is carrying over to the states which sometimes lag the national tracking. We are seeing some state polls that look a little different than the national polls. Well, and the map that shannon just outlined for us shows mrs. Clinton, if everything holds as it appears, with just 4 votes more than she would need to be elected. Thats the lowest totally think we have had on our map in some time if not since we started doing it that is a distinctly different picture than we are seeing with the national polls. Thats right. Couple of states are on a nice edge. Florida is a true tossup. North carolina a true tossup in the last polling there we have even seen some polls out of pennsylvania tonight showing trump with a 2 point lead. Two surveys showing trump one a 2 point lead in both of them. We have several states on a knifes edge. She is ahead right now. If you lose any one of them, now you are back down below 270 and got to start winning some of the pure tossups on the map. Lets talk a little bit about pennsylvania kind of a garden of dying hope for republican president ial candidates in the past. Seems to be late movement in the truck direction happened cycle after cycle and the candidate goes, in rushes in, sets up an event, campaigns a bit, leaves with some optimism and then on election day it all gets crushed. Do you think there is any reason to doubt that will happen again this time . Clearly there has been some tightening because both campaigns have spent time and money there late. Its part of her firewall. If she wins it along with North Carolina and florida, this race is over. If he wins it, he is still in business. Maybe not quite over the top but winning it does definitely open up a lot of doors for him. I do think its tighter than people thought it would be. Yes. Just looking at the average here now, scott, it shows less than a 2 point load for mrs. Clinton. Thats the average of all the current polls that does look pretty close. This is one of those states without early voting. Its hard to read the tea leaves like we can in nevada and florida and some other states. Right. Lets talk a little bit about mr. Trumps day. He was in michigan or will be in michigan tonight. Michigan is, is it 1988. 20 years ago since it last went republican . Thats quite a challenge i would think. For him to win, he has got, as you point out, or shannon has pointed out, we have talked about this. He has to run the table of the states that romney won. He has got to win the tossups and that still leaves him short. So some place like michigan or pennsylvania, he has to have. Yeah, the three states are pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin. One of those three comes his way, then he has definitely got a path to 270. If he wins everything thats on the board and map right now he is still short. Those three states have the demographics that seem to lean toward his candidacy more than other states in the southern part of the united states, arizona, florida, for instance. So, ohio is trending republican. Michigan is a lot like ohio. If he can flip ohio, which looks likely tonight, then there is some belief there that he could do it in michigan and theyre looking at absentee data in michigan. Absentee voting suspect but down in the city of detroit where you have a lot of traditional democrat votes in the africanamerican community. So i dont know that its polling as much as gut feel, demographics and absentee data that says that the Trump Campaign this might be a place. I must say i have been on a lot of president ial campaigns and it is customary at the end to see big crowds, even for candidates who are way behind. I remember Walter Mondale at the end we had these enormous crowds and it put a Little Spring in his step although i dont think he ever believed he was going to win. Trump is a little different in the sense that he has had these enormous crowds throughout, going back to the primary season. He plays to these enormous crowds. Scott, in your experience you can think of a time when a candidate has had this kind of crowd attention and admiration when it didnt end up meaning anything in the end . He has had big crowds. I was standing on stage in west chester, ohio, in 2012 right at the end of the race when mitt romney had 37,000 people at a rid rock concert and it felt like how could you lose . Big crowds do give energy to a campaign. They dont necessarily translate into winning. Losing campaigns frequently have large crowds. I would trust the polling and Data Analytics more than the crowd sizes. Truly he does have a committed base. Thats why we have seen him weather some the storms like the tape, for instance, he never dipped that low because his committed core supporters, the ones at the rallies keep showing up. Lets talk a little bit about tomorrow night. Im an ordinary guy. Im sitting at home. Im turning on the television, im interested. Polls are starting to close across the country. Where should i be looking most of all . First is florida. If he wins florida, trump wins florida he is in business. If Hillary Clinton wins florida its an early night. Then North Carolina, if donald trump wins North Carolina, still in business. If she wins it, real long road for donald trump. Then ohio, the one we think he is going to flip. If he flips it in business. Iowa, we think he is going to flip that one as well. Early on in the evening you will see a couple red states fall. Kentucky and indiana will go first will go to trump right out of the gate. Florida is the one. If she holds him off in florida, its over early. All right, scott. Good to have you. Thanks for all thanks, brit. You have been a great help to us. Donald trumps final day on the campaign found him racing up the eastern seaboard to four different states with a late stop planned in michigan tonight. In just a a short time he will be in New Hampshire which is where we find Fox News Campaign carl cammeron. Hi, carl. Hi, brit. Laser show is in store for the folks here at the trump rally in manchester, New Hampshire. Home of his first primary victory in the nomination run. And the whole schedule today, is not only reflects what trumps strategy is, but it really reflects what you were just discussing a moment ago. Trump started his day in florida, a mustwin state. He has been campaigning there very, very aggressively with a particular emphasis on the i4 corridor. Huge concentration of voters there often said as goes the i4 corridor interstate 4 tampa on the gulf coast to the Daytona Beach on the east coast, whoever wins that could win florida. Thats where he began his day. From there he went to North Carolina. Thats a red state. He has to defend it. If he loses florida, and he loses North Carolina as you just heard, it could be devastating. Thats why it was his first two states on this last campaign day from. There he just wrapped up a short while ago, a big rally in pennsylvania. He has had big crowds. More than 10,000, 15,000 people in all of them. In pennsylvania he has had a bit of a rougher road there. Lots of eager conservatives. Hillary clinton had been leading in a lot of the polls for quite a considerable amount of time. From pennsylvania, that event just wrapped up in scranton, now he comes to manchester. Not a lot of Electoral College votes here. But a very, very big population of independent voters in the granite state. And that will be a big indicator tomorrow night. If trump brings in a lot of new voters outside of the Republican Base that he has had in many other states, New Hampshire will be potentially a bellwether in that regard and then from here tonight, he is going to have what is likely to be now a midnight rally in michigan. Michigan is one of those blue states that for many years has been voting democrat. Likewise minnesota where he visited just yesterday at the expense of a wisconsin event, as a matter of fact, over the course of a weekend. Another one of those states where he has got to win. Michigan tonight really is his back drop on the final day of campaigning before the actual election day is his opportunity as its been all day long to say democrats, independents, come along. And he is doing very much that. Arguing that his is a movement, which he has been saying for quite some time. Over the last couple of days, brit, trump has been saying its the greatest movement in the history of the united states. A little bit of grandiosity from the first time billionaire candidate as we wind down and start counting the votes tomorrow, brit . Im sure, carl it, feels pretty big to him. Thanks for all you do out there, carl. Good job. Thanks, brit. Hillary clinton started her final campaign day in pennsylvania and then headed to michigan. And she is back in pennsylvania for a rally in philadelphia with some very big named guests before she heads to North Carolina. Wow. Fox news correspondent Jennifer Griffin is at philadelphias Independence Hall. Hi, jen. Hi, brit. Well, the Campaign Hopes to end on a high note here in front of Independence Hall where, of course, the Founding Fathers lay the groundwork for the republic. Earlier tonight, we confirmed that the campaign had sent a cease and desist order to broadcast networks telling them to stop running ads suggesting that Hillary Clinton was still under investigation by the fbi. Clinton for her part preferred to focus on her closing argument. We have got to rise above all of this hatefilled rhetoric, all of these insults and scapegoating and finger pointing and insulting. I want to be the president for all americans, not just some. I want to be the president for those who vote for me and those who vote against me. I want to represent everybody. [cheers] she began the day at home in chappaqua face timing her granddaughter as she boarded her Campaign Plane for the last day of campaigning. She sent her biggest surrogates to typically blue michigan. You have the chance to reject a coarse, divisive, mean spirited politics that would take us back. Can you elect a leader who has spent her entire life trying to appeal to the better angels of our nature. You have the chance to elect our first female president. [cheers and applause] clinton herself stopped in pittsburgh. Then grand rapids, michigan. The campaign clearly concerned that trump has a chance to flip this traditionally democratic state. After she is joined on stage here in philadelphia by president and mrs. Obama as well as Bruce Springsteen and jon bon jovi, she will be flying with bo flying with f. I guess there is nothing like celebrities to back them in. Political panel rick klein political director at abc news and jason riley senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute also a member at the Editorial Board at the wall street journal. So, rick, what do you think . I think that this is a surge of momentum for Hillary Clinton toward the end that i think is going to power her probably to victory. I think that you come down to the battleground states and you see them tipping in the same direction. I think there is a potential here for her to overperform even where we have seen the polls so far. Our map tonight shows shifts that are three out of four of them are in his direction. Those are states that he needed anyway. With the exception of iowa, which i think is one of the shifts. You think iowa will flip. I do. I think that the Democratic Base has been sufficiently scared in to action in the last couple of days. Lock, i dont want to preclude the possibilities here because i think they are real and i still there are still trump path. Hillary clinton has far more of them. Jason, your thoughts . Im not sure hillary has the momentum now. I think she has the lead to ward off trumps momentum. The fact that hillary is in states like michigan and pennsylvania on the eve of the election, you would ask her campaign six months ago if they would be in those states the last night she would say we would be in trouble if they are. And they are. She is going to go to North Carolina later and close things out there traditional lay red state. The idea that she is doing some clean up work here in some of these traditionally blue states that she thought she would have in the bag right now are signs that the momentum is really with trump right now. I think she probably peaked a day or two ago and the end of the fbi investigation probably helped to urge that along. And i think now its about those the day of voting states and running up a big score in places like philadelphia. Thats why you see the rally there i just look at some of the demographic groups in the early liver vote and i look at some of the polling thats come out in just the last couple of days and it seems to converge on seeing a Coalition Come together thats energized now about Hillary Clinton. This latino vote in nevada in particular. Down in florida as well in early vote. I think that could very easily be the story of the night. It does seem, jason, that the Clinton Campaign isbanking o turnout to overcome the fact that it doesnt have the enthusiasm and probably could have never had the enthusiasm that barack obama had from the american community. Blacks are about 1 of the turnout new 2012 and 13 in 2008. They are probably going to drop down to maybe 9 , 10 this go around. But, as rick said, she seems to be making it up with hispanic voters pretty egg cantley up in terms of their registration rates. Theyre just phenomenal at this point. So, yes, i think she is trying to hold together that coalition. The other thing she is counting on, brit, is enthusiasm among democrats iand the lack of enthusiasm for trump. Romney had about 93 of republican votes in 2012. Trump hasnt broken 90 . Thats a gap there in enthusiasm among republicans for their nominee. A lot of the discussion about the tightening of the polls, rick, has been that republicans coming home. Republicans coming home is not enough because there are not enough of them. The question arises if he cant get above 90 it does raise a question whether he can be elected. They needed to come home weeks ago. Closing message you needed them on board. Not just independent voters but subgroups of less likely voters. I think trump has had moments here and he still has a path. And i think the path that runs through the you were midwest. You were states are probably gone colorado and nevada. The last possibility for him is some combination of a pennsylvania to michigan. Then you look back down to florida and you say, look, if Hillary Clinton wins in florida, its over. Were rating that out a flat out tossup. As we r. We at abc. That and North Carolina are clearly in that category. Either one of those goes to Hillary Clinton, and she is the president. We have just been talking in the last segment as you probably heard with Scott Jennings, earlier segment with Scott Jennings where do you look as a viewer on Election Night, the first couple places to look will be florida and North Carolina where the polls close pretty reasonable hour and we have a chance to get a sense of it. Yeah. The only question for me is do they get called early. If they stay out there. Even if its not that close, that will leave some suspension in the night. Every Election Night i ever covered always some state which you expected to hear from