Race. Is that such a good idea . According to the latest that National Poll by the Washington Post, and abc news, the gop frontrunner falls short against cruz and marco rubio in head to head matchups. Heres what the republican rivals are saying on the campaign trail before tonights elections results. If you vote for john kasich or ted cruz, you are voting for trump. I am the only one who can beat him in florida. Were focused in michigan today. We want to do as well as we can do here. Then we go to ohio and were getting on home turf. You understand this better than anybody. Were getting closer and closer to home games. Well take it a day at a time. If you dont want to see donald trump as the nominee, and if you dont want to see Hillary Clinton as the president , which is the inevitable result of donald trump being the nominee, come join us. Let us stand together. And i saw some polls yesterday in michigan where im 19 and 20 points up. And i saw some very very good polls. Im still leading in florida against a failed senator. You know, rubio is a failed senator. Tell us about the numbers for tonight and what needs to happen in terms of the math adding up. Were hearing a lot of scenarios. I spent the day, im spending every day. You should see my desk. Papers and numbers spread out. A bottle of rum . A bottle of vodka in the back. The two big ones being michigan and mississippi. Michigan because of the delegate count and mississippi because if donald trump does win mississippi, it will round out the whole south. The only thing in the south left being florida. He would want to win that to make the map look good. Interesting though. By the numbers, the total vote count. Kind of close. Donald trump at 38 of all the votes. Ted cruz with 31 of the votes cast. Important because between the two of them, thats 69, almost 70 of all voepts cast for either trump or ted cruz. Looking forward to, if they go to a brokered convention, it doesnt look in my opinion. Thats a good point. Total contests. Between states and territories. Trump has won 60 of them. 12 of them. And cruz has won 30 . Between two of them theyve not only won 70 of the vote, theyve won 90 of the contest. Are you making an argument for why there should not be a brokered convention . Why the total contest matters more. Heres why. Going forward, after tonight, proportional. Florida, north carolina, illinois, ohio. Thats 306 delegates. New york, pennsylvania, california. That means Going Forward. Those are winner take all states. If youre just getting one more vote than the second place guy, youre getting all the votes. Thats why total contests really matter. So trump come in with 60 of the total. Your possibly is there shouldnt be a brokered convention . Theyre winning 70 of the popular vote. As we were going over yesterday, the rule if you dont make the delegate count, the rule says you can have that. I want to get your thoughts on this process. It is, theres a tremendous want the two percentages. Tonight our contests are winner take all. It is proportional. Even if you win a certain state, you come out first. Whoever come in second, if they close that gap, then the delegates, we are not at a winner take all position yet. That will be next tuesday. Trump needs to win about 54 of all the remaining delegates. Kind of an uphill time. If you look at what hes had so far, you dont get to 1237. Go ahead. He does need on win the delegates. Going forward, it becomes winner take all, you dont have to win 54 of the time. You just have to win 54 of the states Going Forward. And all you need is one more vote than the second place. Theres why the total contest matters versus total points. Dana . Whoever it is, they have to get to 1237. If they dont, there is a process by which there are delegates awarded. The thing people arent talking about is that state contests are about to happen to award those delegates. Every state is different. Every state has people who decide to run to be a delegate. So those contests will happen the first week of april. Thats when the michigan one happens. My only point is that 1237 is the magic number. When mitt romney got to 1244, there was not any real competition left. They had a big celebration. They knew he would be the nominee. Short of that, they could not have had that celebration. And one more question if i can tag on. I was watching earlier, he said tonight it matters. Well see what happens with these four states. He called next tuesday, not super tuesday but titanic tuesday. It will be like the tie tannic and someone will go under after those results. Possibly. And you narrow it down from there. The two very important states. Not only for tie tanneck tuesday. Ohio and florida. No matter what, they need to win them. If they want to win in the general election. John kasich is trying to make a case that cowin ohio. Rubio and cruz are saying they could win in florida. Well know a lot more tonight. In all the contests weve had, the polling has been way higher than what the voting has actually come in at. So im not ready to call it yet. We dont even have election polls until 6 00 p. M. Weve got some smart analysis. This is why, you know, stay with us, folks. I apologize for that endless amount of boring statistics. Look, 19 delegates in hawaii. This is important because three are mcgarrett, danno and chinon and they matter to me. But mississippi has 40 delegates. This is important because without mississippi, how can you count when you play hide and seek . My god. Im glad i waited until seven minutes in for that. Yes. A vote for x is a vote for y. We need to ban that. Im tired of hearing a vote for trump is a vote for hillary. A vote for laverne is a vote for shirley. A vote is a vote a vote. The person you vote for is the person you vote for. Thats what you should do. You shouldnt say, i wont vote for this person because it will allow this person to win. You should vote for the person you want to vote for. Im kind of tired of hearing that. Are you going to ban people . Im banning you. Too bad. Im in charge. Juan, i hike your color come policemening mine. What do you think about the memo . Theyre all pointing fingers, this and that. Tonight is a big night in term of the results. Well have a much clearer picture. Pretty tight between trump and cruz. What interests me so much, i dont think cruz will win anything. I dont think he has much of a shot and i dont think he thinks he has much of a shot. It looks like a big night for trump. The question becomes by had a margin does trump win . What weve seen in the polls, and the most recent polls is, they indicate that trumps lead seems to be declining or shrinking at the moment. So what does that tell you . It tells you that all these adds being pushed by conservative establishment groups on the republican side may be having some impact on donald trump. Now, if thats the case, boy, eric, that shakes things up. Going forward not at all. Can i talk for a second . I let you speak for so long. Yeah. Im listening. Go. You have an opportunity here, i think, to final out whether or not the conservative establishment has identified real weaknesses in trump that resonate with the base. With the base. And thats the question. We have now Going Forward states where, as you were pointing out. Often time it is limited to republican voters. Not anybody just jumping in. How do republicans, real republicans react to these attacks on trump coming from the republican establishment . Can i just talk about so tonight is the last time proportional matters. Proportional delegates. Not necessarily. Okay. Going forward, like i am. I outlightning 700 delegates. In seven states Going Forward that will be winner take all. All the leader has to do is win by one vote. Thats why a narrowing lead isnt that important. Again, heres the most important stat of all of them. In 2016 versus 2008, the last time there was an open primary, the republicans have come out 65 higher turn out on the republican side than 2008. 65 . On the democrat side, down 30 . Wait a minute. Thats a different conversation. Im glad to have it because it doesnt make any difference. The point is whatever is going on on the republican side is bringing new people. New republicans to the table. New voters to the republican table. I think thats undeniable. Donald trump is entertaining. He drives up ratings. I said whatever is going on. I think trump is going on. If you look historically in previous cycles, when you see one side pouring out. Especially an incumbent president from the other side, it doesnt necessarily translate to what happens in the general. The interesting thing and it is true about how many angry new voters are in this process. It implies that they werent voting republican in 2008 and 2012 when president obama won. We could have used them. So when someone says they are angry and theyre blaming, quote, the establishment but incorporating all the conservative thats may have worked for the past eight years to fight against obama, why arent you there . We perhaps could have used it. Conservatism is not a restaurant you can trash on yelp. It is a group of people who have worked against liberals for many, many years. That have been ideologically fairly pure. They were less than perfect but they were there. Thats important. On a positive note, thank god for National Pancake day. Well put our rally caps on. A lot of interesting stuff. Keep it locked on fox news beginning at 8 00 p. M. Eastern with megyn kelly and bret baier. And then dont miss our special midnight edition of the the five with our post election analysis on todays races coming up. Marco rubios team is blasting ted cruz over socalled dirty tricks. Details on the latest campaign trail accusations when we return. Pet moments are beautiful, unless you have allergies. Then your eyes may see it differently. Only flonase is approved to relieve both itchy, watery eyes and congestion. No other nasal allergy spray can say that. When we breathe in allergens our bodies react by over producing six key inflammatory substances that cause our symptoms. Most allergy pills only control one substance. Flonase controls six. And six is greater than one. Complete allergy relief or incomplete. Let your eyes decide. Flonase. 61 changes everything. The Rubio Campaign is striking ban against a report that some want him to drop out of race even before florida next week. Rubios team confronted them about this erroneous reporting last night. Jamies report was utter nonsense. She did not Contact Campaign prior to coming on the show. It is absolutely false and cnn is doing a disservice by airing that report without even checking with the campaign. Some of her sources close to the campaign, inside the campaign, not the senator himself, clearly not you, saying one of them saying he doesnt want to get killed in his home state. I have a lot of respect for you but ill ask to you stop reading that fiction on air. It is not true at all. Even the Washington Post is slamming report thing saying, cnn didnt have the level of specificity to make it credible. Shortly after that, cruz team allegedly sent out this email to people in hawaii. Wasted vote. Outlining why voting for rubio would be a mistake. Rubios team blasted cruz over his campaign tactics. I can tell you that ted cruz today has been spreading it around. Theyre scared that marco rubio is going to win florida. And it is the same type of nonsense that he did against ben carson when there were false reports that he was dropping out of the race. It is really under fortunate this camp is willing to say or do anything to get elected. In a preview airing tomorrow, cruz clarifies saying the email was not authorized by his campaign. Look, the nature of politics is when a campaign is flailing, they attack and they attack other candidates and they attack their integrity. This particular email apparently came from a volunteer in hawaii, not affiliated with the campaign. Not working with the campaign. Not under authorization for the campaign. Not only that, our legal counsel. Unless you hear from the Campaign Manager themselves to the other campaign, a call of a heads up, dont go with these rumors. Everybody is saying theyre not getting out. Rumors are like the flu. If you give someone the flu you dont blame it on the person who gave it to you. It is your responsibility to keep other people from hearing a room ofrl especially if it is not substantiated. I hear bad stuff all the time about you, dana. But i never probably at this table. Kimberly, stop. Ahh you never report on things until you go and you have it that substantiated. You should be skeptical. Somebody has something to gain when theyre saying something bad. Like cruz or whoever has something to gain. So the cnn producer probably should have called. Thats one thing. Lets say that she had one source, either close to or inside the campaign, kimberly. Why not also call an official spokesperson so that you get clued in on the story, theyve denied or hedged or whatever. Youre absolutely right. With a little bit of journalistic integrity and chasing the story down to make sure you have accurate sources, you can avoid that. Then you might not have a story. So it goes to suggest what the motivation and sort of selfpreservation, selfinterest thats operating there. If youre really interested in the truth, would you make sure before you Say Something incredibly damaging. It is a little bit that easy. Weve heard this sort of drim, drip from the faucet. They just opened it more. Ted cruz, dirty tricks. What ted cruz did with carson when carson said dont believe that. Im just going home to get a change of clothes. So we hear a little bit of layering psychologically. That kind of sounds. Whether it is true or not, theyve heard and it the perception becomes reality. Also, when ohio and florida take place, i think it is unreasonable to think theyre going to get out of the race before their home states votes. First of all i randal the numbers and heres what i found. Wheres the white board . Why does it have to be white . There are times well get an email saying, ben carson may be going out but dont report it because we have to confirm it. For wolf to say one of her sources said it but someone close to the campaign may have said it. I think they should have definitely tied up a lot stronger before they went to air with it. Lets take it one step further. I dont think ted cruz is to blame for a campaign person sending something to or from hawaii. There are so many people involved in these campaigns. If they hear something, they could be a volunteer, a student go. Who snngs one of the spokespersons did. I think thats a mistake. Kimberly is right. Because of what happened in iowa, thats why some of it. So lets everyone step back. Lets move on from here. But cnn needed to tie tim loose ends. You worked a lot of campaigns. Did i. And i love grudges. Guess what . Somebody has a grudge. Theyre going to call me and spread a rumor, gregory, and i like rumors. Then you have to do the reporting. In this case, you know what . There is a lot of logic to the idea that rubio doesnt want to get embarrassed in florida. As a rt reporter i would think theres something to this. If she went and found such a person, i think she was obligated to get an official statement. Doesnt necessarily mean the story was not real. The final point is when something fits a narrative pattern. I know thats a banned word. If it fits a pattern and trump calling cruz a liar. Ben carson saying im having a private meeting and it is in public. Where did it come from . People say ted cruz, you play hard, buddy. I dont think anybody is dropping out before titanic tuesday or whatever were calling it. Donald trumps rise, greg will break it down. Over innovative sonicare technology with up to 27 more brush movements versus oral b. Get healthier gums in 2 weeks guaranteed. Innovation and you. Philips sonicare. Save when you buy the most loved rechargeable toothbrush brand in america. When they thought they should westart saving for retirement. Le then we asked some older people when they actually did start saving. This gap between when we should start saving and when we actually do is one of the reasons why too many of us arent prepared for retirement. Just start as early as you can. Its going to pay off in the future. If we all start saving a little more today, well all be better prepared tomorrow. Prudential. Bring your challenges. Over. Donald Trump Supporters are planning to carry out terrorist attacks on the west. Did i say trump reporters . I men isis. Forgive my confusion. I was watching cnn. Where fans are compared to radical islamists. A mean call of extremist has been the cowardis of muslim moderates who for decades chose not to condemn bad ideas and ugly rhetoric. Avoided fighting the cancer in plain sight. It is now clear a similar dynamic has been at play in the world of conservatism. What is different about the conservative movement is that since the 1990s, some of its most distinguished main stream members have embraced the rhetoric and tactics of the extremes. The problem is not that Republican Leaders should have begun to condemn trump last year. It is that they should have condemned the ideas and tactics that led to his rise when they began to flourish in the last century. I wonder what book he lifted that from. Comparing American Voters peacefully demonstrating democracy had. Blaming conservatism for donald trump makes no sense because trump isnt an ideological conservative. If anything his past beliefs are closer to fareeds. Truch succeeds by cross breastibreasdressing beliefs. Like the black panthers, the intolerance mob shutting down free speech. He would ever say the same thing about Sanders Group highs drool over a social snift fareed ignores harmful beliefs instead to bash scary words and one could call his rhetoric scarier. Comparing him to islamists . Criticism is my thing. The right who now embrace centrist trump, that bugs me. Thats not islamic extremist. It is a mirror that fareed refuses to look at. The thing is, it is a reflex in all of us to compare something we dont like to something worse. It is like, we all do that. Then we think twice and we go, thats not fair, correct . Well, isis is the new nazi. What he is doing there is watering down the argument about good versus evil. If you cannot see the difference, you might not like republican politics or conservative politics or whatever it is that we are apparently headed toward. But believe me, what he just said is definitely going around the cocktail circuit. This is what is being repeated in campuses all across the country. This is what polite, what you can say in Polite Company at dinner tables, whispered about those evil republicans, that theyre just like isisful it is absurd and it doesnt help anybody. Especially i re