These are not acts of peaceful protests but domestic terror. None of it justifies looting, burning or anything else. Regardless how angry you are, if you loot or barn you should be held accountable as anybody else. This cannot be tolerated across the board. Paul lets bring in our panel. Dan henninger. Kim strassel and jason riley. Jason, who won the battle of the political battle of kenosha . [laughter] jason it might be a little early to tell to give an answer on that. We will have to see the polls. President trump seems to think its a winning issue for him, he can in blame on the protests that we are seeing going on around the country. The democrats, i think one of the challenges is he has this happening on his watch and what he can do to address this if he is reelected that he cant do right now while hes president. At the same time, i think biden feels he wont be blamed for this, he is seen as the more call me figure. Hes looking at polls like those who say we need to prioritize, only about 8 talk about crime this is 30 jobs in the economy. If you look at polls, joe biden is ahead by almost ten points. Both sides think the issue works for them and thats what we see. Paul theres no question joe biden tried to pick it from what has been silenced during the Democratic Convention about the unrest in the last ten days to address it but it sounds as if jason thinks hes done that well enough and is neutralizing the issue, at worse. What you think . Dan i would not go so far to say is neutralize the issue. The pivot has been to blame the violence on donald trump, all of these events occurring in places like portland, seattle and minneapolis, chicago and new york and there should be distinctions made there. All the fault of donald j trump. Just of the democrats suggested that most of the coronavirus deaths are the result of trumps actions in the coronavirus hasnt disappeared because of trump. Paul, these are basically postures assertions but the democrats had to respond and come up with a strategy and i think they have done here in the wake of the protests is push hard against trumps law order argument and say the counterargument is Racial Justice in america to which they claim donald trump has no sympathy. Its clearly an appeal to black voters, trying to drive the black folks, young leftwing voters. Trump himself is appealing to those suburbanites that is law and order argument. I think the lines have been drawn although more difficult argument is joe biden. Its a complicated strategy is pushing. Paul kim, lets get you in here to mediate this disagreement. To the extent, there is a disagreement. I want you to address what jason said, focusing so much on the law and order question and crime which is down in the list of voter concerns, is not focusing on what might be a stronger issue which is the economy. Kimberly i do agree. Im going to split the middle, split the difference, i do think joe biden is on defense on this because the fact that he is there in wisconsin when he is supposed to accept the nomination, the campaign decided it had to get out on the ground and he needs to address the issue, they know there is some weakness on this but i agree this president deciding to go all in on this question, in some ways is sacrificing better discussions with him. The jobs numbers that are out this week, his promises to restore and economy, the fact that he has a track record in the he can legitimately do that or some of the things you saw coming out of the convention, inclusivity, opportunity for different groups of people left behind in the economic recovery, those of the president s strong points because they are where he consistently leads joe biden in terms of pulling and what people trust him to do. Paul jason, for trump to win on this issue, theres going to be a necessity that the protest continues so they are fresh in the minds of the people right up until election day. Jason i just dont think this is going to be a deciding factor in the election. When i look at polls of priorities, it is not up there. 30 talk about the economy being the top issue. Fifteen or 16 talk about healthcare. It seems to be way down the list and when you turn to the issue, trump doesnt seem to have the advantage. Hes not someone who people think will heal up and calm things down so i agree with kim that the economy should be where the focus is. Thats where he has the advantage, what was going on precovid and hes the best person to get us back to that precovid Economic Growth we were seeing. Paul the jobs numbers were terrific this week. The race enters the post labor day, where the candidates stand in the states. As the race for the white house heads into the post labor day stretch, joe biden says he will resume in person campaigning, making stops in key battleground states after taking his campaign almost entirely online during the coronavirus pandemic. New polls show biden leading among likely voters in three states with ninepoint lead in arizona. For in North Carolina and eightpoint lead in wisconsin. Lets bring in carl. A Senior Advisor to president george w. Bush. Carl, we are about a week since the Republican Convention close, is it too early to look at the polls and say where the campaign is shaking out . Carl id wait a couple days more. We are now starting to get holes out and into the field sunday night and i feel better about the polls this week than those over the weekend. Theres been a minor type race but its been going on for some time. If you look at the politics average, the biggest gap was just over 11 points june 22 and today its about 7. 2 so theres a tightening but its been going on for a while. Paul that means theres still a substantial lead nationwide for biden and less in the battleground states the use of the survey, nine points in arizona, eight in wisconsin. The president one arizona last time. Carl i want to be cautious on the state level polls, these are fox polls so we had greater confidence in those schools so im looking at private data senate races for example, arizona and North Carolina and they show the race and small lead, we saw a public pool in North Carolina this week that had the race dead even. We have a lot more National Polls so we can construct an average the average gives us a better sense of where the race is. We dont have as many state level polls. Is the president behind in states where he should be ahead . Yes, he won with carolina in wisconsin and hes got some work to do but be careful about reading too much into one individual state level pool. Paul well see where that shakes out in the next ten or so days. Lets talk about this law and order issue in urban unrest. The president is obviously trying to make it a major theme. Joe biden is on the defensive where he starts talking about it but is it making a difference in the race . Karl i think the change in this race going to come by building issue upon issue upon issue to breaking. So will it help them get to the breaking. . It boils down to judgment. His joe biden to week to address this . Is joe biden wrong in failing to address it . It was remarkable, it passed an entire week without mentioning once the lawlessness in american cities. I thought biden was smart to, and say i condemn certain terms the lawlessness thats going on in our cities, people must be punished. Then turned around and diminished saying this is all donald trump. Hes responsible for which i think is says to somebody in the suburbs, think about the people we have up for grabs in the election. They are saying i like what trump has done but i dont like the way he handles himself. When biden says its all his fault, they say wait a minute, its not his fault, its the fault of the individuals provided pick up bricks and threw them through the windows and took cocktails and threw them. Its their fault, not Donald Trumps fault. It overwhelmed it, people simply left it alone and he said i condemn and on no Uncertain Terms whats going on, police must hunt down those people and they must be prosecuted. That would have been better than to make it entirely political and saying just remember, its Donald Trumps fault. Paul the other, one of the themes related to this is this idea biden is weak, hes not tough enough to handle this kind of unrest. Of course hes on your watch so who is weak and who is it . I wonder if the subtext relates to whether biden is going to be Strong Enough and willing to stand up to the political left which has been driving so much in the Democratic Party speak. Karl i think thats something we will see played out in the next seven or eight weeks. Hes done things that have astonished me. He immediately said lets sit down and write 100 plus page paper on how im going to concede to you on most Major Economic social and political and military and National Security issues. That document, the Unity Commission report that they signed off on an astonishing surrender to the left of the Democratic Party. Thats the most liberal u. S. Senate running mate, has sent things you wouldnt have said two or three years ago and maybe didnt even say a year ago. Paul i want to ask you about the jobs numbers in the economy this week because it looks like the economy is recovering faster than i thought it would. Most people on wall street thought it would. We are still obviously have too many people out of work but its recovering faster. How strongly would you hit this issue if you were the president. Karl id be hitting it hard as you go in september and october, id be hitting it hard because you got to make of it. His campaign has to make a but as we get further into the fall, coronavirus received from its position as the major concern. People began to turn their attention to whos better able to reignite the economy, this is where he has had an edge over biden. Morning because they havea chart at the top that shows the sevenday rolling average for cases sevenday rolling average for deaths. We are down 50 from the highs we had earlier this summer on cases we are one third the level of deaths. Not to diminish how terrible it is that 1000 or so week are dying but we are down to a third of where we were in may so that continues, the economy will be a bigger issue in the minds of voters. Paul thats about 1000 a day. Karl sorry. Paul no worries. When we come back, a battle for the senate. Gravels to defend their majority. Our panel look at the races to watch and whats at stake if democrats take control. White house of course not the only institution that they can the november election evers copeland scramble to regain control of the u. S. Senate. Gop holds 8347 majority there now for publicans defending 23 seats this year compared to only 12 for democrats. Our panel is back with a look at the races to watch. Kim, as i counted, democrats are defending, public will lose alabama into more than or at least competitive but you look at republicans and i see at least seven states that are competitive in a significant way of the good news, particularly arizona and colorado and montana, maine and North Carolina in a couple of georgia seats, or at least competitive so how do you see it . Kim i see it the same way, rank them in terms of the ones most at risk for republicans and youd start in arizona where martha mcsally, named to that position is now defending the seat there, has trailed in all of the polls pretty much this entire year has also been outraised in terms of kelly, former astronaut running against them. Many places like colorado and maine you have good candidates but the electorate have simply shifted a lot or in the case of maine where Susan Collins is running again for reelection, is a strong into feet towards donald trump which is weighing them down and the rest of these races i think the republicans have a good shot at keeping thes but its going to depend on the broader race and President Trump because it has become the case that senate tend to rise and fall based on the top of the ticket is dealing so we dont have a lot of ticket splitting so if he does well, youre likely to see the rest of these publicans when if he doesnt, they are in trouble. Paul dan, this lack of ticket splitting weve seen, people simply dont do that as much as they used to and a senator like Susan Collins, she has a very strong personal brand in maine and that has helped her in the past but this time, i wonder how bad, if there is a trump undertow in a state like that were in colorado, cory gardner is a tremendous political candidate but if trump loses colorado by eight points, hard to see him overcoming that. This is a unique election, both president ial and state because of the pandemic, the coronavirus. No candidate is able to go out and go door to door and do the retail campaigning they normally do, the campaign has been nationalized, many are staying at home, they are watching it covered on television and that means watching donald trump and joe biden. The two president ial candidates are now carrying an alternate weight on the rest of the cases. That means undoubtedly we have to get to the president ial debate late september and presumably two more in october. People will be watching to see how the two candidates perform. Big questions are especially around joe biden and the Senate Candidate have to adjust accordingly if the opinion polling go one way or another in the wake of those debates. The Senate Republicans will have to decide how long to type themselves to donald trump, does he have tails or is he going to look like a ball and chain in the middle of october . Paul jason, lets talk about the stakes. Lets take democrats take control, theres a lot of talk some democrats sing we are going to do away with the filibuster rule and we can pass anyway we want with 51 votes, what would that mean and policy terms . Jason it would be an earthqua earthquake. [laughter] there are things they want to do like statehood, the democrats and more senators and puerto rico estate as well, which would help them, liberal constituencies so it would be a huge deal. When he was asked about this earlier in the year, he said everything is on the table. He is in no way distancing himself from some of these policies the candidates were talking about during the primary. Paul they are talking potentially about restructuring the federal courts, for example, that could be a big issue. Theyre talking about the most leftwing, i use that word advisedly, labor law the wegner act way back in the 1930s. They do away with the right to work than in the states, for example so its a pretty different agenda than it was 20 years ago in the senate, jason. Jason oh yeah, its very different. Im looking at iowa and North Carolina in particular, the boat splitting earlier that no longer occurs in 2016. No Senate Republican candidate one state trump didnt also wind. In iowa and North Carolina, they are currently pulling behind donald trump so democrats one colorado and arizona and maine and still come up short but i dont think they can afford to let iowa go and North Carolina. Paul thank you all. Still ahead, Unemployment Rate below 10 in august as businesses continue to reopen from their covid shutdown. Evidence grows that the lockdowns hurt the economy but may not have stopped the virus spread as much as advertised. The economy adding 1. 4 million jobs in august the Unemployment Rate falling to 8. 4 and 10. 2 in july. The pace of hiring slowing somewhat as businesses continue to navigate the often complicated process. The reopening from widespread shutdowns. This is new data subjects the lockdowns did not help contain the spread of covid19 as much as advertised. Chief investment officer. Good to have you back. Lets talk about the jobs report. Youve been saying from the start, and i read you regularly the it was going to be a vshaped recovery, is that what we are seeing . It sure is. I look at the jobs report, the thing that strikes me is all the levels of everything including the Unemployment Rate you mentioned, its pretty much where we were this month, august 2012. That put us more than three years from the socalled great recession. Theyre not just three months off the covid depression. Yet, just about every way you can look at the labor market, weve gone back in three months to what three years plus 2012. That was a nike swish recovery. That was agonizing, it was horrible. This is going to be a classic vshaped recovery. Like most recoveries are. Paul whats driving this . Is it just three openings happening across the country . Is some of this the government stimulus . A combination of the two. The government forced us to lockdown so i guess its only fair the government gave us various relief stimulus payments to keep us going. In q2 2020, we had the largest surge in personal income weve had in history in the same quarter as we had the largest drop in gdp. That is remarkable. The fact is, almost all the joblessness treated by the covered lockdowns was in the lower end of the employment market where people are making lower wages so those are exactly the people there is fairly easy to compensate them and money and then the jobs start again when the lockdowns and they get the jobs back. Paul so some of our favorite economists saying if you look at the data inside the numbers, the actual appointment number should be 9. 9 because theres 1. 1 Million People because of the calculation mistake that are being considered in the workforce who are actually out of work. What you make of that distinction . Weve gone through a period where all Economic Statistics are not only producing magnitude but a volatility but weve never seen before. This is an example, Economic Data is especially hard to collect now because people are having to work from home especially with labor market data with a labor statistics go door to door and takes a survey to do their statistics, thats not happening. We are in the war and id be happy to get in an argument with my friend, jas