But dont call us weasels, we are not weasels. We are honest people. Also tonight, reports are some fbi personnel are furious that the bureau did not do the right thing in the clinton email investigation. Well have a followup report. Caution, you are about to enter the no spin zone. The factor begins right now. Hi, im bill oreilly. Thanks for watching us tonight. Lots of breaking news, including an embarrassing audiotape of donald trump and wikileaks releasing some of Hillary Clintons secret wreath speeches. Well also have Hurricane Matthew. Not as bad as the media behind. We have it all covered on this live broadcast. Lets start with president ial politics. Here are the facts. 2005 donald trump was doing a segment with access hollywood. He was speaking with entertainment reporter billy bush privately about women. The Washington Post somehow acquired that audiotape. Im not going to play too much of it because its crude guy talk. But heres a sample. I am going to use some tictacss just in case i start kissing her. Im automatically attracted to beautiful i just start kissing them like a magnet. And when you are a star they let you do it. You can do anything. Shortly after that tape was posted, donald trump issued this statement, quote this was locker room banter a private conversation that to come place many years ago. Bill clinton said far worse to me on the golf course. I apologize if nip was offended, unquote. It is worth noting that the the Washington Post reporter involved with the tape, david farnholt wrote this line in his article, quote. The tape appears at a time when trump, the republican president ial nominee has sought to make a Campaign Issue out of his owe ponys marriage. Trump has criticized former president bill clinton for infidelity and criticized Hillary Clinton as husbands national. Unquote. All the editors at the Washington Post apparently missed mr. Trumps comments about the clintons came after he was branded a woman hater by his opponent. Also, trump, refrained from mentioning the marriage in the last debate. Now, it seems to me that any fairminded news operation would have included those two facts in the article. Or am i wrong . Anyway, this is an embarrassment for donald trump. No question. Here is the latest on the Hillary Clinton front. The hacker outfit, wikileaks, apparently accessed some of her speeches to wall street people, speeches the candidate did not want made public. A quick examination reveals no big headline but two interesting comments. First, secretary of state clinton knew her blackberry correspondence was being targeted, quote at the state department, we were attacked every hour. More than once an hour by incoming efforts to penetrated everything we h that was true across the u. S. Government. We knew it was going on when i would go to china or i would go to russia, unquote. So the question then becomes why did secretary clinton use a private server if she knew all of that . Second speech component is this, quote part of the problem with the political situation, too, is that there is such a bias against people who have led successful and or complicated lives. You know, the divestment of assets, the stripping of all kinds of positions, sale of stocks, it just becomes very onerous and unnecessary so that is clearly sympathy for the wealthy Bernie Sanders not gonna like it. Now, the fallout from this breaking news is still to be determined. But you can bet it will come up during the debate on sunday night. With us now to analyze further dana perino. Lets take the trump thing first. Do you think the audio is going to hurt him. Yes, i do. Not just with women. He already has problems with women already in the polls. Is he under pempling a little bit with men. But with women, is he really upside down. So, there is that. Its shockingly lewd, you are right to only play that part. But if you listen to that, it isi understand that its locker talk, or locker room talk, i have never heard that kind of language spoken by a grown person who actually wants to be president of the united states. I know that his supporters are enthusiastic for him. In the fox news poll released tonight, its one of the best pieces of news in there for him. Enthusiastic. We are doing that next. Give you the poll numbers. They will offer excuses for him. He doesnt need excuses. Its not about excuses at this juncture. I think that if you want to report accurately, donald trump was an entertainer and businessman for many, many years. And he engaged in all kinds of activities, all right . He said all kinds of things. Not a politician. Wasnt guarded in his private conversations. I think thats the truth. Thats fair. So then its up to the american voter. Women and men, to say, okay, if a guy is going to talk this locker room stuff, does that disqualify him . Do you think it disqualifies him . Not disqualifies, of course not. And i think both of them are were past the disqualification issue because were 31 days and there is going to be an election between the two of them. Woman journalist. No, i dont think it dispawfs him. Disqualifies him. Let me ask you another thing Clinton Campaign comes out hey, you cant put this man in the white house. Hey, when you think back about bill clinton that his Approval Rating, do you know how high that is, bill clintons Approval Rating right now . Thats after all of the things. I find it curious that when donald trump, his first reaction was to he was sorry if anyone was offended, which is not actually an apology for the actions. Then he brings up bill clinton right away. So, he says that im. Bad behavior pointing to other bad behavior. He says. My point is a larger point. Bill clinton is very popular. Indeed. Among the american people. Yes. Who know everything that he did while he was in the oval office. Yes, they do. Does that signal that we live in a permissive Secular Society who puts Job Performance i think clinton did a pretty good job as president. Particularly with the economy and welfare reform, over personal behavior . Certainly for the bill clinton piece. But are republicans held to a different standard . I dont know. Its not just women that are offended. I dont think its just women who are offended. Ryan priebus rnc chairman issued a statement. I do think that that matters. I do want to point out one thing. What did priebus say though . He said, i dont have it right in front of me because it just came out right before i sat down, that no one should ever be described with these terms and its short and sweet and thats it. Its because its not just women who with would be offended by it i think that he will be able to deal with it in the debate just fine. People who want to support him are going to support him. I think this is interesting what Hillary Clinton did from a tactical standpoint. She pulls thought part of the quote that when you are a star, they let you do it. And i think the reason she is doing that is she has a problem with young millennial women. Are not enthusiastic about voting for her. What are they enthusiastic about . Well, there has been a movement on campus, have you covered it here, to fight back from a womans point of view against unwanted advances from men who are in powerful positions, be it celebrity or politics or in management that think that they can have this kind of way with women. Mrs. Clinton is getting into that. She is targeting those young women. Lets talk about the wikileaks thing. Okay. Again, this is the i just there is no privacy anymore, ever in your whole life. Thats true. So they come out, and the two that i read were did you see else . Bret baier on special report went through quite a lot of it with the panel. I think there are some things in there that would make a young millennial say this is what we thought all along. She says one thing to us. She is going to go after wall street. Give me an example. She talks about her being a middle class that she grew up in the middle class but that she now obviously is not middle class. And so she has to have a public position and a private position. She actually says this in one of the transcripts. Umhuh. So i think thats one of the problems for her with millennials because they want you a the authenticity. They dont want somebody who is a typical politician who will say one thing to try to get votes and another thing behind the scenes to try to get intawrt from wall street. Right. I dont know how much this will hurt her. I do think that the time something very interesting. I dont know how the Washington Post got this audio and they decided to run with it. I dont know how wikileaks an hour later a these transcrips to release. I believe they probably had them to release the night before the third debate, which would probably have been even more helpful. There is a lot of gamesmanship going on behind the scenes. Very strategic by both sides. Do you think this is the dirtiest president ial campaign in history . Grover cleveland and im not being facetious here. They accused him of having illegitimate children. At that time that was a big deal. And there have been you know, other really dirty stuff. I think this is the dirtiest thing i have seen it . Feels really bad to me as well because its also its not just the two candidates fighting against each other. Its their supporters viciously fighting against each other. And the press, too. You got everybody in there. Last question, i just want to give dana just a little more time. If you were advising trump and you have to assume this tape might come up in the debate what would you say . I would say i can understand why you would be offended. I never meant for anybody to hear that and i will promise you i will not say things like that again if im elected president of the united states. You wouldnt say you were intoxicated or you hit your head just before you went on the bus . Something like that . No. Because there is probably more audio where that came from. Yep, yep. Okay. Dana perino, everybody. Thank you. Carl cameron will have more on these two breaking political stories. Cammeron is at the Trump Campaign a bit later on. Directly ahead, brand new fox poll as mentioned is good news for the Trump Campaign. Hurricane matthew battering the south. How bad is it down there . The factor is coming right back. Esurance does Auto Insurance a smarter way. Like their photo claims tool. It helps settle your claim quickly, which saves time, which saves money. And when they save, you save. Thats auto and Home Insurance for the modern world. Esurance, an allstate company. Click or call. Esurance does insurance a smarter way, which saves money. Like bundling home and auto coverage, which reduces red tape, which saves money. And when they save, you save. Thats home and Auto Insurance for the modern world. Esurance, an allstate company. Click or call. Campaign 2016 segment tonight. Brand new fox news poll released a few hours ago. Essentially tied. In the statistical margin of error. Gary jobs 6 . Jill stein 2 . With all the problems donald trump has had this past week the Trump Campaign should be happy with that poll. They may not be happy with this. American women as dana perino mentioned 50 of the ladies support secretary clinton, just 38 like trump. Now we have that audio to boot. For men its the opposite, 46 prefer trump. 37 clinton. 87 of democrats now back clinton. 84 of republicans going for trump. Finally who do you think will win the election, 55 of the will win. 33 believe donald trump will triumph on november 7th. Research center at suffolk. Director of the fox news decision desk. I was surprised that the fox poll was so close. Were you . I was as surprised as well. Hillary clinton had a terrific week last week. She has had a fairly good week this week. Donald trump had a horrible week last week. He actually had a pretty good week this week since the pence debate where pence did much better. That may have helped. But i was very surprised by this poll that suggest this race is a lot closer than people were thinking just in the past few days. Now on a state by state basis, are you seeing that its close there as well. Its closing. One thing we noticed that with donald trump is that during the time of debates, his numbers usually plateau and in some cases drop. This was no exception. We saw a spike for Hillary Clinton right after the debate. And now we are seeing the numbers come down a little bit for Hillary Clinton and Donald Trumps numbers are closing a little bit. We released a poll in New Hampshire yesterday showing a close race, you know, and you look at some of the other battleground states over this past week, the numbers have come back. Yeah, we have florida with dead heat pretty much. North carolina dead heat. Pennsylvania, clinton up by 6. Nevada, dead heat. Colorado, clinton up by a little bit more than 4 . And ohio trump up by very small. So its a dead heat there. Im won cerg, arnot, if the national poll, the popular vote poll is going to reflect these Battle Ground states. Its hard to quantify how tonights developments on the trump front and the hillary front. Yes. Certainly more sensational against donald trump. I dont know if that seems in anymore. I mean thats a really good question. One of the things thats interesting about the fox news poll is it is not clear the tax thing last week. That apparently trump was able to deduct a billion dollars and it did not seem to have much of an effect. I just dont know because ideology is so powerful, david, and thats what this race is coming counse down to. A guy who wants to shake up washington and change almost everything against a politician who wants to continue the Obama Administration policies. So, as i was trying to get across to dana, that stark divide may override the personal finance and the personal shah than gans. Shah tha shenanigans. The wrong track numbers are just under 60 . And the reason this race is close, despite gaffes on both sides, but especially with donald trump is because people think washington, d. C. Is broken. They dont like the system. And they think the country is on the wrong track. And so thats booy donald trump even despite his, you know, his personal transgressions and some of his missteps in the debate. Now, when you see a polling trend, change as quickly as this does, it goes week to week. Its like one week there is no chance is he going to win, then he is up, and now sunday, you know, not going to be as well watched as the first one, still get out there through the internet. Dolls that say that there is uncertainty in the mind of the voters. Total. What you basically have is two candidates about whom the voters are uneasy. They have questions about Donald Trumps temperament. They have questions about Hillary Clintons honesty. And more than half of the country actually doesnt like either one. But you have but one of these two people is going to be our next president. So there is a bit of bouncing around that sort of i heard one negative thing about this person so i will be for that person now. I think thats what we are seeing. At some point the public is going to have to decide which one of these people is the next president. Do you think, from your vantage point, the press has a lot to do with this . Or is it just the candidates themselves because the press is obviously favoring Hillary Clinton. Schroll. I would put it at 85, 90 . In fact, david, if you are a person in the media, and you favor donald trump, you get hammered. You get slaughtered by your peers. Not by the folks. Peer pressure is enormous to be antitrump. Two persuadable voters that are left. Unscwoided voters 7, 8 . Gary johnson 7, 8 . That 15 will determine the outcome. Twice as much as it was 4 years ago and 8 years ago. Back then there was more positive energy there was more excitement about the candidates. Both candidates. You have all negativity now. All right. Wrap it up arnot. Most interesting thing the most interesting number you cited was 50 of america think clinton. I would argue the more people think clinton is going to win the more likely trump has protest people want change but feel there is a risk for them going out to vote for trump. Mobilizes his turnout. Yes, exactly. Thank you, very good. Directly ahead, how bad is Hurricane Matthew . We will have an up to the second report. Later 20th anniversary of fox news. We will speak about it in the talking points memo up ahead. It takes less work to do more work. Nothing runs like a deere. Impact segment tonight. Hurricane matthew roaring up the southeast coast of the u. S. A. Jon scott has been covering the story. Where is it right now. About 60 miles eastnortheast of jacksonville, florida. Umhuh. The good news is it has stayed pretty much out to sea. The eye of the storm has not come on shore yet not looking so good for south carolina. Governor nikki haley said the forecast for her state is getting worse you can see just in this graphic here, that radar map what happens in this storm were a clock between the 12 and 3 00 position thats where the worse of the winds are. And all that water, all that storm surge thats getting blown by the wind is getting pushed up against the coast. Florida is florida didnt get whacked that badly. They didnt. Anybody dead . There are four deaths already in florida. You know, again, tell people to take these things seriously somebody went outside to feed their animals in the middle of a storm and a tree fell on them. I dont know boy you feed your animals in a storm like this. Couple asphyxiated running a generator in their garage. Worried about charleston. Beautiful town, low, very low. They call it the low country. If this water surge comes up, it will flood the town. Thats where and savanna, also, is in this the wake of this thing, right . Was i in charleston for hurricane hugo in 1990. They got hammered then. They are used to hurricanes. This one so far has not been as bad as a lot of people thought look at haiti. I thought it was the end of the world. I made my will out. They always do that but you have to. I understand. Ha