Its not even cold. Hey its still not clear what caused a hotel in dubai to go up in flames. At least 14 people were injured. The Mississippi River and a tributaries s e at or near record levels. Hundreds of highways and roads are still closed. Been out here 15 years, and never seen it like this. Rochester, new york, the fbi says Emanuel Lutchman planned an attack to prove he was a member of isis. Alabama booking a spot in the National Championship game opposite clemson. They are still undefeated. 140. I told them, you aint favored to win the damn game but we aint no underdog and all that matters. What is your resolution for our 2016 . I tell you what, my resolution is to make America Great again ladies and gentlemen, Anderson Cooper has bee spraytan. We have live in reno in the hot sun. Announcer thihiportion of cbs this morning spspsored by toyota. Lets go places. We hope youre enjoying the first mornrng of 2016. We recorded parts of this broadcast in the days leading up to the new year. And here we are. Yeah. Another year all together i like it i like it. I like it. New years is a great day for me. You think about what you want to do in the new year. Really . Youre usually a little bit tired. No. But it does make you think what a great year we had going last year and now what to accomplish in the new year. And this year will be better. Dont you remember when you were younger they said time i really do believe that. We e ve lots to reflele on this morning. First, lets head into the newsroom for a check of this mornings haents headlines. Good morning. The year welcomed in 2016 without serious trouble under a canopy of colorful fireworks. About a Million People packed new yorks timim square to watch the ball clop. Some events in yur were scaled back or cancelled because of terror concerns. Police in munich, germany, said they got a concrete trip that islamic militants from syria and iraq were planning a suicide bombing near midnight. Nothing happened and the terror warning has now been called off. Rochester, new york called off its new years celebration because of a man planning to the mississippi and ohio rivers. David begnaud reports, the impact is likely to last for several more weeks. Reporter southwest of st. Louis, missouri, towns are under wateand roads look like vers and homes, some of them are nearly submerged. We are still at a flood stage of 41. 2 feet and it will go down but a lot of water the levee is hoing right now. Reporter in arnold, mimiouri, people are withoutut homes andemperatures are dropping below freezing. Until this goes down and they can come and check our homes and make sure they are safe, we cant live in them, so we are going to be out of a place to stay probably a couple of weeks at least. Reporter the thorn family has lost their home in arnold due to the flooding but for linda thorn this new year oh, my lolo. Its a new beginning. Ive got a great grandbaby this baby, if it comes at midnight, it is definitely goingng to be a fantastic many people who were inside say they never heard a fire alarm. At least 14 people were jured. Top ranked clemson stayed undefeated. Second seeded alabama shut out Michigan State in the cottoto bowl 380. The tigers and crimson tide play in the title game coming up on its 7 06. Time for a check of your local weather. Aafternoon. Afternoon. Football this of College Players in all of the to fense says one month from today, actual president ial voting will begin at the Iowa Caucuses. By the end of 2016, americans will elect a new president. But we still have miles to go in this campaign and we have an ace to guide us this morning. Face the nation host John Dickerson is also cbs news political director and wall street journal Peggy Noonans abs news contributor and the author of the time of our lives. Nancy cordes has traveled the country covering the campaign. Welcome hereen this new years day. Let me ask peggy, what does this signify now that we have gone to a new year in the politics and this race to be the next president . It m mns things finally get really and substantially exciting. We are, right now, going from the past 18 months where feelinand i think this isis going to happen, there is a new poll, dah, dah, dah. Now things are really going to happen. The voters are going to get together and there is really going to be caucuses in iowa. New hampshire is going to ve soon after. We are actuallllgoing to find out if the donald trump phenomenon is real and lasting, and if it is not, we are going to find out what is coming up and who is going to take this thing ovov. Nancy, february 1st is iowa. February 9th is New Hampshire. This is the latest these caucuses and primaries have been in 20 years. What does that mean . It means thatt not only is the president ial race kind of frozen until we see what happens with donald trump, if he can maintain this lead, but alsowill races below the president ial election is frozen as well. House republican candidates are waiting to see how they are going to run their races. Theenteresting thing you ask republican strategist, they have no idea what is going to happen. We have never seen anything like this before so they dont know if trumps lead will entirely disappear when folks in iowa and New Hampshire head to the polls. John, havent some of the polling out of iowa show there is extreme fluidity in the race . There always is. The cliche about iowa is organize, organize, organi, and get hot at the end. We are at the end now. We are in the moment of excitement for underdogs because this is what they have been saying. They said after the new year, then my moment will come as the voters you say norah, beingery flfld, will turn to me when they are going to pick a president. That has happened in the past. Remember, Rick Santorum out of nowhere to win the Iowa Caucuses. The challenges for that undedeog, sticking with oogiowa, the last two winners of the Iowa Caucuses have not gone on. It and didnt go on and bob dole won it and didnt go out in 88. But its suggesting on the democratic side, we have seen surprises of barack obama in 2008 and john kerry in 2004. A late starter to organize and kick off the momentum then. John kerry the long hotot candidate. All of those one or two or three in the polls, they wont say this outloud but say id like to be like john kerry who was 3 in the polls and in part because of hiss rivals went after each other he rose when they fell and that is the hope for a lot of those republican candidates. The other thi that concerns me when we get tthe convention, if, in n ct, it is hillary clininn who will she choose as a running mate and if, in fact, she is the nominee. Will republicans feel like they have to choose a woman as a running mate . Im not hearing that among conservatives and republicans. I remember the dream team was marco rubio oflorida and john kasich of ohioio it was like florida and ohio, my gosh, put that together. Im not sure they will feel they have to have a woman, but i am sure that conversation will come up. Why wouldnt it . And there is a lot of good women to choose from there. E. Who are those republican women that would be at the top of the list . Well, i think the first person you will have to think of is Carly Fiorina who is not huge in t t polls right now, but who has made a rather valiant try and who is, on some level, won some of the heart, i think, of the party. So she would certainly be first nsideration, i would think. I would think nikki haley and governor kelly ayotte . Lot of reasons they would want. Could we look at this day a figure out what the grt debate is about for amemeca in 2016 . I think you have tossume its going to be a mix of economy and foreign policy. You know, in 2008, obviously, the economy. The economy and that really helped barack oboba, but i thihi we are going to see this pingponging back and forth over the course of the next year between economic concerns and then when something happens, hopefully, it doesnt, but when we have terrible things happen either here at home or abroad like san bernardino, that is coming to the forefront. When you pole Republican Voters o you think iss strongest on the economy, they say donald trump. When you ask them who do you think is strongest on foreign policy, they say donald trump. At least for right now, he is sort of rising above everyone. And normally you would think, okay, he has got this huge lead he is up by 15 points. Well in those primaries, but he doesnt really have a traditional organization, he doesnt have people, staffers working for him in these states, precinct captains, things like that. The alternative narratate, draw that, which is given republicans changed, not only the number of debates this election cycle, they made less. They changed the primary schedule. They made it more compact. How will that change and impact a potential trump candidacy or others taking trump out . Well, lets go to fewer number of debates. Its true that donald trumum doesnt do as s ll in debat as he does in other venues because he is not as detailedoriented and lesser for a candidate to not get hi shars of maritime to get in froro of the voters. Yoyowould think they would want more debates a chance to shine and take him down. Thats the way in which its changed. I think another way wt will be interesting to watch, we are presesential pick, it is still possible that because of the way the delegates are proportioned and i the field stays large enough, you could,his is Wishful Thinking on the part of all political reporters but you could have a situation you get to the convention and the nominee is not yeah. Then you have an exciting situation of Republican Party hasnt had since 76 with reagan and d rd. You have a situation you go to cleveland and we dont know. There are people who have watched the unfolding in 2015 and they say that ted cruz really studidi past president ial campaigns, has been a real student of it. Everybody think he is a very bright guy and the lessons he has learned in terms of organization, organization, organization. Organization. N. And also tacktical restraint. We saw him stay away from donald trump in a lot of fights he could have had. And that worked well for him. So he had not only the organization, but also one of candidates who say have run before is the thing they say theyave learned is not to swg at every pitchch which iss to say youou need some discipline and the fact that cruz is able to stay out of a lot of those fights, that may be the thing that really benefits him. Donald trump was not in school that day, was hehe he swings at pitches, the umpire, the opposing team. One of the Amazing Things abt trump is that discipline is exactly the word. When you get i i and you start to win, you start to look like youre winning, you start to look like youre really possible, if you are, if youve goyour head screwed on right, you develop discipline. You show respectct for everybody by being disciplined. You can have colorful programs and colorful ideas, dramatic on but you put them flrward in a thoughtfull and wee can talkk about this way and youre not unnecessarily insulting. It is amazing to me that donald him, has enforced him to exhibit the kind of discipline that a winner must have. Who is that person who could do that . I dont know who that person could possibly be. Oer than donald trump. That is s e answer but nt see how you do it without discipline. If it goes for the convention, a fight of a handtohand fight on the Convention Floor is about discipline and having you really need it. Peggy, thank you. John, nancy, thank you so much. Las vegas is battling to heat things up in 2016. Casino revenue dropped on the strip. Sin city is luring the next generation of gamblers by rolling the dice on a new era. Ben tracy got a look at what could be vegas best chance for change. Reporter las vegas as we know it was built on the back of the onearmed bandit. Slot machines with their 60 profit margin are cash cows. Put them out to pasture. 45 and under are not going to play slot machines. Theyeyre just not. Reporter if he sounds like a guy with something new to sell, well, he is. We are going into a brandnew world. Reporter reg heads one of the companies thatatre betting on a very different kind of gambling. Welcome to vegas pinball reporter a casino that looks mu more like an arcade and a nightclub, filled with games that require skill, not just games of chance. This is much more like a video game than gambling to me. Yes, it does, doesnt it . Im fighting for my life over here right now. I want tourn a casino into where you have a fighting chance to win some money. Use your skill. Shoot a target. Reporter i cant imagine that your sales pitch too the casinos, they dont want a fighting chance to give money to people. The base will change. Have to be prepared fororhe next generation coming . Reporter that generation is the millennials. They head to las vegas in droves and head past the casino and into nightclubs. St 63 of millennials who visited las vegas in 2014 gambled, compared to 78 of thfir parents generation and 87 of thehe grandparents. Young people come to vegas for nightclubs and partying and dancing and no longer for gambling. You alcays have to keep your eye on the prize. Repororr Darian Loewenstein is the steve marketing officer for gambling. Reporter you won 3. 20 their idea is take the games people play on their smartphone an add gambling. You can also compete not against a dealer, but against your friends. As opposed to the focus of did i win or lose money, they Start Playing and get more invested in did i beat the boss . Am i getting to the next level . Yoyoknow . How am i doing at the game play reporter the flip side of that they are not reizing how muchchoney they are losingng right. Absolutely positive. E. Reporter a change in nevada gaming regulations in september now allows for skilled players to potentially win more money by advancing further into the game. But the downside is if you arent gd at the game,ou could loseven more often than a game of chance. These new skillbased games are expected to hit casino floors this year. We are now treading into a new territory. And, agaga, we are trying to attract a different generation. They dont play poker or blackjack but they play arcade games. Reporter those clots, no matter how much manufacturers try to keep them relevant, may be on theieifinal spin. Ten years from now, those will be empty slot machines that dad used to play. Reporter for cbs this momoing, ben tracy, lasasvegas. Not your grandmas vegas any more. There is a booming wine region already larger than napa valley seth doane takes u to the vineyards of china. Jillll schlesinger is here and looks at the changes in the economy for 2016 and what it all means for your money. She made Marathon History at 92. The inspiration that helped her cross the finish line. And this is what got you to the race . Yeah. And then very fast things too. The news is back this morning right here on cbs this morning. [music] no, no, no, no, people are both soft and strong. Yey which is why our products are too. Angel soft. Few as two and a half days when used at the first sign. It penetrates deep and starts to work immediately to block the virus and protect healthy cells. Dont tough it out, knock it out, fast. Abreva. They say when mr. Clean saw all the Different Things his new smart phone does. It reminded him of his magic eraser. Its not just for rks on walls. Its tough on kitchen grease. And bathroom g gme too. Hes your. All aroundtoughcleaner, mr. Clean. Sfx rocket blasting off ding dong ding ding ding ding ding sfx countdown 3, 2, 1 ding ding ding rocket the leading cough liquid only provides relief for four hours, but did you know theres a product that lasts f f twelve hours . Try delsym twelve hour cough liquid. Its advanced formula works by immediately releasing powerful medicine that acts fast while its extended release medicine laststfor 12 hoursrsin fact, delsym lasts three times longer than the leading cough liquid. For all day or all night relief, try delsym the 1 doctor recommended 12 hour cough liquid. This has been medifacts for delsym. But grandma, mommy says we dont have to wad to get clean. Cause we use charmin ultra soft. Charmin ultra soft gets you clean without the wasteful wadding. It has comfort cususons you can see that are softer and more absorbent, and you can use up to 4 times less. Enjoy the go with charmin. , not in life. D not when it came t t watching her calorors. Why settle on taste . Jane thought. Thats why jane loves light fit greek nonfat yogurt. Bursting with rich creamy awesomeness and 12 grams of protein. All for 80 calories. No settling here. What else does jane love . That you could win a fitbit flex from light fit. Learn more on speciaiay marked packs. Light fit. Feel free to enjoy. Ive smoked a lot and quit a lot, but ended up nowhere. Now i use this. The nicoderm cq patch, wiwi unique extended release technologygy helps prevent the urge to smoke all day. I want this time to be my last time. [music] no, no, no, no, people are both soft and strong. Yey which is why our products are too. Angel soft. When your cold makes you wish. You could stay. In bed all day. You need the power of. New theraflu expressmax. You get better water, and service you can actually count on. Dad hey, culligan man. Culligan man hey dad this is great culligan man i know. Anncr leave it to the experts. With a culligan wholehohoe water softening g stem, you get better water, and service you can actually you show me the way every day i want you to show me t t way ahead Jill Schlesinger what the fed hike means for your your local news is next. Days after the paris attacks, senatorsrsame together for a topsecret briefing on the terroriststhreat. Marco rubio was missing fundraising in california instead. Two weeks later, terrorists struck again in san bernardino. And where was marco . Fundraising agagn in new orlrlns. Rubio has missed Important National security hearings and missed more total votes than any other senator. Politics first thats the rubio way. Right to rise usa welcome back to cbsbshis morning. On this new years day, happy new years to you. Coming up in this half hour, the grandmother of ten who is a rathon runner and traveled down