Caucuses, first in the nation. Two polls show a shakeup in the race. One poll, cruz leads. Another poll shows cruz has emerged as the strongest challenger to trump, 5 points behind. Ben carson has fallen into fourth place on the republican side behind senator marco rubio. I dont go down, i go up. Reporter donald trump has said he only likes polls that treat him well. Even before a new iowa poll showed him slipping he dismissed it as biased. Im leading in virtually every state. Im leading in iowa. Although Des Moines Register does a poll and im sure that will be negative. Reporter that poll conducted by one of the states most respected and accurate pollsters. It has ted cruz surging. Senator cruz has spent months courting the voters with whom hes now leading, evangelicals and tea party conservatives. Hes catching supporters fleeing ben carson who has faltered with the increased focus on national security. You look at the way hes dealt with the senate, where he goes in there frankly a little like a maniac. Reporter the billionaire frontrunner said cruz doesnt have the right temperament to be president. The poll of Iowa Republicans has the texas senator leading on that quality. Trump tweeted out a Different National poll showing him with a new high. Cruz is 5 points behind in second. Marco rubio is third. Trump is smart like a fox. Reporter these current and former Trump Supporters in virginia were part of a recent focus group conducted after his inflammatory proposal to bar muslims from entering the u. S. If trump gets elected, he will have people that will coach him to ensure that these type of things arent said out loud. The Republican Party has failed us the last two times with weak candidates. Mccain who was weak, romney who was weak, were tired of weak candidates. There is no number two to trump. Reporter as the republican contest sorts itself out its looking at potential for protracted between primary as trump, antiestablishment pick, someone like cruz who carries conservatives and religious voters, then the establishment candidate who republicans have historically nominated, whoever that may be this cycle. All right, Julianna Goldman in washington. Weather extremes across the country tonight. This picture from western oklahoma a definition of whiteout conditions. This one from new york was experiencing record high temperatures. Lets bring in chief meteorologist eric fisher. Were going to start in the northwest which is getting slammed by storms. What is happening with that system . Jeff this storm has a lot more cold air to work with. Were seeing more snow all across the Intermountain West over the next 48 hours and peventually that energy spins ot into the plains. As we head into tuesday and wednesday, snow moving up into nebraska, parts of south dakota. All told every state in the west picking up muchneeded snowfall here. Every state all the way until the plains picking up fresh snow the next 48 hours. The east, totally different story. A feel of spring, longstanding record high temperatures. Detroit, record set in 1881, baltimore hit 72 today. More record highs possible tomorrow. This wedge of warm air in the east, rainy to kick off the week. There is a change coming toward the middle and later stages of this week. Colder air working its way farther east. For some who havent felt much of it, a feel of winter in the air. The system in the Pacific Northwest may be on its way out but its still doing damage. David begnaud is in tillamook, oregon, tonight. Reporter good evening. Seven families live along this hillside in western oregon, in part because of the view. But now all seven homes are in danger of being condemned, including this one right above me that they are working to protect at this hour. Some 11 inches of rain fell in this area over a sevenday period causing a landslide, look at this, that opened up a hole big enough to fit almost 11 suvs. This is the road that leads to your house . Yes. Well at least it used to be. Now it just kind of leads to a cliff. Reporter morgan has watched the land slide on her familys property for the last six days. What started as a crack caved into a crater. Bob flackas is her neighbor. You woke up, walked out, and it looked like this . Yes. Did not hear a sound. Not a sound one. Just the land went away. Reporter five feet from his front door is now a cliff. A weeks worth of nearly nonstop rain in this picturesque part of tillamook, oregon, has left bob and his wife of 36 years, dee, literally living near the edge. People are pitching in to help. More than 200 sandbags are holding down a tarp intended to stop the ground from sliding any more. I could cry. Why . People that i never knew and probably might not see again came up here to help me save this hill. It overwhelms me. Its hard. Reporter 30 yards from the flackas home the landslide has pushed into a barn owned by her family. This is the only Thing Holding the hillside up. Reporter her relatives live alongside the barn, now staying in a horse trailer because the home is in danger of being condemned. Cotchery says sandbags are their only option. Got to do something. Reporter bob is willing to try anything if it means staying in the home he and his wife call paradise. If it starts to move im not going to be stubborn and stay, i will get the hell out. Until it starts to move, im staying. Reporter the hole in front of bobs house is 100 feet long and 50 feet wide. Tomorrow hell find out if his home is condemned. Jeff, his Insurance Company told him this week they will not pay for the damage. David begnaud in oregon. Cbs overnight news will be right back. ,,,,,,, the Los Angeles CountySheriffs Department is investigating a deadly shooting tonight. Officers fired dozens of rounds and kept shooting while the suspect was on the ground. Chris martinez has this story with this warning, the video can be disturbing. Reporter video captures the moment two Los Angeles County sheriffs deputies fire multiple shots at Nicholas Robertson in the lin wood neighborhood of los angeles. Robertson falls to the ground and after a short interval hes seen crawling on his stomach as hes repeatedly struck by additional gunfire. Last night, angry demonstrators gathered at the shooting scene. Pamela brown is robertsons motherinlaw. He left three kids behind. Two daughters and a son. What, they could have tasered him or anything. Reporter today, 24 hours after the shooting, the Sheriffs Department held a press conference. L. A. County sheriff jim mcdonald. Weve come out today to try and be as transparent we can with the information we can share at this time to say, heres what we have, heres what we know about it. Reporter the Sheriffs Department released this video showing robertson minutes before his encounter with deputies walking down a busy street, carrying a gun. Investigators say the confrontation started when deputies responded to multiple 911 calls about a man firing shots into the air. L. A. County homicide detective captain steve katz he did not comply with their repeated requests to drop the weapon. The movement of the suspect and the way in which he was holding the firearm indicates he was motioning in the direction of the deputy sheriffs. Reporter the video captures the moment the deputies began firing, a total of 33 rounds. Robertson was pronounced dead at the scene. Community activist naji ali says the video is disturbing. It appears this young man crawled to his death, he was shot again, again, again. Reporter local civil rights leaders have asked for an independent investigation into robertsons death. Chris martinez, cbs news, los angeles. This week the Federal Reserve is expected to raise Interest Rates for the first time in more than nine years. The expected increase,. 25 points. For more we turn to analyst jill schlessinger. We think its going to happen this week . Its almost certain and heres why. The fed slashed rates 10 times over 14 months until we got to 0 during the financial crisis. That was an effort to stimulate the economy. All these years later whats happened . The economy is growing by 2. 25 a year the last few years, weve got job creation, unemployment 5 . The fed thinks its time to normalize Interest Rate policy. Theyll start this week. If this happens who wins, who houses . Finally good news for savers who have gotten 0 interest on their checking, savings, cds. Borrowers could pay a little bit more for all kinds of lopes whether credit cards, auto lorens. Mortgage rates are not tied to these rates but they could go up as well. Investors could be lurky up there. I think stock and bond prices could be quite volatile the next few weeks. The Global Economy is slowing down, theres concern the American Economy is going to slow down, some economists think this is too early . People like larry summers, the former treasury secretary, they even cite the fact that crude oil, which fell by 11 to sevenyear lows, that thats a sign of the slowdown. Janet yellen the fed chair says, dont worry about. Things slow down, we dont have to keep raising rates. Things speed and up we get in inflation, we could raise rates more often. Everything is datadependent, well have to see. Jill, thanks very much. Fbi divers wrapped up their search of a lake in San Bernardino, california. Investigators wont say if they found evidence possibly dumped this by terrorists who killed 14 people and injured nearly 20 others. Tonight John Blackstone tells us how some in the Community Fear a backlash against them. Since the San Bernardino shootings, ranyel has changed the way she covers her hair so she looks less muslim. Instead of the traditional i wear hats so i can blend in to minimize any possibility of someone retaliating or saying something to me. Reporter as a mother of five who lives three miles from the scene of the shootings she was already concerned about the safety of her family. Then she learned the attackers were muslim. When i knew the name of the shooter, i was devastated. The first thing i did is i end up writing an email to all the principals of my kids schools letting them know that a muz when were a muslim family, that we condemn these kind of attacks. Reporter since the paris attacks, there have been several attacks on muslims. A pregnant muslim woman assaulted in san diego. Two Airline Passengers ordered off a flight in chicago after a passenger heard them speaking arabic and felt threatened. And after the San Bernardino massacre, a copy of the koran filled with bullets left outside an islamic Clothing Store in southern california. On friday the fire bombing of a mosque in coachella, 70 miles from San Bernardino. Police arrested a 23yearold man for arson and committing a hate crime. Ranyel has decided her best defense is not to hide but to show the true nature of her religion. Beginning with covering her hair. Now i feel like im more determined to keep it on and let everyone know what the Muslim Community is all about. And i feel i have that tool and i should use it. I cannot think of any place on this earth that i would want to be in other than the u. S. This is my country as much as anybody elses country who are americans. Reporter for this Muslim American family, the message is that they are as outraged over the attack that took place here and just as united in grief as any other american family. John blackstone, thank you. A Dramatic Program trying to keep kids away from trouble. And the only thing better than winning the heisman weve been changing things up with ky love. Oh yeah. Its a pleasure gel that magnifies both our sensations. It gives us chills in places weve never gotten chills before. Yeah, it makes us feel like. Dare to feel more with new ky love. Important message for residents age 50 to 85. Write down this number now. Right now, people are receiving this free information kit for guaranteed acceptance Life Insurance with a rate lock through the Colonial Penn program. If you are on a fixed income, learn about affordable whole Life Insurance that guarantees your rate can never increase for any reason. If you did not receive your information, call this number now. 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It is a graphic demonstration in philadelphia that aims to prevent violence by taking teenagers step by step through what happens to a gunshot victim in the emergency room. Welcome, everybody. Reporter the hospital where 16yearold lamont adams died in 2004 by the time you get here the odds have been stacked against you. Reporter has been turned into a school of hard knocks. When he came in he wasnt breathing at all. Reporter throughout the year hundreds of philadelphia students visit the trauma unit at Temple University hospital for the cradle to grave program. Were going to tell the story of a young man named lamont adams. Reporter they learn about adams. His life, from birth to death. Dr. Amy goldberg and Outreach CoordinatorScott Charles have been reenacting the night adam died. Hes going to have a bullet wound right there and there reporter charles uses dozens of red stickers to mark where the bullets hit adam. Im not trying to politicize this issue. Im simply saying, this is the thing that is more likely to kill you in philadelphia than anything else when youre young. I want them to take ownership of this. We were both really concerned that the students didnt really seem to know the truth ramifications of what bullet injuries and gunshot wounds can cause. If the things that im showing you are too troublesome for you, talk to me. Reporter the students watch a video showing graphic pictures of more gunshot victims. Some students cant bear to look. Sometimes i go in the bathroom, i close the door. And i get down on my knees and i cry. Reporter the pain adams grandmother describes hit home for 16yearold rochelly sanchez. I cant imagine my mom crying because something happened to me or one of my family members. Reporter 15yearold jordan bear reto first went to the program in may. I was with the wrong people, doing the wrong thing. The program really opened my eyes that gun violence is real and people are getting killed for nothing. And it aint no names to them bullets. The students also visited a morgue. So far, more than 10,000 students have come through the cradle to grave program at Temple University hospital. Jeff, organizers say that fewe n than a dozen of those students return back to that hospitals trauma unit with a gunshot wound. Thank you very much. For the first time women have been elected to office in saudi arabia. Yesterday was outside the first time women were allowed to vote in the country. More than a dozen women won local elections. A wonderful reaction last night after this years Heisman Trophy winner was announced. Alabama running back derek henry. That is his family at a hospital in florida where henrys grandmother has been undergoing treatment. Henry broke the conference record for rushing this year. The nbas Golden State Warriors are undefeated no more. Saturday night they lost to the Milwaukee Bucks 10895. The warriors are now 241 this season. It was the teams first regularseason loss since april 7th. It took nearly a lifetime but a man in england has finally gotten his christmas wish. At 6 years old, david halock put a letter to santa in his chimney asking for any toys he had to spare. More than 70 years later builders found that letter while working on the house. So they located mr. Halock, who had long since moved away, and made sure he got everything he requested. Including toy soldiers and a ,, finally, most stage actors say their biggest fear is forgetting their lines. Some now some are getting extra help. As jamie yucas reports thats prompting criticism. Reporter its a starstudded season on broadway. Al pacino in china doll. Bruce willis in misly. James earl jones and cicely dawson. While those actors draw big box offices, some are having trouble remembering their lines. Some wear an ear piece so someone can cue them. The reviews are not great. China doll may be the worst reviewed play of the season. The wall street journal says, yes, hes using teleprompters. And he was not at ease with his lines. The New York Post writes, al pacino needs teleprompters for lines in terrible new broadway play. The more they use celebrities to drive ticket sales for plays or musicals, youre going to come up with a problem which is that you need to have assistance. Reporter david cody is time out