Oro todd. Go sox. A celebration in boston and horror story politically. President obama faces an angry and fed up public in our new wall street journal poll. Anger over the shut down and the break down of getting things done found its way to the white house. Republicans are not doing any better. The party has terrifying numbers lurking outside their window as well and the leaders are bearing the brunt of the blame. Plus, a house call. Secretary sebelius sits down for apologies and caustic questions from congress. We will hear what the Health Insurers themselves think this is all headed. Good morning from new york. Happy halloween, its thursday, october 31st. This is the daily rundown. Lets get to the first reads of the morning. Its halloween and boy, is it scary. The American Public is mad at hell and they are not going to take it anymore. With the onetwo punch and the health care debacle, they belt a devastating blow to washington and the parties and all their leaders. They describe the results as a shock wave. They will show how much recent events have sapped the american spirit. Remember the expression . During the shut down, they pointed the finger at one house. The republicans and they spread to the doorstep of the white house and the public is increasingly losing confidence. 42 of americans approve of the president s job performance, an all time low for him. Even when the president experienced a dip in his job rating, he could count on that likability number. It took a hit for the First Time Since he emerged as a National Political figure. More folks view negatively than positively. That drop is due to the appearance of detachment on issues Like Health Care and nsa. I think he needs to step up his visibility on the questions. I have no doubt he is doing it internally because i know how he operates, but the public needs to see that. Thats what is driving the personal ratings down. Not just the president who is getting two thumbs down, but they hit another all time low. Just 22 to the gop positively. A majority, 53 gives the party negatively. The way we asked this question, positive and neutral and negative. Thats hard work. You have to earn it. Congressional leaders from Senate Republican leader Mitch Mcconnell and harry reid and house speaker, john boehner. You have the highest negative ratings. The public is voicing frustration and nearly three quarters think congress is contributing to the problems in washington instead of working to solve them. 29 said that their own congressional representatives deserve to be reelected. Thats the business anymore. 63 claim that they would give a new person a chance over their own member of congress. The highest percentage ever recorded on that question. Half of folks we surveyed think there will be another government shut down. 28 dont think its going to happen. Thats how cynical the public has become. Americans are frustrated. 40 say they are less confident about the Health Care Law after what they have seen, heard, or read. They didnt tell them any specifics, just said what you know about it, how confident are they . This crisis is producing this entire mix of anger and frustration and despair and overall, just 22 believe the country is heading in the right direction. Although that edged up slightly from our last poll, its still one of the worst findings we have ever had. There is a forboding feeling about the economy. More americans believe things will get worse than believe things will get better. 23 over the next 12 months. That sense of despair is true about the american democracy. Optimism and the u. S. System of government. Its at 30 , the lowest point in nearly 40 years. This is not a conventional one party is up and is down situation. The question is what happens when everybody is down. The last time we had a situation like this was 1992 and it produced a crazy election cycle. We saw a rise of inside and empty candidates like ross perot. The majority said they belonged to Neither Party. This is why you dont weight polls by party id. You want to see the shifts. Only third time in the history of the poll that a majority didnt identify with a party. 32 would prefer an independent party for congress than a democrat or a republican. Thats more than 28 that said they wanted to vote for a generic republican candidate. Its clear all will have explaining to do. They had high hopes for the president and 52 job rating was near an all time high for him. It didnt take long for things to go south. The investigations on benghazi and the irs, then it was the still ongoing embarrassing Edward Snowden leaks that raised questions about how much the president may or may not have known. September it continues with the president s indecision on whether or not to attack syria. He got a tiny bump when everyone was focused on republicans, but now between the government shut down and the bungled health care roll out, he hits the all time low with 42 approving of his job performing. Thats getting close to bush territory. He went from 75 in 2002 and at this point in his second presidency was 39 around the time of katrina. Democratic pollster. All right, guys. October shock waves is the theme of both of those polls. I went through the president s numbers, fred. For a long time he had just stayed above water when it comes to all of the washington mess. He was at the end of the day seen as somebody at least outside of it a little bit. Not anymore. You had a shut down that was finished for a purpose and most voters dont know why. You have a health care roll out that doesnt seem to be going well and as the poll showed, 50 of americans think its likely to shut down again next year. Yes, i think the president has been dragged into that thing that people feel about washington right now. There is no such thing as a see saw in american politics right now. Its a race to the bottom in the same poll that had record low Approval Ratings for the president. We hit yet another record low in the republican brand numbers. Are we in this vicious cycle of a race to the bottom . Yeah. First of all i think you have to look at the larger poll as well and see that at the end of the day, the political points are a smaller story than the effect this has on the peoples confidence and their confidence in the economy and their president and in washington overall. There is a larger story that is pretty depressing in terms of how people feel about washington and the direction of the country. Its pretty depressing on both ends. I keep referring to it as a political recession. We have a political recession or depression as far as the country. What was interesting is how much they had in common so we asked people for the message they would like to send. We have democrats and independentleaning democrats. What we want them to do in washington and same with republicans about what we wanted them to do in washington. It seems as if they are both sending the same message that they want the leaders to all Work Together although more so on the democratic than the republican side. Work together and compromise and get things done. Thats what the public is saying to both parties. I think to use your phrase, one of the big factors for the political depression is the voters are saying that in one voice about the parties, but neither seems to be listening that much. Its a vicious cycle. There is extreme partisanship in the country in washington. The voters want common ground. They cant seem to find it in washington. Its reflected in the self identification of what Political Party people self identify with. Two polls in a row and until we see it a second time in a row, do we make note . A majority of folks did not identify. When we asked what party we identify with, a majority did not identify with either party. We think this is only the third time ever this happened in the history of our poll and yet two polls in a row. What do you take away from that . It leads back to the frustration with washington and the political process and people feeling that they are not being heard. By either party. When Neither Party is working to compromise, people dont want to identify with that kind of gridlock and frustration. Each party has their cross to bear. Thats born out in the question we asked about on the freeway, a democrat and a republican and independent. Who would you vote for . We had a significant portion who opted for the third party candidate. Finishing third in that threeway election. Both of you worked with people running for office. Running as democrats with fred and running as republicans with micah. This political environment we now have and were probably not going to see fade too much over the next six months, this feels to me like a rerun of 92. You had anger at both parties and in fact if you look at the numbers, if they are not records, they go back to 92. 92 had a corruption in capitol hill with the check bouncing scandal and out of touch Political Party with the republicans in the white house and president bush was out of touch on political problems. It led to the rise of a third party and both parties getting ousted in ways we had never seen before. Is that what 2014 looks like to you . Yes. I think the short answer is yes. I think obviously in order to be somebody you have to have somebody. The problem with the third party question is that a lot of districts, there is no liable third party candidate. I would say in terms of this antiwashington antipolitician trend, it does seem to be that it is affecting republicans a little bit more than democrats. When we asked democrats how they felt about the democratic party, 73 percent per are favorable for democrats. If you ask republicans how they feel, only 49 of republicans are favorable for the republican party. This could be the republicans and the republican primaries where we see more of the antiincumbe antiincumbent. A lot easier to work for incumbent or challenger with an r next to their name . You have challenges on both sides, but there is an opportunity for a third candidate and doesnt mean that a good candidate will emerge. Good candidates are hard to find. Thats what campaigns are for. So that there opportunities and there is a gap that is significant. There is a polling note to make. Its going to change the landscape of the 2014 election. Thats hard to say at this point from this poll. I think they can show if there is not a Real Third Party candidate in the races that there wont be whichever candidate there will be which capture the sentiment and be credible, that will be a strong message. That are is sitting out there and Neither Party knows how to do that right now. Two polls in a row where as we said on the phone, shock waves. We will see if the Political Parties know how to read the polls. Thank you both. Thank you. Thank you. We have tricks and treats. Up next in the data bank, including a boston number you havent heard yet. More of todays first read. Secretary sebelius takes the blame for the roll out she calls a debacle. A look ahead to the politics planner. There is only one thing to be doing todayment trick or treating. Things to take place in washington. No great tradition like going around nbc row. All the foreign embassies participated in the washington things for people to do. Just be careful of being out there. Maybe you can offer a trick or two rather than a treat when people come knocking on your door. Humans. Even when we cross our ts and dot our is, we still run into problems. Namely, other humans. Which is why, at Liberty Mutual insurance, auto policies come with new car replacement and accident forgiveness if you qualify. See what else comes standard at libertymutual. Com. Liberty mutual insurance. Responsibility. Whats your policy . Ve got nice long ld. Big plans. So when i found out medicare doesnt pay all my medical expenses, i got a Medicare Supplement insurance plan. [ male announcer ] if youre eligible for medicare, you may know it only covers about 80 of your part b medical expenses. The rest is up to you. Call now and find out about an aarp Medicare Supplement insurance plan, insured by unitedhealthcare Insurance Company. Like all standardized Medicare Supplement insurance plans, it could save you in outofpocket medical costs. Call now to request your free decision guide. 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There is no candy corn in here. 37 is the percentage of the a drop in the deficit for the fiscal year that just ended. How about that . The new number from the Treasury Department showed a combination of more revenue like taxes and less spending. That led to a gap of 680 billion. Guess what. It takes revenues and spending cuts to cut the deficit. They ought to Work Together on that. 2. 08 billion is how much americans are spending on candy for halloween this year. Never mind the declarations for the National Retail federation. They expect an additional 2. 6 billion on costumes and more people in my neighborhood i swear do halloween decorations than for the holidays. 75 days is how many we have before the primary for the special election for the late bill young and florida primary will be key to see the better position for the march 11 general election. The special election of one of the most competitive seats left in the house of representatives. 16 is how many Democratic Women senators all in fact signed in a private letter to Hillary Clinton urging her to run for president in 2016. They spilled the beans about it and a list in new york on monday, sources say Barbara Boxer led the effort that included other names mentioned as candidates including elizabeth warren. Saying hillary runs, they wont. Next up, 11 time 35 as in p. M. Eastern. Thats when you catch ted cruz sitting down with jay leno a week from tomorrow. The texas talkers late night debut comes on the heels of south carolina. I wonder what they will be talking about. Finally eight is how manyajor sports championships the city of boston won since 2002. Three world series and three super bowls and one stanley cup and more title for the celtics collection. They were the last to win before 2002, but that was back in 1986. Guess what, boston. No more sympathy or chips your shoulders now. You are winners. We get it. Much more ahead to satisfy your political sweet tooth on this halloween. What the president is saying now about your insurance plan. He is including the footnote. A marriage of convenience. A deep live in the relationship between the white house and the Health Insurance industry. Which teams were playing the last time a sitting president attended a World Series Game . First person to tweet the correct answer will get the on air shout out. More coming up. There are cameras, police, guards. Ds us. But who looks after us online, where we spend more than 200 billion dollars a year. American express can help protect you. With intelligent security that learns your spending patterns, and can alert you instantly to an unusual charge. So you can be a member of a more secure world. This is what membership is. This is what membership does. I started parttime, now im a manager. N. My employer matches my charitable giving. 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