If you are talking about a way for us to actually win and not just bust the blue wall, you are assuming we are winning states that mitt romney and john mccain both lost to president obama including iowa, ohio and florida. Of course North Carolina the first time. Heres the important thing and momentum and enthusiasm matter. In addition us closing the gap from 12 points to being ahead or being tied. By the way, let me ask you this. Have you had a poll move 13 points in a week . Have you had a poll move 13 points in a week . That you didnt wonder something must be wrong with the poll. Im not wondering at all. We cant play that game. I cant have your network calling the race over because of the abc News Washington post moving and say that may not have been right. I didnt hang my hat on that
poll then or now. A lot of people in your network did. I want to make the point that the lines are clearly going in our direction and i think the most fascinating numbers in abc washington poll are not the Horse Race Numbers and they show Hillary Clintons unfavorable ratings are high and donald trump is trusted more than she is by the American Voter and most importantly, something we have talked about, the attribute that goes to empathy and compassion with voters and the question of who cares more about people like you. Clinton and trump were tied on that. Thats remarkable and all the trends are going our way. Job creation and politicians. That plays well in the upper midwest. You concerned that you go to
wisconsin and you go to nevada and joe heck, the Senate Candidate has not decided what he is going to do. New hampshire is another state thaw brought up. Im going to can the question. Are you concerned that you may come up short and in new hampshi hampshire. Three of the leading republicans and in each of those places may be holding you back somewhat. And whose fault will that be . Mr. Trump endorsed kelly ayotte and endorsed john mccain and has been gracious. He has done his part to unify the party by becoming president. You dont think he could have done more . Its time for republicans to come home. I like governor pences message. Mr. Trump went to wisconsin for a great event with Senator Johnson and governor walker. Anyway, i wanted to say this to
you. For a President Trump to have a republican senate. Like missouri and North Carolina where donald trump is ahead of the Senate Candidates and in terms of the gubernatorial candidates, trump is ahead of the republican gubernatorial candidates in indiana, missouri and New Hampshire. One final question. In the early vote on one hand we have seen good news on your side depending on the racial make up and good news on different make ups. There is one part of this that to me doesnt look good for your side. While africanamerican turn out may be down, hispanic turn out is on the way to record breaking. How much does that concern you in. It all concerns me because thats my job. We top the make sure we invested early in the Absentee Ballot and early voting. If you have to go through the
budget and decide where to put your resources, we like the early returns that we are getting in the states where we are on par or ahead of where governor romney was in terms of early returns. We are keeping a close eye on that, but you have the states like pennsylvania and New Hampshire which are day of voting. There is Absentee Voting of course. You will see mr. Trump and governor pence in those states. We are happy with what we see with requests for Absentee Ballots. Do you acknowledge that the Hispanic Vote is on the way to a record high, did that make it more difficult some. Not necessarily. There will be millions of votes cast in florida and we feel good about mitt romney got 27 and a little bit better in florida. A lot of voters would surprise you and the number of people who are excited about the trump message with job creation and renegotiating deals and make us more safe and prosperous. People of all backgrounds want change. There is only one clear choice. I have to ask you this. There was an incident today that some supporter of Donald Trumps yelled at the media pen a pretty horrific thing. Take a listen. You are an embarrassment. The guy yelled you sell out for a few scheckles. You were asked about the jew sa chant that he had. Donald trump is not doing this, but it is surfacing supporters with a lot of antisemitic rhetoric. What is your campaign doing . It is not a lot and i would not be part of this campaign and you know it. It keeps showing up. In arizona it keeps showing up. The First Amendment right. You can sound like a fool and hear people sound that way every day. The fact is that in the case of arizona, i checked the with the head of security and he plus the guys on the ground in arizona tell me they removed that protester. I didnt hear that covered in the news or whatever he is saying idiotic things that do not reflect the campaign or the candida candidacy. Donald trump said he will be the president of all people and even those who dont agree with him. With the outbursts like. That. I think she is corrupt and lied
and you should criminal investigation. The rhetoric that has been thrown at the media, i have been experienced it in ways i have never experienced about. Im Donald TrumpsCampaign Manager and i dont appreciate the death threats. Its not fun to have a death threat. I get it completely and think everybody should tone it down. That includes everybody. I am yet to hear Hillary Clinton distance herself from the antipolice rhetoric. She ignores it like she didnt hear it. Six more days and six very, very long days. I will see you victory night. Be our guests. See you victory night. Joy reed is host of msnbc. Kasie hunt. A slew of new polls and the post important is wisconsin. Donald trumps path still has to breakthrough the blue wall of the industrial midwest. When you look at the three states, wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania. Romney and mccain went searching for them and here comes donald trump. They realize i can win all the toss ups and not get there. In wisconsin, it is the market et poll. The good track record. Plus six. Clinton and romney won the state by seven. Even obama won by seven. Wishful thinking in retrospect. You say it looks like 2012. The other thing is what ron johnson is behind and the senator and republican by only a point. The polls can be off within a poll and the comparisons are real because its the same people. Ron johnson is running five points ahead. That toll me that are johnson had a nice come back. That are is probably max. The fivepoint marker is as good as it gets for the candidate running above trump. The fact that trump predicted that he will be five points behind. Whats interesting now, you are a michigan native and say keep your eye on michigan. Hes another that has been saying you Guys Dont Know Whats Happening here. Trump can carry really well in the midwest. We havent seen the cracks yet. Its hard to believe it is closer. I think its possible that there is a Surprise Lurking in michigan and we are not picking up on it. If there is an x factor in polling where White Working Class voter who is voted democrat in the past and are excited to vote for trump. That has been the Question Mark all the way along. Some of this is my sense for having covered bernie on the
ground. I had republicans raise flags about it and at least one democrat who tried to raise flags in the past and vanish wrong. Still it seems to be a place that has come up with for repeatedly. There could be something going on. There is a reason of nervousness in team clinton. Not about michigan, but what it takes to win. They need a good turn out and overall early vote has shown maybe africanamericans turn out. That doesnt help you in michigan and wisconsin. That doesnt help you. It still exists and the reason democrats had the white whales. Republicans have them. You and bill both. The reality is that pennsylvania, wisconsin and michigan will go democrat and keep going democrat because those big cities. Those big urban centers go for the democrats and the suburbs go
for the democrats and you have a state like ohio and the reason they are more viable is you have a smaller africanamerican population. Whether or not you have the robust turn out when The First Black President and the reelect happened. You cant compare that. Barack obama running in 8 and 12, The First Black President potential existing. You are never going to get that back. I keep wondering i should we use 2012 . Not quite. It may be too long away. We go back to 2000 which is a generic race and michigan, i believe it was like plus 4. Its not as democratic as people think. Who was the governor . Detroit is a lot smaller. You know what michigan is lacking and what pennsylvania has and ohio has. Its big suburban centers with a
lot of well educated white voters. They are not voting for donald trump at the moment and that exists to a lesser degree in michigan. Oakland county by the way, a county that used to be a republican county is likely going to end up voting for her. Two noncollege whites in the congress. You have to remember that when they talk about the suburbs in the 80s and 90s. Now what you are seeing is a lot of africanamericans and a lot of others are moving out and its the city that is expensive. Gentrification is pushing a lot of af kanch americricanamerica. They have College Educated white voters and nonwhite voters. Ohio has less of all of that and they have the largest nonCollege Educated white populations and an ache white
population. Trump can win ohio, but not michigan. Something we are starring to stumble into the result and may throw up a bunch of cnn polls and they have problems with the nevada numbers. Let me throw them up. Really said dont believe the numbers and the clark county split is so wrong which it is. The florida poll looks like what others look like. Pennsylvania and cnn has at four. That would surprise people and clinton had 48 and 44. Arizona with 49 and 44. Taken together it is starting to look like 2012. All together. Heres the funny thing. It is an extraordinary year. It is extraordinary. A week from now if you looked at the results, it can look like an ordinary race. The democrat could win and the senate could be democrat and the republicans might hold the house and it would be an interesting question if we were all too call the up in the drama and we had an ordinary election. We didnt have an ordinary election and may have stumbled on an ordinary result. I think the martians could be confused. You get to that because they are shifting underneath. White women shifting and a higher i hhispanic turn out. This will be important november 9th as we unpack the election. We look into the states and the map will look within the states. You guys are sticking around. Coming up, trump and the establishment and how the Grass Roots Movement stumped the elites. How the filmmaker is warning about what could come next. Live in studio next. Stay tuned. New bikes arent selling guys. What are we gonna do . How about we pump more into promotions . Nah. What else . What if we hire more sales reps . Nah. What else . What if we digitize the whole supply chain . So people can customize their bike before they buy it. That worked better than expected. Ill dial it back. Yeah, dial it back. Just a little. Live business, powered by sap. When you run live, you run simple. But dad, youve got. Tes are probably gonna double. Allstate. With Accident Forgiveness they guarantee your rates wont go up just because of an accident. Smart kid. Indeed. Its good to be in, good hands. Teachers, nurses and firefightes support prop 51. Prop 51 will upgrade libraries, science labs, and Classroom Technology and relieve School Overcrowding creating more opportunity. And better learning for students help students succeed vote yes on 51. Want a great way to help our children thrive . Then be sure to vote yes on proposition 55. Prop 55 doesnt raise taxes on anyone. Instead, it simply maintains the current tax rate on the wealthiest californians to prevent Education Cuts that would hurt our kids. No wonder prop 55 is endorsed by the california pta, teachers and educators. Because all of us want to help our children thrive. Its time to vote yes on proposition 55. Teachers, firefighters and nurss support prop 51. Prop 51 repairs older schools and removes dangerous lead paint and pipes ensuring classrooms are safe for all students. For safe schools vote yes on 51. He said clintons email saga is enough to get her impeached democrats are hoping to keep fine gold on top and it will be tough for democrats to take back the Senate Without flipping wisconsin. Up next, Filmmaker Michael Moore talks with me about trumps grass roots appeal. [beeping] take on any galaxy with a car that could stop for you. Simulation complete. The new nissan rogue. Rogue one a star wars story. In theaters december 16th. Military failure and success, incumbent charisma and challenger charisma. On six of these measure, the white house goes to trump. The professor said trump can start measuring with six days to go. He is sticking to that prediction and hasnt been wrong in the last eight president ial elections. He is a professor of history in American University and he is correctly predicted the results of every president ial election using this matrix since 1984. I will say i know you are not a supporter of donald trump and i think you ran as a democrat back in the day. What is it and what is the missing seventh key for Hillary Clinton that your system says is going to keep her from the white house. All right. You have gone through the keys and you are right. My predictions are nonpartisan. Ninth predictions. Five democrats and four
republicans. You cant be more nonpartisan about that. They took a pasting in the midterms. Incumbency since obama is not running. Third party. Gary johnson is polling way above what any libertarian has done. He might be fading and the lack of Policy Change given the gridlock in the second obama term. It goes term boy term and the lack of a big splashy Foreign Policy success in the second term like dispatching bid laden and number six the fact that Hillary Clinton is not a once in a generation charismatic candidate like a kennedy. I never hedged a prediction. It sounds like you might hedge. You want to hear it . Lets hear the hedge. Im not locking at a crystal
ball and im not ben carson. Im basing my predictions on history. And they go all the way back to 1860. In donald trump we may well have a historysmashing candidate who so much of the American People regard as unfit for the presidency who have done a dozen things that would have driven any other candidate out of the race. When herman cain was in the nomination, that drove him out of the race. Donald trump has been accused of Sexual Harassment by 12 woman and openly bragged about assaulting women and continues on. He is the only candidate ever to question the peaceful transfer of power. He could break the pattern. He can break the pattern, but there is a chance that Hillary Clinton basically gets this last
key and it goes to the third party. What is your level, what is the level on your key for a third . The collective 30 party vote and at a 5 frethreshold and that mt be the that might flip it for you if it did fade . Check, as usual you are right on point. Obviously we dont know what gary johnson is going to poll. Its just gary johnson. My typical methodology they will use is to take the highest Polling Numbers for a third party and cut it in half. That worked invariably. Gary johnson was polling about 13 . He is about 6 or 6. 5. And it shows he is in decline. I dont know what gary johnson is going to do ultimately. I am not going to change my predictions before the election. If he ends up less than five, thats one less key and that would mean what . Your system works and clinton wins . The system works if clinton wins. Thats right. We will be waiting to see and maybe its all about Gary Johnsons number to find out the future of your keys. Anyway. Always good to see you, sir. Same here, chuck. Still ahead, Michael Moore joins me in his new movie trumpland and whether the nation can come together after this devicive election. Stay tuned. Eyes open . Good. Because its here. Cue the confetti. Say hi to xiidra, lifitegrast ophthalmic solution. Xiidra is the first prescription Eye Drop Solution approved to treat the signs and symptoms of dry eye. So give your eye doctor a ring, and your eyes just might thank you. One drop in each eye, twice a day. The most common side effects of xiidra include eye irritation, discomfort or blurred vision when the drops are applied to the eyes, and an unusual taste sensation. To help avoid eye injury or contamination of the solution, do not touch the Container Tip to your eye or any surface. If you wear contact lenses, remove them before using xiidra and wait for at least 15 minutes before placing them back in your eyes. Are you ready to do something about your dry eyes