The final vote will be cast just hours from now. Our experts will weigh in on where they see the vote, what they think might be the message of these midterms as the 11th hour gets underway on this election eve monday night. Well, good evening once again from our msnbc news headquarters, our election headquarters here in new york. Day 605 of the trump administration. The question hangs in the air, are things about to change again in this country . The last polls are done. That means the last wave of p l polling data is in. Predictions are being made and with only hours to go with election day, the president tells voters tinged with regret which he admitted earlier today. Here he is in the last hour, cape girardeau, missouri. I will say we have to get out tomorrow and we have to elect a republican congress. We have to do it. Weve got to stop crying Chuck Schumer and nancy pelosi from erasing everything that weve gained. Our economy is setting records on a daily basis. That rally tonight made number three for him following illinois and arkansas. Tonight trump was asked by Sinclair Broadcasting if he had any regrets about the last two years. And there is much speculation that the answer youre about to hear came after the last wave of polling data perhaps was shared with him, and again, perhaps but not necessarily, including what may be a sizeable gender gap favoring Democratic Candidates tomorrow night. Here is the president on his regrets. Is there anything, as you look back at your first almost two years, that you regret that you wish on you that you could just take back and redo . I would say tone. I would like to have a much softer tone. I feel to a certain extent i have no choice, but maybe i do, and maybe i could have been softer from that standpoint, but i want to get things done. Any regret over softness and tone, of course, comes too late for a change in tone for donald trump and his party. Phillip rucker of the Washington Post writes that in trumps Closing Arguments, the president is, quote, painting an astoundingly apocalyptic vision of america under democratic control in the campaigns final days, unleashing a torrent of falsehoods and portraying his political opponents as crime, squallor and poverty. In the leadup to tomorrows elections, trump has taken his ethos to a new level, putting democrats in distortion and using the power of the federal government to amplify his fantastical arguments. For those of you wanting the latest on what may be the races you are following and are most interested in, we have one last round of polling. This will be the last until we get election returns tomorrow night. In missouri, a new nbc news marist poll is showing democratic candidate Claire Mccaskill leading Republican Josh Hawley by three points. Andrew gillum is leading ron desantis by four points. Bill nelson leading by four over Current Governor rick scott. Indeed i new quinnipiac poll those gillum and nelson both leading their respective races by seven points. And in whats become a closely watched senate race across the river here in new jersey, a new quinnipiac poll out today this was surprising shows democratic candidate bob menendez who has dealt with profound ethics and legal problems leading bob hugin, his republican challenger, by 15 points. In georgia, in that hotly contested race, from Emerson College released friday, shows brian kemp leading stacey abrams. Democrats have a 7point advantage when it comes to control of congress, the socalled generic ballot. Were also getting a look at some new job approval numbers from trump just ahead of an election that is widely viewed as a referendum on his presidency so far. Our nbc news wall street journal poll reveals this his approval is at 46 . But just today a new cnn poll looks much different with President Trumps Approval Rating sitting at just 39 . That is a very low number. Thats lower than any other polls, and it may indeed be an outlyer, but there it is. With all that established, lets bring in our leadoff panel for a monday night, the afo aforementioned phillip rucker, writer for the washingtwashin post. Phil, since we knew you before rihanna, i thank you for appearing before the likes of us. Let me ask you about tonights rally. We had various charges from the lectern, especially about hillary clinton. We had the president relitigating the same points over and over. And yet we heard the president expressing that regret over tone today. What do you make of it . Brian, if he has any regrets on tone, hes not changing his playbook here. He has had a very Divisive Campaign in the home stretch, and it goes back to the way he ended his 2016 campaign. That is really his only formative political experience as a politician, and he won that campaign against most of the odds by turning to native themes, by stoking divisions in the country to his personal advantage and having a very divisive tone with regard to his opponent, hillary clinton. Hes doing the same thing here. Hes demagoguing the democrats. Hes talking about what they will do if they regain control of congress which is not true or exaggerated. The Washington Post fact checker analysis has shown an extraordinary uptick in the number of false and misleading claims that he has been making. But he is driving the discussion. The narrative of this campaign is turning on what the president has been saying at these rallies. Thats what people on the news are talking about, thats what a lot of voters are talking about and thats what democrats are having to respond to. Its been a challenge for the Democratic Candidates and the democratic leadership to grapple with all of this. Sabrina, i want to show you two different graphics. Number one is the classic pollster question about right track, wrong track about our country. These numbers were kind of astounding when they came out. 54 , i believe were on the wrong track, 38 the right track. With that in mind, what is paul begala doing writing this on twitter . Im as nervous as a porcupine in a balloon factory. What are democrats so nervous about tonight as we go into tomorrow . I think that democrats are always going to be concerned with the prospect of complacency, this bakedin narrative that we have a blue wave upon us. There might be some voters that think they dont even need to go out to the polls. The fact of the matter is midterms are typically a base turnout election. The president is making the effort to boost his supporters going out to the polls. Whats striking is if you look at the numbers and at the number of americans that think were on track, this is at a time when the economy is booming. If it was any other president , the argument would be that we have managed to maintain strong job growth and employment. This president is not getting credit for the economy, and thats very much why hes falling back on this hard line message when it comes to immigration, because he knows thats what motivates his voters to the polls and ultimately he hopes that they will, in turn, make this election very much about fear, particularly when it comes to immigration, and that way he can distance himself from the fact that he is not getting that credit for the economy where its due. Shannon, you have come to know this president s communication skills very well. If tomorrow night doesnt go well for his team, what do you think we might hear from him starting tomorrow night on twitter but certainly by wednesday . Ive been asking white house officials and his advisers about this, because there is a sense im sure they appreciate it. There is a sense within the white house that the republicans will lose control of the house, theyre optimistic. They still pick up two seats in the senate. So point one is to shift attention to the senate. But on the house, theyre going to sort of emphasize that this was always an uphill battle, this has nothing to do with the president and his job performance, that this is all about how historically the party in control of the white house loses congress. Theyre going to point to all these historic numbers. That will be the official message. Thats the official message being discussed in the white house right now. The unofficial message, though, that im hearing from sort of his outer circle advisers are things like pointing to paul ryan as a potential fall guy for all this and this issue of censorship and social media, this ad not being aired, this immigration ad they didnt want to air. And there is this undertone bubble of conversation that, oh, you can see the narratives. I wouldnt be possible if that makes it to his twitter feed. Phil rucker, you predicted this. I know its not an art form, but what do you think is coming later this week . Brian, the white house has been preparing for a pretty major shakeup on the staff of the white house and within the cabinet. You know, the midterm is sort of a natural transition point for most administrations where, you know, people who are tired of being in Government Service for two years will look for an exit. But that may be in overdrive for President Trump, and there is some sense that a number of officials will be announcing departures or be fired in the coming days. The most vulnerable at this hour seems to be the attorney general, jeff sessions. His allies and confidantes at the post tell us he expects to be fired as early as wednesday after the election. If the result is bad for republicans, the president may want to make some changes in his administration to reset the narrative and try to look for a reboot for his presidency. Because the recriminations on him personally are probably going to be very bad if democrats are to prevail tomorrow. Sabrina, youre at the Republican National committee. Is there anyone at these races, ideally east coast, thats early on that youre looking to to see if it will be a good night for republicans . I think what weve been able to glean from the president s closing message is a lot of the attention is maintaining control of the senate. We talk about this Closing Argument thats so heavily focused on immigration. The house is ultimately going to come down to a number of competitive suburban districts. Voters over there, their top priority is not immigration when they go to the polls. The senate, on the other hand, will ultimately come down to a handful of reliably red rural states. Thats where the president had won in 2016 by double digits. So i think they are looking at indiana, at west virginia, north dakota. These will some of the states where you have very vulnerable incumbent democrats that were on the ballot. Make no mistake, regardless of the results and there may well be a mixed result with regard congress, this is a referendum on the president. He has placed himself squarely on the ballot. During his Closing Argument, he religiously told republican voters, vote as if i am on the ballot, so he wants it to be about him. He certainly did. Shannon, the president issued a warning on twitter today. I heard someone on another network tonight say this was right out of the Lester Maddox playbook from the old south, a south we thought we had moved on from. Law enforcement has been strongly notified to watch closely for any illegal voting which may take place in tuesdays election, or early voting. Anyone caught will be subject to the maximum criminal penalties allowed by law. Thank you. And, of course, in the old south, the last refuge was to say, well, when you show up to vote, you may be in legal trouble. Hes really drawing from his greatest hits album right now. Immigration, illegal voting. I mean, im wondering why we havent heard about the russia witch hunt hoax in a while. Hes really started pulling out all the stops in the last messaging here. Because there is a sense that they have lost the house, and as sabrina was saying, it is a battle for the senate. I would caution, too, when we look at all these polls and you see him pulling out these messaging in the last attempts, so much of these polls are margin of error. When you see democrats up by two, by three, by four, that is still basically a tied race. The white house knows that and the president knows that, and hes in full fight mode. Hes going to pull out every messaging strategy as he can here because his next term as president depends on it. Democrats who control the house is really going to derail his domestic agenda, but if they lose the senate, boy, any judicial nominees reappointing anyone new to his cabinet, they realize they cannot lose the senate right now and his presidency depends on it. As we go to break, i want to share with the audience facebook is out with a statement about what theyve identified as being some potential bad actors on their front. The statement says, on sunday evening u. S. Law enforcement contacted us about Online Activity that they recently discovered and which they believe may be linked to foreign entities. Our very early stage investigation has so far identified around 30 Facebook Accounts and 85 instagram accounts that may be engaged in coordinated inauthentic behavior. So facebook eager to let us know they are on the case or trying to be. They note that most of these were in a Foreign Language but appeared to be involved in illegal behavior. With that, our thanks to our initial panel. Sorry, its late already and its just the night before. Coming up for us, well be joined by two gentlemen named steve. Steve kornacki is here at the big board with a preview of tomorrow evening. And mr. Schmidt will join us with his prediction of what well wake up to on wednesday. The 11th hour just Getting Started tonight. I just got my ancestrydna results 74 italian. And i found out that im from the big toe of that sexy italian boot calabria. It even shows the migration path from south italia all the way to exotico new jersey so this Holiday Season its ancestrydna per tutti order your kit now at ancestry. Com yeah, ive had some prettyeer. Prestigious jobs over the years. News producer, executive transport manager, and a beverage distribution supervisor. Now im a director at a Security Software firm. Wow, youve been at it a long time. 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N. I believe the best technology should feel effortless. Like magic. At comcast, its my job to develop, apps and tools that simplify your experience. My name is mike, im in Product Development at comcast. Were working to make things simple, easy and awesome. President trump is still speaking at the final rally of the midterm season in missouri tonight, and make no mistake, in addition to elections in all 435 house districts across this country tomorrow, it is a test of trumpism. No matter what he may say on wednesday, the president has been on the trail for days saying, a vote for blank fill in the local candidate is a vote for me. Our National Political correspondent Steve Kornacki at the big board tonight where hell be tomorrow night and probably into the morning. Steve, folks want to know where this stands. Yeah, and so weve talked so much about the house side, and one of the things weve seen on the house side ais the polls in the individual races in the final days, they do seem to be moving in the democrats direction. The polls can be wrong, they can miss things, so well see where it moves tomorrow. If the house does end up moving at the last minute in the democrats direction, that brings the senate back in the picture. We talked about the long path for democrats, so lets just take a look at that. Its a possibility tomorrow, we can put it like that. Lets see what it would take for democrats. What you got here is sort of the battlefield. We have two that are tossup states but the polling in each, in missouri you mentioned earlier, bob menendez a democrat, double digits ahead there, republicans, double digits there. Indiana is the first state thats going to close. Trump won the state by 20 points, joe donnelly is trying to defend it. Look how close the republicans are in terms of 50 seats. Joe donnelly must win in indiana. Polls will close at 7 00. Same category for democrats. Bill nelson must hang on there. Hes leading by a couple points in the late polls. You come to tennessee, this one gets interesting. Democrats still have some hopes here. They think phil bredesen, very popular personally. Maybe its coming a little closer at the end of this race. You can see it puts republicans on the cusp of 50 just by getting tennessee. West virginia, manchin has been running ahead. He better hold on for a democratic seat. If beto orourke cannot put a surprise there and tennessee is already gone, north dakota, tennessee, texas, that right there would be 50. That could be the end of the night there. But lets say the democrats succeed in shaking one of these loose. Lets just say its texas for the sake of argument right now. Lets say theyre able to put it in their column. That would change the game. Because then at that point if Claire Mccaskill could hang on in missouri, she leads in the final poll there. If chester could hang on in montana. Scant polling there but hes led by what weve seen. Then arizona and nevada, these two republican held seats, sinema, the democrat, is late in the poll there. Thats jackie rosen polling very even there. If democrats ever got that one, that would be 51. That is an awful lot to ask for if youre democrats. This is by no means a prediction that its going to happen s, bu we talked so much about the house. Between tennessee, texas, you have to see a surprise there tomorrow for the democrats and everything has to go their way after that. And thats why we make them states so they can slide back and forth between categories. Steve, a long journey. We hope to see you tomorrow. A lot resting on your shoulders as we go into getting the raw vote tomorrow evening. Few people have been as outspoken in the runup to this election than former republican steve schmidt. Hes been in the white house campaigns. Hes here to talk about all it have on election eve. Steve, youve run your share of campaigns and worked on them. I want to ask you where you think this is. If you look at the polls, brian, and i think when you look at the totality of all the early votes and how straggeringly lare it is, i think it busted all the models, so i dont think people know what theyre talking about when that he say predictably whats going to happen tomorrow. That being said, anecdotally the evidence shows, as steve just pointed out, there is movement in the democratic partys direction, number one, and the composition of that early vote is from demographics that are favorable to the democratic party. So you may well see a wave. Now, this idea that a wave would hit and it would only affect the house and not the senate is like saying a tsunami would hit the california coast but miss oregon. If there is a substantial wave, its going to hit everywhere, and well see that play out tomorrow. Missouri is an example that it seems that there is some late movement in that race in Claire Mccaskills direction, and you see that in a couple other states as well. And whats your favorite east coast either Congressional District or statewide race that you, steve schmidt, will be looking at tomorrow night . Im going to be looking at that indiana race early, the donnelly race, and of course the georgia governors race and the florida governors race. For republicans, theyre going to need to do what happened two years ago. Theyre going to have to pull an inside straight. There is a lot of close races coming into the final weekend of polling. We dont have any really good new data after last thursday or friday. We have some of the nbc marist polls. All of those polls suggest movement on the democratic side. Well have to wait and see. What we do know is this might be the largest turnout, Midterm Election, looking more like a president ial election than a typical midterm. When those voter turnout models are completely busted by the excessive turnout were going to see, its just anyones guess about how thats going to play out. Steve schmidt has agreed to stay with us as we bridge this next commercial break. When we come back, i might ask him what the next of this week might look like, especially for the Republican Party. That and more when we continue. [narrator] the typical vacuum head has its limitations, so shark invented duo clean. While deep cleaning carpets, the added soft brush roll picks up large particles, gives floors a polished look, and fearlessly devours piles. Duo clean technology, corded and cordfree. Recently, more than 20 million has been spent in the race for superintendent of public instruction to attack my friend Tony Thurmonds record. Well, ive worked with tony, and no one is more qualified to lead our states schools. Thats why Tony Thurmond is the only candidate endorsed by Classroom Teachers and the California Democratic party. Because tony will stand up to the donald trumpbetsy devos agenda and has always protected our local public schools. Join me in voting for Tony Thurmond. Lets put our kids first. They say were ddivisive, bt were not divisive, were defending an america that is wand wandering. Lets let them be called theie lets because you, we, are the super eliteelites. We are the super elites. There have been many assessments of what exactly this particular election will mean. One that caught our attention comes from the veteran journalist don balz at the Washington Post. He writes, quote, its about something more elemental. What kind of country americans see today and want to see in the future. This debate about americas divisions have been underway for some time, but trump has raised the emotional level to something not seen before. Still with us here tonight is steve schmidt. And steve, when they write the book on this period, lets say just these last two years, is it going to be written that trump is fortunate to have had a period where the leadership and the Republican Senate and Republican House has been so unencumbered by principles or idealogy or a sense of stewardship over the country that they have allowed trump to just completely take control of that party . Well, brian, we tend to look in campaigns and say the outcome is determined by the last event that occurs that has meaning. So tonight we saw the president with rush limbaugh, as if that will influence the outcome as opposed to focusing on the first thing that happened. The first thing that happened in this election is this. When donald trump was nau inaugurated, there was trump. Lock, stock and barrel, all of them, from Lindsey Graham on down, there is exactly one elected republican left in the country that has been faithful to his previous principles. Thats john kasich. So that decision to surrender without a fight to trumpism will either be validated by the outcome of the election tomorrow, or the republicans are going to face a massive repudiation by the American People. What donald trump has done fundamentally is stoke a cold civil war in this country. He hasnt acted as the president , hes acted as a tribal chieftail at war with the other half of the country. This campaign has been loathesome. Its disgusting. Its not racial, its not dog whistles, these are racist appeals full of antagonism, an invading diseaseinfested army about to crash the southern border. Its as outrageous as it is despicable. I think the American People, by and large, dont want to live in that type of country. But to watch over a twoyear period the diminution of the Republican Party into an echocentric, nationalist party is something to behold, and i think something tragic to behold. But tomorrow the American People will get their first opportunity electorally to render a verdict about trump and trumpism. And make no mistake. Thats cannexactly what this election is about. Its what trump as made it about. Its about trumpism, period. And tomorrow, though we dont know the outcome, we do know for sure that by sometime on wednesday, well know if trumpism has been validated and there are profound consequences if that is to be so or if its repudiated. There are outcomes that are significant if that is so. Steve, we have under a minute left. Final question is about paul ryan. Im not trying to pick on anyone here tonight, but remember his urban antipoverty campaign at first a few years back. Does this mean that he just goes off into the good night and flies back to jaynesville without ever speaking up and he will have been a party to all of this . I saw paul ryan yesterday. As is typical of paul ryan, he was affable, he was friendly, but this man, a tremendous talent in so many ways, at a moment when the country needed statesmen, and it needed leaders, and it needed leaders of toughness and conviction and principle, he made a tactical decision to capitulate to the president , to trumpism and all the vile aesthetics and characteristics associated with it. He leaves a person with a career like jack kemp. A republican who marched with Martin Luther king. A speaker of the house that is seeking to keep its majority with this terribly, racially antagonistic campaign and leaving behind deficits that are approaching a trillion dollars a year. Thats the legacy. Its a tragic one in many ways. Steve schmidt, its always a pleasure. We look forward to talking to you as we go along tomorrow night, whatever the story line is that we encounter. Steve schmidt with us on the 11th hour tonight. When we come back, why your proximity to a certain kind of food store may say a lot about the politics where you live. That and more when we come back. music throughout you might or joints. Hing for your heart. But do you take something for your brain. With an ingredient originally discovered in jellyfish, prevagen has been shown in Clinical Trials to improve shortterm memory. Prevagen. Healthier brain. Better life. electronic dance music whooo want to take your next vacation to new heights . Tripadvisor now lets you book over a hundred thousand tours, attractions, and experiences in destinations around the world like new york from bus tours, to breathtaking adventures, tripadvisor makes it easy to find and book Amazing Things to do. And you can cancel most bookings up to 24 hours in advance for a full refund. So you can make your next trip. Monumental read reviews check hotel prices book things to do tripadvisor welcome to emirates mr. Jones. Just sit back, relax and let us entertain you. With over 3,500 channels of entertainment, including the latest movies and box sets from around the world. we even have live sports and news channels. and your free wifi will start shortly. Enjoy your flight mr. Jones. Worlds best inflight entertainment. Fly emirates. Fly better. Democrats are inviting caravan after caravan of illegal aliens to pour into our country, overwhelming the schools, your hospitals and your communities. If you want more caravans, if you want more crime, vote democrat tomorrow. And check that distinction there, the democrats are inviting those waves of caravans to come toward our country. This is the Closing Argument the president took to the states he won back in 2016. In a New York Times piece headlined g. O. P. Sees trumps playbook as best hope in some tight races, and, the goalthrough overt, frontal attacks on prominent liberals, minorities and immigrants is to stocky an us versus them narrative about the countrys security, culture and heritage, in hopes of getting koefsh actives to see the election as a battle to save the nations future. Hes put a much finer point on it because hes got this group coming to our southern border. A month away doesnt seem to matter. I think this is a more powerful issue than build the wall was in 2016. Mexico will pay for the wall, in case you hadnt heard. I dont think they wrote the check yet. This is a manifestation of every fear of a voter that is likely to support trump would have about an immigrant invasion as trump has put it himself, as conservative media pundits have put it. This is a story that has popped more than anything ive ever seen in the last few weeks of a race. I remember being out on the road in nebraska three weeks ago at a republican dinner, and i pay pretty close attention to conservative media. First question to the congressman running, what are you going to do about the caravan . I hadnt really heard about the caravan yet, but to me this is where it started. To this day it will be the defining issue for republicans in this race, good or bad. Its very revealing about the lengths to which a modern American Political Party will go to stir paranoia and fear among its base. I do want to read you something, noting that youre just back from america, returning to new york. Blue wave in a nutshell. Democrats are doing really, really well anywhere thats within like a 20minute drive from a whole foods market. Dave wasserman, for folks who dont know his name, may be the foremost authority on house visits this year. This has become kind of axiomatic out in america. And its true. Because you look at the districts where the republicans are in the biggest trouble. Its these affluent, educated suburbs where there are whole foods. And theyre places where they still have a fighting chance, although in talking to republicans over the last 48 hours, they are getting more and more nervous about the districts that are redder that dont have whole foods. You see these realignments with the electoral here where gerrymandering is the only thing driving our politics. Where you live is how you feel about President Trump is determining a lot of our culture and our society in a way that i dont think any modern leader of this country has ever done to us before. Is the american suburbs, do you think that is thats going to pass for most of the battleground this time around . I really do. And then there is a handful of races that are in more rural parts of the country that are kind of split where they have an urban segment like youre talking about a race, for example, outside of cincinnati, one outside of lexington, one outside of des moines. These are if republicans start losing those, it is going to be a very bad night for them. Our own aa alli vitali spent some time with republicans today. They were in line for three rallies. She asked which issues had the most traction. I want to show you this, and well discuss did on the other side. Do you have a door on your house . Of course. Do you lock it . Yes. Not because you hate everyone, but you want to know who is getting in your house. I think the same is true for the country. Were a country built by immigrants. And i believe like trump believes, we want the immigrants here but we want them to do it legally. There is enthusiasm on both sides. I think if you look at whats happening with the caravan and with justice kavanaugh, the way he was treated. My mom is an 86yearold democrat from pennsylvania. She just changed parties to republican this year. Because of kavanaugh. Because of kavanaugh. I know you encountered the kavanaugh talk on the trail. Its the mistreatment of kavanaugh. You heard the caravan is getting through. If you have a door on your house, you would lock your door, wouldnt you . Same is true with immigration. I think these are all pointing to the same sentiment, the same anxiety that a lot of voters, especially white voters, have. Trump well understands himself that their place has slipped from the pinnacle of American Culture in society. And thats kavanaugh, right . Because if kavanaugh, who is the ultimate avatar of privilege, if he can be taken down, whats stopping them from coming after me . You then combine that with whats happening with the caravan or what they are told by the president and by the most watched news network in the country is happening with that caravan. And it really instills a sense of fear. What i will say, though, has got me thinking maybe this isnt going to work for republicans in the way they hoped. I went to enough of these rallies over the last few weeks. I talked to one person who told me they voted early. Republican rallies, that is. I dont know that trumps popularity transfers down ballot. And thats the big question mark. Its something you talk to republican strategists about throughout the course of this midterm and they say, we dont really know yet how to take that energy at the rallies and bring it to the doors, to the people knocking on the doors, bring it to the ballot box. That could be the difference tomorrow night. Thats interesting. It will be interesting to see tomorrow. 31 million early votes are in. Jeremy peters, New York Times, thank you so much for stopping by our new york studios. When we come back, a full day of campaigning for the president just came to an end less than 15 minutes before midnight. Well talk about it when we come back. Will it feel like the wheend of a journey . P working, or the beginning of something even better . When you prepare for retirement with pacific life, you can create a lifelong income. So you have the freedom to keep doing whatever is most meaningful to you. A reliable income that lets you retire, without retiring from life. Thats the power of pacific. Ask your financial professional about pacific life today. The full value of your new car . Youd be better off throwing your money right into the harbor. Im gonna regret that. With Liberty Mutual new car replacement, well replace the full value of your car. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. We are back, and we have just made contact with peter baker, chief White House Correspondent for the New York Times. Importantly, because hes been traveling with the president , ending up in missouri tonight. Peter, i guess im curious, would you have known, watching and listening to this president all day, that he was the same president who admitted to Sinclair Broadcasting early today that he had regrets about his tone, that it could have and should have been softer these past two years . Well, that would not be the president you heard tonight here in missouri. No. I think its full of red meat rhetoric. Hes finishing up his campaign here in missouri, a red state that he needs to help win for the senate, to beat Claire Mccaskill, and he was not going with a soft tone here, thats for sure. Now, he might go on wednesday, thats where hes trying to suggest, i think, to a different audience, but with a crowd of supporters he wants to turn out tomorrow, he wants them to hear his speech full of energy and division, that hes been practicing on the campaign trail now for several weeks. I talked to one person tonight who believes that what the president said to sinclair, peter, could be the result of what is always shared with president s on the eve of an election, the kind of last best estimates by their team, how the numbers look. He also tends to mention his homework, so, weve seen him pepper into his speeches in the last few days, women want security, women like security. Thats almost a briefing line that hes repeating by wrotrote. So, we could be seeing a confluence of internal polling and a pretty pretty truthful look at what may be unfolding tomorrow. Well, its very interesting. If, in fact, the numbers that people have seen that show the house might go democratic, hes going to be facing a very different political reality wednesday morning. So, the interview with sinclair could be a pivot, we dont know. He has flirted with the idea of a more bipartisan approach to governing, to working with democrats like Chuck Schumer, nancy pelosi. Not going to talk about that here tonight. And hasnt lasted very long when he has tried it. But if hes faced with a democratic house, he will have a new reality he has to adjust to, and you might be seeing him beginning to come to grips with that. I have to ask you, peter, since youre in missouri and so many people are curious about that senate race, where do you put it . Is there any poll you buy into more than the others . Well, i think we learned two years ago not to make predictions. This is a bell weather state, though. It makes a big difference, in Claire Mccaskill goes down, thats a sign of what could happen elsewhere across the country. She voted against judge kavanaugh for the supreme court, she voted against the tax cut, so, shes seen by the trump forces as a key example of the kind of red state democrat they want to take out. She faces josh hawley, a pretty, you know, energized, young conservative republican, attorney general of the state. Hes doing well in this state, but i wouldnt want to make a prediction based on a short visit here. Clearly, in this hall, you know, we know which way theyre going to do. But this is a crowd that turns out for President Trump. I talked to somebody beforehand, he said, im here for President Trump, ill vote for josh hawley, because thats the way to keep President Trumps agenda going. Fascinating. Peter baker, three events today. Always a pleasure having you on the broadcast. Thank you so much for joining us from what was the president s rally within the last hour. Another break for us. When we come back, a fair warning tonight about something taking place tomorrow that could make for a huge disruption or distraction, if someone is so inclined. That story, when we come back. Do these moves look familiar . Then you might have a condition called dry mouth. Biotene is clinically proven to soothe and moisturize a dry mouth. Plus, it freshens breath. Biotene. Immediate and long lasting dry mouth symptom relief. What do you look for i want free access to research. Yep, td ameritrades got that. Free access to every platform. Yeah, that too. I dont want any trade minimums. Yeah, i totally agree, they dont have any of those. I want to know what im paying upfront. Yes, absolutely. Do you just say yes to everything . Hm. Well i say no to kale. Mm. Yeah, they say if you blanch it its better, but that seems like a lot of work. No hidden fees. No platform fees. 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Right here. Right now. Humira. Last thing before we go here tonight, is just something to put on your radar for tomorrow. And while it will be a busy day with the Midterm Elections, theres another story we must keep an eye on. Under the category of what could go wrong. Tonight, in the norwegian sea, nato exercises are under way. They are huge and closely coordinated, theyve been planned for a long time. From the north atlantic to the baltic sea, including iceland and the air space over finland and sweden. Were talking about 50,000 troops from different nations, 65 military vehicles, over 250 aircraft, all of it from the 29 nato member nations. And because you cant have a military undertaking without a grandiosesounding name, this one is call eed trident junctur. Then, the russian government posted this. Its a notice to airmen from russias air Traffic Management center, and it says, this is to inform you that the russian navy, and this is where the translation suffers a bit, the russian navy plans to rocket test firings in the basin of the norwegian sea. Now, that means that commercial flights are being kept away from the area, and this means that both sides had better be hyper aware of preventing mistakes. This is, we remind you, also, what the pentagon does. They deal with this kind of thing all the time. Its just good to have it on our radar in case anyone is perhaps looking for a distraction or a disruption tomorrow. Its all part of our world, as monday is about to give way to Midterm Election day across this country. And that is our broadcast for this monday night, the eve of election night. Were back on the air, 6 00 p. M. Eastern time tomorrow night with the first returns and for the duration. Thank you so very much for being here with us and good night from nbc news headquarters here in new york. Thanks to you at home for joining us this hour. Barack obama was elected president ten years ago last night. His victory speech at grant park in chicago in front of a quarter Million People actually spanned the midnight hour