By Derek Lemoine, Jeff Shrader and Laura Bakkensen Weather forecasts have gotten quite good over the years, but their temperatures aren't always spot on ― and the result when they underplay extremes can be lethal. Even a 1-degree difference in a forecast's accuracy can be the difference between life and death, our research shows. As economists, we have studied how people use forecasts to manage weather risks. In a new working paper for the National Bureau of Economic Research, we looked at how