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Worried about him actually winning. megyn: now, according to the latest poll, the real clear politics average of all polls, ron paul is in the first position in iowa with 22.3%, romney's second at 21 and gingrich is third at 14.7. which of those candidates, byron, has the most to lose in these seven days? >> well, mitt romney has played kind of an odd game in iowa. he invested so much in iowa in 2007-2008 only to see mike huckabee come up and beat him at the end, so this time he wasn't going to play big in iowa. but now he's been there, he's going to be there this week, he'd made several visit...

>> i'm rick perry and i approved this message. >> i think it's the same music. >> it could be and, of course, what that particular ad does, it plays to the fact that he's been trying to hammer to the people of iowa, i'm an outsider. i'm not like those guys and that's very effective when you, you know, i hadn't done the math. i hadn't totalled up how much those congressmen -- that's a very big number. >> right. so how is all this resonating with the voters in terms of the polls today? real clear politics takes all different polls and punches them together and comes up with an average and ron pa...

Expected. we'll see 8 days away. rick perry also has people who say he will do better than expected. so you have got a lot of candidates in the mix. remember the iowa caucus results depend on the people who are willing to brave chilly temperatures on a tuesday evening this year and they will be there potentially for hours. they have to be dedicated to turn out at these caucuses. julie: the weather plays a huge role. last week i was wondering, ron paul does have a following there. especially among younger voters, and maybe they are willing to brave the cold as you just said. perhaps that is wha...

By the end of this year you'll reach the bottom. let me tell you what's happening right now. you're seeing prices down 3.8%, still hurts for the value of your largest asset. $183,700. 22.3% are under water, that means your house is worth less than the value of the mortgage right now. this number continues to climb. so look, i want to be clear, you're still kind of having some rough going in terms of value of your home. let's talk about california, quickly. this has been an epicenter of the housing crash crisis. i want to talk about some of these areas showing a little bit of signs of life. let...

>> i'm rick perry and i approved this message. >> let's take a look at where the candidates are in the polls today. everything is a snapshot but today, it's interesting, real clear politics crunches all the numbers together and then gives you an average and ron paul is at the top with 22.3%. >> perhaps more telling, though, is where newt gingrich is this morning because all the headlines if you read their take on this poll is newt slips to third. look at that. who was up in iowa? a lot of people have been making the point about newt gingrich that of those candidates who have surged, michelle b...