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Trump doing better than others. as of this morning, 44.2% for trump. hillary at 44.1%. what's the difference? how do preelection polls match the final results? i think you're about to be shocked. david lauder, i have to note, the methods of the l.a. times poll don't meet the cnn standards and yet, in 2012, that poll said, your poll said obama would win by 3.38% and he won by 3.85%. and the applied statistics at columbia university co-authored a saying the margin of error in polls is actually double what we're led to believe. let me begin with you. how does your methodology differ from the conv...

Nate virtually 538.com says hillary has an 84.7% chance of winning. and yet are they to be believed? trump accuses that the polls are crooked. he says they are rigged. the usc-"l.a. times" daybreak tracking poll consistently shows trump doing better than the others. as of this morning, 44.2% for trump, hillary at 44.1. what explains the difference and how well do pre-election polls match the final results? i think you're about to be schocked. david lauder is "l.a. times" washington bureau chief. the methods of the poll don't meet the cnn standards and yet in 2012 that poll said obama would win...

Enabler than victim but are those attacks valid? i'll ask the man who broke the lewinsky scandal. and trump t ourch ts his business prowess as his chief credential but given the behaviors we've just seen, could donald trump get hired at say walmart? i'll ask the nation's premier business writer, andrew ross sorkin is here. even before this, the electoral map was tilting heavily in hillary's favor. but look at this one. it shows donald trump up 44.2-44.1 and this poll has been right before. i'll speak to two experts who will explain why all the numbers could be off. and thanks to his uncanny ...

>> to get numbers like we see now is a major, major turn around but we have to go farther to get the unemployment rate down and the president is firmly committed to that. >> reporter: among the biggest white house concerns, long term unemployment. a record 44.1% of jobless americans have been out of work for more than 6 months. the average lengths of joblessness is now, 31 weeks. >> blue-collar workers, salt of the earth mention, where the struggle is. >> reporter: where did the economy grow? 43,000 new jobs 3:5% of the private sector job gains, were concentrated in the leisure, hospitality an...

Increasingly optimistic, but unemployment still at 10% in most states. in many states and cities, it's significantly higher. under employment increased 16% and long term unemployed is record level 44.1%. so we don't think it's time to break out the champagne yet, but we're certainly significantly better off than we were a year ago. >> so what i hear you saying we should be cautiously optimistic so what is wrong with a bunch of optimism? >> i think that the optimism unfortunately is already reflected in the financial markets. you know, the stock prices, for example, seem to be reflecting perfec...