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Pays for butter has increased 43%, flour up 86%. >> i went from prepandemic paying almost $15 for a 50 pound bag of flour and now i'm up to $20 for a bag of flour. >> reporter: consumer food prices rose 11.2% over last september. bakery products including bread and cereal are up 16.2% in the same period. breaking down her costs it makes sense that a baker like velazquez would raise prices but she hesitates to put too much on customers. >> there's only so much someone will pay for a sandwich or baguette or a croissant, so it's a balance. >> reporter: she keeps crunching the numbers. >> i sit he...

That stock supermarket shelves, especially smaller operators like velazquez and her family. >> when i order i go through three vendors to figure out where i will get the best price on eggs, butter. >> reporter: along with other complexities of the post-pandemic economy. bird flu diminished sligh in the wholesale egg market and butter inventory is tight after western heatwaves curbed cow's dairy production. since october 2019 this same time of year pre-pandemic the price she pays for butter has increased 43%, eggs up 63%, flour up 86%. >> i went from pre-pandemic paying almost $15 for a 50-poun...

>> let's talk about new york 19, we just spoke about it a little bit in the intro. we see pat ryan in a little bit of a surprise beating marc molinaro. joe biden won it by 1.5 points in 2020 which means that pat ryan slightly outperformed joe biden in the district which is quite a surprise in a special election, especially when there is a democratic president. that's not the only special. here we're going to go to new york 23rd on the southern tier, this district is getting rejoined just like 19 is. yes, the republican wins here but this was a district that donald trump won by 11.2 points and ...

Democrats really take to the campaign trail as they try to talk about their accomplishments ahead of the midterm elections. al >> we will look for that announcement. democrats are newly optimistic today after last night's election results. cnn projects that democrat pat ray ya ryan is the winner of a house seat in a new york swing district. he built his campaign as a referendum on roe versus wade. democrats are hoping that message continues to help them and hurt republicans in november. cnn's harry enten is here now. what do you see in the results? >> let's start off in new york 19, a specia...

In june. anybody who drives a car or heats their house or cools their house knows this and food up 11.2%. this is a gauge that is a little different than the consumer price index that we report every month. the fed likes to look at this one because it has other through lines, especially for medical costs, for example, in here. so this is a number that the fed has been watching and this is showing you why the fed is raising interest rates so aggressively to try to cool inflation. it is widespread in the american economy right now across all kinds of categories. when you look at the trend again,...