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If it's 2012, it's a good year. so it's not a bad thing for democrats, because they had to catch up with democrats, usually the democratic enthusiasm is so far behind republicans. so this is the year where we had enthusiasms measuring each other, but they don't have enough people. >> what do you mean they don't have enough people? >> if you look at the partisanship, the republican party has been shrinking as partisan identification largely law of trump. if you look at the independents and democrats, republicans don't have -- they're not an expanding party. >> right. but they showed, jason, the...

The question here becomes turnout. when barack obama made phone calls in the last couple days, it's about turnout particularly in this part of the state. i'll tell you there is a formula here. roy moore was on the ballot five years ago. his last election in alabama he won, but barely. he won it by -- 51.5 to 48.5. it was a three-point margin before the scandals. so there is a path for jones, a democrat today. >> wow. hey, steve, as you went across that black belt there, as they call it down here, doug jones talked about needing historic african american turnout to win tonight. obama-level turn...

Vote. remember the ross perot factor in that month. george bush 59, ronald reagan 62. these other presidents considerably higher in their approval rating, up around 60% than donald trump. so it is a plain fact historically at six months donald trump is among the most unpopular president in the history of polling. what about the other point the president made, that it wasn't good in predicting the 2016 election results? here is the final tracking. 47 to 43. let me shrink this down a little bit. 48.5 for hillary clinton. 26.4 for donald trump. so a four point gap there. so, yes, the poll was off...

Obamacare, securing the border. he made great strides with his appointment of neil gorsuch on the supreme court. this should be a wake-up call. i think they can take this opportunity to say let's focus on the issues that are important to the american people. >> but if you look at this, because the president tweeted today, he tweeted about this poll. he said the abc/"washington post" poll even though almost 40% is not bad at this time was just about the most inaccurate poll around election time. okay. but as i mentioned, 36 pefrs an patriotic six months. i just saw john king do a fact check on ...

Just about the most inaccurate poll around election time. okay. but as i mentioned, 36% in approximately six months. i just saw john king do a fact check on this, right? basically saying that the president was inaccurate in what he tweeted. so as far as the assertion that the poll was inaccurate around election time, the final estimate from the "washington post"/abc tracking poll was 47% for clinton, 43% for trump compared with a final of 48.5 for clinton and 46.4 for trump, given a 2.5 percentage point margin of error, it's definitely not inaccurate. why is he still going there saying that th...