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Beat rick santorum for the republican nomination. he didn't get a bounce after he picked paul ryan or after the convention, but he is after this debate. so we are seeing a lot of movement right now, but i think the best gauge of where this race will be is when we move on a week or two from now where we see where all the dust settled after a volatile period in the numbers. >> i thought you were going to say when our new nbc news poll comes out that's what we know. with that said the pugh poll says if the election were held today, that's 49/45 amongst likely voters. amongst registered voters bar...

New polling from some key midwestern battlegrounds. first to ohio. a newp pp poll, president obama's lead there is four points, 49 to 45. ppp tends to lean democratic but the new columbus dispatch poll shows the president with a lead more than twice as big. he's up nine in the newspaper poll. 51/42. in iowa, a new des moines register poll has the president up 49/45. that's been a tricky state, iowa. we'll be right back.

Scott brown by four now. wow, 49/45%. a guess all this making jokes about the indians isn't working for mr. brown. we'll be right back. ♪

80% who disapprove of the economy feel strongly about it. half the people who approve of his performance, less than half feel strongly about it. he's being driven the wrong way on the economy. >> sean: there's also in this poll, people that are likely to vote in the midterms, democrats over republicans. have a 56-41% margin, that's a 15 point margin can you read a lot into that? >> no, i can. simple way to look at this, if you look at all voters, all voters a --rl >> sean: hang on, are you writing that as you go? >> i'm going man. 47/46 among all voters. among likely voters it is 49/45. among ...

80% who disapprove of the economy feel strongly about it. half the people who approve of his performance, less than half feel strongly about it. he's being driven the wrong way on the economy. >> sean: there's also in this poll, people that are likely to vote in the midterms, democrats over republicans. have a 56-41% margin, that's a 15 point margin can you read a lot into that? >> no, i can. simple way to look at this, if you look at all voters, all voters a --rl >> sean: hang on, are you writing that as you go? >> i'm going man. 47/46 among all voters. among likely voters it is 49/45. among ...