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Rocking hal county. >> only seconds left. iowa, who is trend? >> i think it's going to be tough to beat barack obama. >> so obama, iowa. colorado? >> 17 candidates on the ballot, very difficult to say. that's even 49.5 could win colorado. >> all right. >> that's iffy. >> nevada looks to be obama. i've got to go. factor tip of the day, newspaper column you might like. the tip, 60 seconds away. raps. thermacare works differently. it's the only wrap with patented heat cells that penetrate deep to relax, soothe, and unlock tight muscles. for up to 16 hours of relief, try thermacare.

Rocking hal county. >> only seconds left. iowa, who is trend? >> i think it's going to be tough to beat barack obama. >> so obama, iowa. colorado? >> 17 candidates on the ballot, very difficult to say. that's even 49.5 could win colorado. >> all right. >> that's iffy. >> nevada looks to be obama. i've got to go. factor tip of the day, newspaper column you might like. the tip, 60 seconds away.

>> bret: c'ya, so i should put -- this is the average of the four latest polls inness. president obama with 49.5%. romney with 46.8%. romney did go to reno. trying apparently to chip away. we usually look at where people go. candidate misfinal days. clearly they are looking at something. >> romney's internal polling shows him in the race. maybe even slightly ahead. they would think they would be. we have the worst economy in the country. romney should be ahead here. but that democratic machine is formidable here. harry reid in 2010. allowed obama to win the state by 19 points in 2008. they are...

To go to mitt romney. are you standing by that tonight? >> we based that on what we saw in the data and the head-to-head numbers. that data hasn't changed. as a matter of fact it's gotten worse for barack obama. obviously polls are a snapshot in time. and if one of those three states were to spike up to 49, 49.5 we would revisit it. but as of now we are not. we are sticking by it and polling the other states we think that will matter more. >> bill: scott, is there any chance that barack obama will gain some momentum from last night's debate? >> there is always a chance. but i don't think much ...

Are you standing by that tonight? >> we based that on what we saw in the data and the head-to-head numbers. that data hasn't changed. as a matter of fact it's gotten worse for barack obama. obviously polls are a snapshot in time. and if one of those three states were to spike up to 49, 49.5 we would revisit it. but as of now we are not. we are sticking by it and polling the other states we think that will matter more. >> bill: scott, is there any chance that barack obama will gain some momentum from last night's debate? >> there is always a chance. but i don't think much is going to change. i ...