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Approval levels of presidents who were defeated for re-election. i'll tell you what it really projects, and this is based on the history of job approval numbers, it projects a very close competitive race in november, which i think is exactly right. gregg: let me put up on your screen a quote from your crystal ball, because this gives a specific projection based on the may month. based on president obama's may approval rating of 47% and the prediction line shown on figure one, which we are not going to show because it's very come phra indicate, we would expect mr. obama to receive 51.6% of the ...

That is reflected in his approach to dealing with usama bin laden. >> bret: bin laden killing to immigration reform. a look at the average of the polls from real clear politics average. you can see the approval at 51.6. a bump of six points on average. before the break, we asked you how long will the bin laden bounce last for obama? 68% of you said less than a month. nonscientific poll online. we're back with the panel and karen, you hear jay carney talk about immigration reform. how much does it spill over to other agenda items if any? >> the numbers to look at here, i think the whole episode...

Because as we say it's history in the making. let's tune in and let our listeners hear the whole thing. >> the rocket booster gimble check. firing chain is armed. sound suppression water system activated. "t" minus 13, 12, 11, 10, 9, 8, go for main engine start. 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1. and zero. liftoff of space shuttle "atlantis." the rest of its historic achievements in space. >> houston, rolling. >> roger. roll. >> houston is now controlling. the roll maneuver is complete. "atlantis" is in a heads-down position on course for a 51.6-degree 136x36-mile orbit.

>> solid rocket booforter gimble check. sounds suppression water system activated. t-minus 13, 12, 11, 10, 9, 8, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1. and 0. liftoff. the space shuttle atlantis. the historic achievement in space. >> 51.6 degree statute mile orbit.

Counting and here's what we do. we go to george diller in launch control for the final seconds. >> the rocket booster nozzle check. firing chain is armed. sound suppression water system activated. t minus 13, 12, 11, 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 -- and zero and liftoff, space shuttle "atlantis." historic achievements in space. >> roger. >> houston is now controlling. the maneuver is complete and "atlantis" is on course for a 51.6-degree, 136 by 36 mile orbit.