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So imagine with just 220, 2 221, 222 how difficult it is to get to 218. kevin mccarthy is the favorite. he does not have this lockdown by any measure. >> just how much power, influence does a speaker have? >> it's huge. nancy pelosi, so many of the people in these halls of congress revere her. she helped them in the campaigns. she is regularly someone who knows the pulse of her conference. it is always said that this is a person who would never take a vote to the floor unless she knew exactly where the votes were. that is the knowledge she brings. not just as a role to legislature but role as ...

That going off the map, that is a big, big romney win. >> bret: let me say one thing about that. >> pennsylvania and michigan are also going to be the site of third party television ads. group i'm associated with is joining in the barrage. multimillion dollars. question is whether the obama campaign thinks the states are solidly michigan and pennsylvania in their camp they don't to respond with the tv ads or they respond. the states are there. owe is right. this map is remarkably stable. the number have changed but states in play are the same. the numbers change. we have 184 electoral college ...