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In 2008. ran them in 2012. probably the most intense political campaign that has bean in the state in terms of money and time, the candidates are spending in the state. one key is going to be, key is what will happen in the last debate. that will have an impact. second thing will be can obama get younger voters genned up again? they are not with him in 2012 as they were in 2008. the third thing is i think is romney going to continue his progress with women voters? those are three factors that we're keeping an eye on as we approach the end game here. >> stephen, end game in florida, final what ...

Predictions. newt wants to stay nice. will he do that in 2012. >> probably not. but i don't think the rest of the field is going to be nice to him as well. he will have to mount some defense against the attacks coming against him. i think he is going to be a little scroogy. >> a little naughty as well. robert, your prediction? >> i agree with karen, i don't know if scroogy is a word. but i agree. all americans hate negative politics. when you go negative, it works. newt gingrich will have to contradict his pledge about not going negative and go negative. >> robert, stay with you, romney has be...

good morning. it is thursday, september 15th. this is your "a.m. wake-up call." i'm carol costello. get ready for the president response to president obama's jobs bill. he and the rest of congress have had a few days to leaf through the jobs plan, the obama jobs plan. so now we'll just have to wait and see whether boehner picks a fight over the plan or offers an olive branch. president obama is already taking indirect swipes at congressional republican. listen to what he told the congressional hispanic caucus last night. >> if we're being honest, we know the real problem isn't the me...

He shows up at citifield throwing out the first pitch. >> i hope he is better than the president. >> there he goes. >> not too bad. >> not too bad. >> compared to the president. >> a little high. high and outside, but that's okay. mets lost the game 6-0. then on sunday, prince harry is in a polo match and didn't go so well. bong! bucked from his horse in the first half but it was for a good cause. the event raised money for kids, orphans in africa. >> mike huckabee, guess what he says? >> what? >> he says he is the republican front-runner for 2012. >> probably is. >> you can listen to "morning...