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Wisconsin, when nbc releases its brand-new battleground poll. let me bring in nbc's senior political editor mark murray for a preview. mark, obviously, we know the importance of these two states, but you can't say it enough. >> that's right, tamron. they only combine make up 16 electoral votes, but they're very important to each campaign's path to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the white house. if president obama, for example, can win both iowa and wisconsin, all he has to do is actually win ohio, and he surpasses 270 votes. if he doesn't win ohio, he can do so and get to 270 or beyond ...

That gets you past 270. conversely for mitt romney, if he ends up losing virginia, then he gives obama more paths to 270. if he wins it, he makes sure the obama folks have to be able to win either ohio or florida. >> so as we take a look at the temperature right now in virginia, president obama currently leads in the state. this is according to the recent quinnipiac poll. as we see right there, virginia women, he's got the support of them by 51%. he also has 82% support from the state's african-american population. does the president hold this unstoppable demographic advantage in virginia righ...