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Exercises, north korea sank a ship killing 46 sailors. tonight one u.s. official tells cnn, there's a risk here that the young unpredictable leader could miscalculate. >> these things happen in the most heavily militarized part of the world, this one-mile wide border. it's only a stone's throw from where we have 28,500 u.s. troops deployed. >> reporter: how tense is it? a pentagon official tells us tonight, they are closely monitoring the situation on the korean paeninsulapeninsula. when i asked if u.s. and south korean forces could ratchet down tensions by caming off their exercises, the offi...

Far. the taliban is still looking to be succeeding. >> they have to take up the fight. they have to still get better. it may not be in the near term that we could have a time table there is no room for a time table. you can't call up the time table and depend on that. you have to make sure we are looking at the conditions on the ground. keep our situation awareness very routine rely on where the taliban is. they've always operated in and adjust our techniques and our procedures to basically deal with them. >> and do you think our ge opolitical deployments accurately reflect right now. you are ...

Business leaders today and was reassuring them that foreign investment is a good bet here. this is a booming economy. they have been really leading the region. and the question now is, fear among some south koreans that business would begin to flee if they felt this would become a lot war, not a cold war. so they are taking steps. but no, there's no panic, no anxiety that one can determine, parachuting in as we do. but among my colleagues here, richard engel and others are all saying no there isn't. except as you get closer to the islands and the dmz. we are only 30, 35 miles away. so they cer...

I don't see what is going to change. >> do you face this from, yeah, it looks like everything tom and i are saying is probably true, but don't you have to plan for the prospect that they might actually launch one of these missiles and they probably can't get to the u.s. or get to guam or japan or something like that and what do you do? >> you plan for it. but the odds are extremely low because the north koreans know if they were to do such a thing, this would not be just the second korean war, but it would end with north korea being a separate sovereign state. you do it for another reason, to ...

And the south koreans know, in a weird sense, nobody wants north korea to collapse. >> one thing from the chinese, they love north korea so much, they want them to be two of them. that's what they said about germany. until they get out of that mode, i don't see what is going to change. >> if you with are in the security council, it looks like everything tom and i are saying is probably true. but don't you have to plan for the prospect that they might actually launch one of these missiles and they probably can't get to the u.s. or get to guam or something like that, or japan? what do you do? ...