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The votes and mitt romney with 46.7% of the votes. kyle conduct is a little end of analyst. it is the state where you live in virginia. what is virginia leaning towards this time? >> i think it is basically a total tie this time. one thing that is interesting is that in virginia in 2008, obama got 52.9%. nationally he got 52.6. that was the state closest to the national average. you figure that obama will probably do a little bit worse this time if he wins. that's why it could be the key state in the selection. jon: one of the quandaries for republicans is in that some of the these states that...

And, florida. obviously, those three states are critical to the -- any victory, either side. and we think we can win all three of those and win those three states plus ohio and, wisconsin and, missouri, which we won last time and we have over 270 electoral votes and they've got to basically take something out of the mix and take north carolina, florida, ohio, out of the mix and it is hard to get to 270 but i think, we are well positioned at this point. >> bill: this is a battle ground state and a lot of folks before 2008 would not consider it that way. look at the other battleground states now...

April 27th through the 10th of may. it has obama at 46.7% and also romney at 45.4%. the rasmussen tracking poll is really interesting. it has romney at 50%, obama at 43%. romney up by seven points there. what do you guys read into this? >> the way i see it, the polls are polls, but they're not the electoral college vote, and if you look at 2008 with obama, in 23 of the 28 states that he ran in, he got more of a percentage of vote in those states than he did in the national vote get. so in looking at that, you've got to look at the electoral college where he is strong among swing states and tho...

Obama could take georgia with just 25% of the white vote. that's a stunning number. nevada with 35%, florida with just under 40% and arizona with 46.7% of the white vote president obama would carry. so the ad he released today was dull, lacked some energy, but did most of his talking with who was on the ad rather than what they said, and it was chock-full of young voters, a young black activist, a latino woman in arizona. they hit the swing states, so they get it. obviously they'll make a concerted effort to get those demographic numbers. with me is ron brown steed editorial director of -- and...

This is a choice between the policies that got us into this mess in the first place and the policies that are getting us out of this mess. >> when it comes to nevada's economy, obama and reid are a bust. >> geraldo: sometimes i think i'm the only guy who still likes president obama but it is not that bad if you look at the surveys. according to the real clear politics average of the polls his approval rating stands at an admittedly anemic 46.7% and disapproval is 47.6%. more people disapprove than approve. the question is whether candidates like senate majority leader harry reid are helped for...