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Victory over mitt romney is bigger than first thought. on the day after election day it was 50% to 48%. as votes keep coming in, it's now 50.9% to 47.4%. that's a bigger margin than president george w. bush's victory over john kerry in 2004. [ emily jo ] derrell comes into starbucks with his wife, danielle, almost every weekend. derrell hasn't been able to visit his mom back east in a long time. [ shirley ] things are sometimes a little tight around the house. i wasn't able to go to the wedding. [ emily jo ] since derrell couldn't get home, we decided to bring home to him and then just gave hi...

♪ martha: the president at marathon is nearing the finish line as both sides head out on the final leg to the battleground states. new hour starts of "america's newsroom" i'm martha maccallum. bill: i'm bill hemmer. we are driving ourselves crazy with this stuff. martha: we can't help it. bill: the president trying to win over as many last minute voters, as they possibly can. in my world this is a tie, martha, the president with 47.9, governor romney with 47.4. moments ago governor romney making his closing argument by promising in florida now to deliver on one of the president's own pledges...

The consumer confidence is up. people feel better about the future, which is what obama needs to win. >> the real clear average of polls. people have poll united states but this is the average of the ten latest polls. nationally. 47.4, to 47.7. >> they're tied, plus one or national polls. >> they are even. a margin of error. even race. as you said. tight race. i agree, that the economic judgment is baked in. the romney campaign thesis is economy is bad enough to beat president obama. the obama campaign is we can discredit romney enough to drag president obama past the finish line though the ec...

Will end up mat mattering. look at the campaign stops that tells you quite a bit. they are in wisconsin, they are in ohio. you have sur gates spreading out to a lot of different areas as well. joe biden and paul ryan are on the campaign trail there as well. look at all the attention ohio and wisconsin are getting. here is a look at the "real clear politics" average as the stands today, 47.4% for president obama. 47.3%, we are talking about a one tenth of a percent difference between the candidates, that is well within the margin of error. here is a live look in mill -- excuse me hilliard, ohio...

Romney ryan ticket at 46% among likely voters. the latest "real clear politics" national polling average also shows a tie 47.4 each. let's go to the man with his crystal ball, larry sabato director for the center of politics at the university of virginia. larry graze into that crystal ball and tell us who wins. >> yeah, the popular vote is very, very close, and the election stoerl college vote i theee electoral college vote will not be a landslide for either of the candidates. we are working on the final projection. obama is closer to 270 than governor romney, but there are a lot of these swin...