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It's been a year since donald trump's upset victory, but when you take hillary clinton off the ticket is trumpism still a winning ticket? you said they weren't going to get away with it. >> i was saying the idea there was some grand conspiracy to include is what i find laughable, not that anyone would get away with it. to talk about virginia, don, i was a strategist on karen handles campaign in georgia's sixth congressional district, in fact, i wrote a column on cnn.com, it's a lesson republicans can learn from it. it's interesting to look at sort of -- that was a district that was a 48/47 win...

We've got new national polls on the presidential race. let's check the "hardball" scoreboard. first a new "washington post"/abc poll shows mitt romney and president obama with a tie. a new "new york times"/cbs poll has the president up one, 48-47. and a new npr poll has romney up one, 48/47 but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a four-point lead in the battleground states, 50-46. we'll be right back.

Getting a fluke clear weapon. senator george mcgovern has passed away early this morning. now for a closer look inside the nbc news political poll chuck todd breaking down the numbers on today's "meet the press." >> this is among likely voters, david, 47/47. not all tied races are equal. sitting at 48/47 is a good number for the challenger, not a good number for an incumbent. among men, romney a 10-point lead, let's go to women, this is interesting. president, an eight-point lead here, this is actually his

>> bob: tell you about the polls that are out. nationwide, -- pardon me? >> kimberly: two minutes, bob. >> bob: nationwide, mitt romney leads by 48/47. the second poll, romney also is leading. excuse me, among independents, 38-48/38, which is good for romney. the battleground states, this is the one that decide the election. obama is ahead. there are things i found that were concerning if i were romney. 17-point likability gap between obama and romney. no person with less likability in polling won since 1980. how did you overcome be likable guy? >> eric: he is a likable guy. fantastically lika...

>> bob: tell you about the polls that are out. nationwide, -- pardon me? >> kimberly: two minutes, bob. >> bob: nationwide, mitt romney leads by 48/47. the second poll, romney also is leading. excuse me, among independents, 38-48/38, which is good for romney. the battleground states, this is the one that decide the election. obama is ahead. there are things i found that were concerning if i were romney. 17-point likability gap between obama and romney. no person with less likability in polling won since 1980. how did you overcome be likable guy? >> eric: he is a likable guy. fantastically lika...