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marsha blackburn is not that well known outside of her congressional district. it s ana base she shares with bredesen, suburban nashville. she s working on that. i think she is perceived as very, very conservative. shi has velcroed herself to trump in this race. does it help her? sheit thinks it does. i have my doubts in a statewide race that blind loyalty to the president is helpful. jennifer duffy, thank you. this is a fascinating race to watch.sc where s the cook political report putting it? we have in the tossup. tossup. that s amazing. jennifer duffy, thank you. duffe instead? for drivers with accident forgiveness, liberty mutual won t raise their rates because of their first accident. liberty. liberty. liberty. liberty. ....
Shows up at election time and you reference the polls. the real clear politics average showing casey at 46.3%, under 50. but still that s a significant 16-point lead over barletta. when bill spoke with barletta earlier in the show he asked him about the polls and here is how he responded. there wasn t anybody that predicted donald trump winning pennsylvania. i may have been one of the only ones to tell him that you are going to win pennsylvania and they got it wrong there. they don t know why. they ll get this wrong again. we see the polls closing fast and president trump coming into pennsylvania is a big deal. sandra: a lot of pressure on the president to change the scope of the race. it certainly does. he is right. nobody predicted, very few people predicted that donald trump could possibly win pennsylvania. and lou barletta was among those, the earliest of supporters. the challenge for him is ....
Desperate for a chance to just vote on something. just because they are in competitive districts. they want to show their voters they tried to solve the dreamer problem. they tried to end family separations. but the president pulled out the rug from out from under them and said we shouldn t even bother. don t waste your time. i mean, just a couple days ago he said i m with you 1,000%. i m behind these bills. so, a lot of confusion not just on the policy. not just what s going to happen to these kids on the border but also what s going to happen on capitol hill. this is an issue that up until now has been a pretty good one for him. it energizes his base it goes back to core issues that he has used all along. helped him win the white house. now i think he has muddied the water so much it s hard to know what he wants. as you look, mort, let me put up the generic congressional ballot as it stands now, democrat 46.3. republicans 40.2. that s the average of the recent polls. it has closed ....
It s possible this story will metastasize over time and have paul manafort involved in something, you have jared kushner. he could even just lie to the fbi about something that has nothing to do with the original charge and that in and of itself would bring down, i mean, pure sticklati speculation, we have no idea what s going to happen. these things take on a life of their own. i need to interrupt. david chalian, i hope you re looking. we have the first in from montana. we believe these are absentee votes. rob quist, 47.8%, the republican, greg gianforte, the one now charged with misdemeanor assault, 46.3%. this is close, david. yes, it is close, and we expected a close race here. even before the body slamming incident. this was an un what i should say, it should not have been a close race and it was building do be one. and that is because, you know, both candidates are pretty flawed here, and the what the ....
Montana. that much anticipated election. all eyes are on montana tonight in this special election there. there you see, the votes are in. 38% of the vote is in right now and you see the democrat, rob quist, 48.1% of the vote. greg gianforte, 46.3% of the vote. that is a 2,785 vote margin for quist at this point. as we have been hearing from political folks in washington, gloria borger among them, this is supposed to be a runaway for the republican candidate. this race closed up. i wonder if the incident that happened last night, this all e alleged assault, is going to make a difference in this case. gloria borger joins us now. we really don t know. we know 70% of the people who vote vote early. we know that we don t know, however, how this is going to affect the turnout on both sides. the issue here that i think is very important is that, a , donald trump is about 46% or 47% popularity in the state so he s ....