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Involved here at gallup since april, so we don't see quite the fluctuation that we might see other way. but that's a good thing. that's why we're doing it. very close in and around this 47/46 split since april. it went up the first nights of the convention. >> historically do candidates get a bounce and how much? >> five points. how is that? republicans get five points if you add up all the bounces since barry goldwater. >> but didn't president clinton have a huge bounce, 16 points? >> in 1992, that's why democrats historically get a bigger bounce. that was an interesting year. perot was in, t...

Be comfortable with us. he's a friend of mine. i have seen him a long time in congress. >> bret: congressman paul ryan talking about congressman ron paul who has not endorsed mitt romney. he is here. his son rand paul endorsed him. talking about influence of ron paul and supporters. new poll out today is tracking a lot of other polls. romney up by one point. the romney-ryan ticket, 47/46. look at this. direction of the country, wrong track. 6 67%. this is an interesting one. who do you hand to do better job handling medicare? 45%, governor romney. president obama, 42%. this is a poll that over...

80% who disapprove of the economy feel strongly about it. half the people who approve of his performance, less than half feel strongly about it. he's being driven the wrong way on the economy. >> sean: there's also in this poll, people that are likely to vote in the midterms, democrats over republicans. have a 56-41% margin, that's a 15 point margin can you read a lot into that? >> no, i can. simple way to look at this, if you look at all voters, all voters a --rl >> sean: hang on, are you writing that as you go? >> i'm going man. 47/46 among all voters. among likely voters it is 49/45. among ...

That's the divisiveness that americans recognize and one of the reasons his campaign, despite spending massively more than our campaign, that his campaign hasn't gained the traction that he would have expected. i think people have seen this kind of a character assassination and divisiveness of being very different with the campaign of hope and change which he ran on originally. >> so let's talk first, john heilemann, about the poll. this deadlock, 47/46, it's a tie going into this convention. >> and has been that for months, you know. it's now become a cliche this has been the most static pres...

80% who disapprove of the economy feel strongly about it. half the people who approve of his performance, less than half feel strongly about it. he's being driven the wrong way on the economy. >> sean: there's also in this poll, people that are likely to vote in the midterms, democrats over republicans. have a 56-41% margin, that's a 15 point margin can you read a lot into that? >> no, i can. simple way to look at this, if you look at all voters, all voters a --rl >> sean: hang on, are you writing that as you go? >> i'm going man. 47/46 among all voters. among likely voters it is 49/45. among ...