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President's final state of the union speech tonight, when he is almost certain to mention the iran nuclear deal negotiated with tehran. >> as you well know, u.s. officials long said there are two irans out there, the iran revolutionary guard corps, which operates on the one hand, and the other government that the u.s. has been dealing with, kerry has been dealing with, foreign minister, the president, on the other hand the ayatollah, the supreme leader makes the final decision, if the revolutionary guard wants to parade the sailors show they were arrested, they can do that. >> absolutely right...

Can reach out and shoot down aircraft, deep inside turki isi air space and in syrian air space. that is what causes the problems for the u.s. the u.s. officials, military officials tell me they will have to have some sort of understanding. if this missile system gets turned on, if it goes fully operational by the russians inside syria, they need to determine what it is going to mean for u.s. war planes flying in the coalition, leading the coalition, in air strikes in that region. so there is really a long way to go before there is going to be cooperation, a coalition with the russians, inside ...

To you? >> there's two parts. there's the iaea out today saying this report is false as jim was rightly reporting. the iaea has long inspections like this and is not going to turn over inspections of iranian facility to the irans. they might give them some supervision. that makes sense to me. here's the bottom line problem over the coming years. when you look at agreements like this, the devil is in the implementation. iran says, it will take another couple days for us to give access to this facility. you fly in a team and they say there's sensitive military activity at that site today, you ca...

All of the options. aaron david miller is a current vice-president of the wood row wilson center joins me now. it is great to see you. why do you believe that iran would make the move to instigate an attack. >> because by and large, iran is playing three dimensional chess and we are playing checkers. the iranians reached the where implementing the deal is in their advantage. i don't like binary choices. life is usually much more complicated. i don't think war is inevitable. and the irans will not sneak out a weapon. and the israelis don't want to strike and certainly this administration doesn'...

And the president said don't judge it on who iran changes. the fear is the opposite that it will fuel opposite. >> how valid is that fear? >> it is very valid. we started this process in 2005 and 6 and looking for a shift from the iranians and persuade the irans that the cost outweigh withed the benefits. that was the purpose of the process. there is nothing in the agreement that makes them do that and nothing in their behavior that suggest the conjectory. we have sewn more iranian misbehavior in yemen and syria. they have resources and free of the sanctions and nothing to suggest their behavi...