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Know steve rattner, these midterm elections are driven not just -- people always love to look at the generic ballot test. it's the intensity. it's the intensity of people that are coming out. ed gillespie didn't lose virginia because republicans were repulsed by his confederacy ads. he lost virginia because more democrats were repulsed and the turnout was so strong. in this case, you have women who are going to be so much more deeply offended, and more and more are going to fall away from voting for republican for the first time in your life but what about black americans? what about hispanic ...

Bill that they passed in december. the evidence appears to be that, you know, as people are beginning to feel the effects of it, more money in their paychecks, this bill may become more popular. there's going to be many, many bounces of the ball between now and november. >> charlie, what are you looking at when you try to go behind the numbers here and look at the way public mood might be changing? >> we try to look at the macro and micro. and the macro or the national polls, the president's approval rating in relationship with midterm elections. the generic ballot test, that sort of thing. th...

Obviously things can change. but when you look at the national polling, even acknowledging that president trump's job approval rating has -- has ticked up to 40 in the last month or two and the congressional ballot test has narrowed a bit, president trump is still at historically bad numbers for a president one year in. republicans are still looking at some pretty formidable numbers on the generic. we're looking at 13 months' worth of election results that are very, very only annuals for republicans. and we're seeing privately numbers from both parties, private numbers in individual states and...

General, alabama senate, and new jersey governor. >> how do you read it? what does it mean? >> well, you know, we're just looking at all kinds of signs that right -- there's a wave. now ten months to go before the election. 272 days. obviously things can change. but when you look at the national polling, even acknowledging that president trump's job approval rating has pi -- has ticked up to 40 in the last month or two and the congressional ballot test has narrowed a bit, president trump is still at historically bad numbers for a president one year in. republicans are still looking at some pre...

Members go up to the open mics and tell him to his face, release the memo. he's watching in the chamber as the president leaves the state of the union. members are leaning into the president the united states saying release the memo. this is the environment he confronts every day. that's, it's an explanation of sorts for how he's acting. he will have to answer to history happens all of these lawmakers will. regardless of what happens, but there is intense pressure, you sense it up there in the reporting from these members to keep moving forward in the house. >> there seems to also be a lot of ...