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And politics there after were seen as highly unusual factors that kept republicans from losing seats they might have otherwise been expected to lose in the 2002 mid-terms. with those extenuating circumstances, republicans really didn t lose ground in that first george w. bush midterm but republicans arguably paid double the next time around in 2006, after george w. bush got re-elected in 04, his party lost control of the house and senate in 2006. and that s the pattern of how it usually goes in mid-terms, the party that holds the white house usually has a bad night on midterm election nights. that s one way to think about the elections coming up this year, in historical context. you go all the way back to truman administration in 1946, look at the first midterm of a new presidency, you are looking at a sea of losses. there s a reason all those bars on that bar graph go down. ....
At a sea of losses. there s a reason all those bars on that bar graph go down. it would be normal, business as usual to expect president trump s republican party to lose ground in congress this november. of course, nothing is normal anymore. how do we tell this year? how do we tell if the historic pattern is going to hold this year, this november, in a year democrats taking control of congress would mean a completely different world in washington both in terms of policy but honestly also in terms of the myriad scandals of this new administration? how do we tell what s going to happen? short answer, i don t know. the smart money these days tends to say the generic ballot is the best metric to look at. poll on this simple question. which party do you want to be in control in washington, the generic ballot. most experts say that s the best finger in the wind for these kinds of things. the problem this year, it s been all over the place. just over the past few months, the polling on that g ....
Expected to lose in the 2002 midterms. with those extenuating circumstances, republicans really didn t lose ground in that first george w. bush midterm. but, republicans arguably paid double the next time around in 2006. after george w. bush got re-elected in 04, his party lost control of both the house and the senate in 2006. and that s the pattern of how it usually goes in midterms. the party that holds the white house usually has a bad night on midterm election nights. and that s one way to think about the elections that are coming up this year, in historical context. you go all the way back to the truman administration of 1946. you look at the first midterm o of a new presidency, and you are looking at a sea of losses. there s a reason all those bars on that bar graph go down. it would be normal, it would be business as usual to expect president trump s republican party to lose ground in congress this november. but, of course, nothing is ....
On that bar graph go down. it would be normal, it would be business as usual to expect president trump s republican party to lose ground in congress this november. but, of course, nothing is normal anymore. how do we tell this year? how do we tell if the historic pattern is going to hold this year, this november, in a year when democrats taking control of congress would mean a completely different world in washington, both in terms of policy, but honestly, also in terms of the myriad scandals of this new administration. how do we tell what s going to happen? short answer, i don t know. the smart money these days tends to say that the generic ballot is the best metric to look at. just poll on this simple question. which party do you want to be in control in washington. that s called the generic ballot question. and a lot of experts say that s the best finger in the wind for predicting elections, like this year s midterms. the problem with that as a metric this year is that that particul ....
With those extenuating circumstances, republicans really didn t lose ground in that first george w. bush midterm. but republicans arguably paid double the next time around in 2006. after george w. bush got re-elected in 04, his party lost control of both the house and the senate in 2006. and that s the pattern of how it usually goes in midterms. the party that holds the white house usually has a bad night on midterm election nights. and that s one way to think about the elections that are coming up this year, in historical context. you go all the way back to the truman administration of 1946. you look at the first midterm of a new presidency, and you are looking at a sea of losses. there s a reason all those bars on that bar graph go down. it would be normal, it would be business as usual to expect president trump s republican party to lose ground in congress this november. but of course, nothing is normal anymore. ....