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Footy fenews, that's just remarkable. >> footy news? >> world football, that's what i'm going to call it. it's not soccer. with us chief political correspondent for politico, mike allen, who's here with the "morning playbook" and i guess we should start with elena kagan, who looks like a safe pick but why is politico reporting she could have a bumpy ride? >> she's probably a safe pick. republicans don't have enough vote to stop her. we're predicting 65 votes to confirm her. republicans want to make it, as you suggest, a bumpy ride. republicans don't want president obama to are the excitement...

Hounded out of office. every democrat that voted for this needs to know safe district or not they are going to be exposed and hassled and chased from office. we need to defeat these bastards. we need to wipe them out. >> richard, who wins politically based on the vote last night in the house looking toward november? >> well, i think a lot depends on where you think november is going to be fought. if it's about base turnout, the anger you heard from rush is more helpful -- not just helpful to rush limbaugh and his audience it gets the base motiva motivated. the conservatives have done a good jo...

So i think there's a very strong rationale at this point, particularly when you think about midterm elections being determined by base turnout, which is what people generally think is the case and people are very worried about the differentiated levels of enthusiasm on the left and right. this is the kind of thing that can really invigorate the progressive base of the democratic party. >> specifically about reid, though, those numbers from nevada are startling. >> yeah. >> that he is in trouble and they don't like the bill he's passed, but the thing that he has not gotten done and seems to be ...

Out of one state. they don't have their path to 270. someone using analogy of throwing spaghetti at the wall to find something, colorado, michigan, maybe new mexico. that's what you do when you are stuck. they can win florida, north carolina and ohio and still be short. >> what about this, clinton today, pittsburgh, detroit, cleveland. big places we have all heard of. trump all places where the pop los angeles at the rally and they are getting big crowds exceeded the population of the populous of the local town. what's that about? >> he's going to his base. they are both driving a base turnout...