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Stock market crash: CIO warns of 20% drop in S&P as 10-yr yields rise

10-year Treasury yields have risen to their highest levels since before the pandemic in recent days.
James McDonald, CIO at Hercules Investments, told Insider he expects yields to continue rising.
He said they could rise to 2.5% by the end of March and trigger a 20% sell-off in the S&P 500.
Yields on 10-year Treasury notes have spiked to a one-year high over the last month, rising above 1.5% as COVID-19 cases fall and vaccinations continue — positive developments for the economic recovery ahead.
According to James McDonald, chief investment officer of the alternative asset manager Hercules Investments, the bleeding isn't likely to stop anytime in the coming weeks.

United-states , America , James-mcdonald , Savita-subramanian , Federal-reserve , Mcdonald , Nasdaq , Hercules-investments , There-is-now , Bi-prime , Investing , Stock-market-crash

Stock market crash risks: 6 Rosenberg charts show extreme conditions

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Economist David Rosenberg is warning that the S&P 500 is due for lackluster returns this year.
He said the S&P 500's most expensive stocks could see a median 30% drop, like in the dot-com bubble.
He laid out in several charts how extreme investor euphoria has become.
Investor euphoria has seemed to reach a particular level of bizarreness this year.
Stock indices are at all-time-highs despite an uneven economic recovery and the risk that new strains of COVID-19 may prolong the global pandemic.

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Stock market bubble: Ray Dalio warns of period of weak returns ahead

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In an exclusive interview with Insider, Ray Dalio said he expects a period of weak returns in stocks.
He said low interest rates are fueling a bubble that will eventually burst.
Major Wall Street banks are bullish on the direction of equity markets, however.
With the
Federal Reserve
pinning down interest rates, return-hungry investors have turned to stocks for the income bonds would have provided in a different era. But with all of this appreciation in stocks, little upside potential remains, according to legendary investor Ray Dalio.

Ray-dalio , Market-committee , Wall-street , Federal-reserve , Bridgewater-associates , Federal-open-market-committee , Investing , Bi-prime , Stock-market-bubble , Stock-bubble , Stock-market-crash , Stock-market-returns

Stock market bubble: Rogers warns tech & bitcoin getting overextended

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Jim Rogers says bubbles are developing in some areas of the market, especially in tech stocks.
Rogers also said bitcoin appeared to be in bubble territory.
He is bullish on several assets and shared four he would invest in for his daughter in the next decade.
Jim Rogers is worried about the state of the market. And he says you should be too.
That may seem bizarre considering stocks are near record highs with an economic recovery — which will likely be aided by more robust stimulus from a Democratic-controlled government — still waiting in the months and years ahead.

New-york , United-states , China , London , City-of , United-kingdom , Chinese , America , Jim-rogers , Google , Samsung , Rogers-holdings

Market crash: If this bubble bursts, it could trigger unrest: Albert Edwards

But there is one bubble that seems to be flying under investors' radars: food prices.
Société Générale's market strategist, Albert Edwards, thinks there is a bubble forming in food prices and it could have major consequences.
The long-time market bear first flagged the issue in a December 17, 2020, research note. Now he is reiterating the message on January 14.
Edwards has been watching the UN's Food and Agriculture FAO Food Price Index (FFPI), an index that tracks changes in the international prices of the most globally traded food commodities, such as oilseeds, dairy products, meat and sugar.
The FAO Food Price Index has been surging. In December 2020, the index hit a three-year high, following a consecutive increase across seven months.

China , Tunisia , United-states , Russia , France , French , Russian , Americans , America , Albert-edwards , Mohamed-bouazizi , Abdolreza-abbassian

Stock-market crash: BofA's top strategist warns of bubble developing

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Bank of America's "Bull & Bear" indicator showed sentiment climbed on a 1-10 scale to 7.1 last week from 6.7 on December 17.
This prompted Bank of America's chief investment strategist, Michael Hartnett, to say in a January 7 note that investors were rationalizing "increasingly irrational price action on Wall St."
Hartnett laid out six warning signs to watch that could signal a bear market is beginning.
Investor sentiment has climbed from rock bottom in March to what is now approaching extremes on the other end of the spectrum — and it's starting to worry Bank of America's top strategist.

China , Shanghai , United-states , Chinese , America , Albert-edwards , Michael-hartnett , Jeremy-grantham , David-hunter , Liz-ann-sonders , Mark-yusko , Hartnett

Stock market crash: Strategist warns of "biggest" bubble ever

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Market strategist Sven Henrich, who warned of the crash before it occurred in February 2020, says "we are staring at the largest valuations and technical disconnects ever."
He said the difference between current price levels and exponential moving averages shows stocks are again due for a pullback.
On February 20 last year, right at the market's top, Sven Henrich reiterated a warning.
"From my perch this market is the most dangerous we've seen since 2000," Henrich, the founder of NorthmanTrader, wrote in a post on his site.
Over the course of the following month, the market would go on to shed 35% of its value as the global pandemic worsened.

United-states , America , Marko-kolanovic , Michael-hartnett , Mike-wilson , Sven-henrich , Morgan-stanley , Federal-reserve , Nasdaq , Wall-street , Strategist-michael-hartnett , Investing