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Seth's graphic [click for big]: We've gone with Gabe Brown and Rocket Watts as starters, because who starts is always up in the air and they've played the most minutes recently. Also we've got two rows for the bench, because MSU. [Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.] THE THEM One thing you can say for Michigan State is there sure is a lot of it. A whopping twelve players have played at least 10% of MSU's minutes; Kenpom's lineup guess shows six different bodies playing some minutes at center. Tom Izzo has been running a blender all year as he tries to find lineups that work and frequent...

The latest metrics and projections for Illinois basketball heading into March Madness

The Louisville loss made the path narrower, but it persists nonetheless

Recap all the Big Ten action from Wednesday.

@OSU (46%) Illinois needs Michigan to lose at least twice to have a chance. Going by win percentage, 15-2 (88.2%) edges out 17-3 (85.0%), which would be the case if M drops a game and the Illini win out. 14-3 is an 82.4% mark, so running the table would do it for the Illini if the Wolverines lost two of their remaining games. About that last bit: given the above win probabilities, Illinois has a 7.2% chance at winning out. Say Illinois goes 4-1 down the stretch; that'd put them at 16-4 (80.0%). Michigan could lose two games to close the season and still edge them out in win percentage, albeit...