Page 4 - Calculus Changes News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

A red state. does that put him as a credible candidate as well? >> he is credible, and governors, we have seen that in the pipeline in recent american political history. he's saying not only did he win in a red state, but he won in the same day that trump won montana by 20 points. he's making his first trim to iowa. he's not shy and neither is his campaign about saying it's iowa or bust for them. they have to make something happen to show he's a credible contender. i think you'll see him plant himself in iowa. the attorney general there is helping him out. >> that's really the thing, you could...

Sitting here right now. >> 595 days. >> 595 days, thank you. how quickly all of that can change in politics. we saw it in 2016 on the road. yeah, things are looking a lot tougher. i think if you are thinking about this through the lens of a possible republican primary or how the republican party thinks about this, it was a better question of if they were better with him or without him. right now the republicans are making the judgment they can't win without him, the base is still with him. and the only thing i again think is going to change whether he's nominee or not is that fundamental calcu...

I think republicans are losing faith that the president has a winning political instinct here. if there's anything we know about politicians, it's that they respond to their perceived political incentives. if they start to feel like being with trump is politically dangerous for them, for now they still feel like it's politically necessary because their base still supports the president much more strongly than it supports republicans in congress. they've repeatedly chosen him over the traditional republicans. if that starts to change, then the whole political calculus changes. >> we'll find out...

Without the danger -- >> he's still president. >> he's still president, but you started to see a little bit with the saudi arabia thing, with lindsey graham, they're starting to peek out a little bit and speak up. i think you will see more and more of that. i don't think the big bad wolf seems as bad anymore. >> the political calculus for the republicans in the senate is that a lot of the senate races that were run by republicans because they aligned themselves with the president. you see lindsey graham who at one point was a voice for pretty right hand foreign policy and was fairly critical o...

Our differences peacefully. in the end we must recognize that we are all americans and we are stronger and healthier when we are united. >> now, i know that a lot of you guys are going to process this tivoli, like what do i care about nikki haley -- here's why this matters. one, she could be somebody who runs for president of the united states. i don't think it would happen against donald trump. that would take a lot of chutzpah to run in party, especially this next time, assuming that the president runs again. if not, all the calculus changes. but she could run after that. her big challenge f...