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CNN Debate Night in America Post-Debate Analysis October 3, 2024 - Vimarsana News

CNN Debate Night in America Post-Debate Analysis October 3, 2024

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CNNW Smerconish July 5, 2024 - Vimarsana News

CNNW Smerconish July 5, 2024

smerconish starts right now. is it over before it begins? i'm michael smerconish in philadelphia. before a single primary vote has been cast, has donald trump already sewn up the gop nomination or is it still up for grabs? everybody has an opinion. but the data tells a pretty compelling story. peggy noonan writing that i refuse to see the story as over. voting begins now. after chris christie dropped out, nate kohn wrote the christie vote alone will probably not be enough, but haley has been steady gaining in the polls and historically there is a lot of precedent for urge is being ...

CNNW Smerconish July 5, 2024 - Vimarsana News

CNNW Smerconish July 5, 2024

is it over before it begins? i'm michael smerconish in philadelphia. before a single primary vote has been cast, has donald trump already sown up the 2024 gop nomination, or is it still up for grabs? everybody has an opinion, but the data tells a pretty compelling story. peggy noonan in the "wall street journal" writing this week, i refuse to see the story is over. the voting begins now. after chris christie dropped out, "the new york times" wrote, the christie vote alone will probably not be enough, but haley has been steadily gaining in the polls and historically there's a lot of p...

CNN Smerconish June 4, 2024 14:09:00 - Vimarsana News

CNN Smerconish June 4, 2024 14:09:00

Predictive of what happens in iowa. that's observation one that i hope you'll speak to. and observation two is that even when there's an upset in iowa, the bounce is not what people might expect it to be headed into new hampshire. your thoughts? >> that's right. we looked at the historical data for an article next week coming out after the iowa caucuses because we wanted to know how much momentum does a candidate gain if they beat the polls or win iowa unexpectedly. we find that the candidate who does about one percentage point better -- i'll put it this way, every one percentage point a candi...

CNN Smerconish June 4, 2024 21:09:00 - Vimarsana News

CNN Smerconish June 4, 2024 21:09:00

Predictive of what happens in iowa. that is besis observation one. and observation two, even when there is an upset in iowa, the bounce is not what people might expect it to be headed in to new hampshire. your thoughts. >> that's right. we looked at the historical data for an article next week coming out after the iowa caucuses. because we wanted to know how much momentum does a candidate gain if they beat their polls or if they win iowa unexpectedly. we find that candidate who does about one percentage points better, i'll put this way, every one percentage point a candidate beats their polls ...