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BBCNEWS World Business Report July 7, 2024



hello and welcome to audiences in the uk and around the world. i m victoria fritz. we start here in the uk, with warnings that the country is set for the slowest growth of the g7 nations next year. for context, the uk is not alone, the imf says the global economy will shrink for the first time since 2020, why? partly the pandemic, partly the warn in ukraine, but the risk of recession is rising, and the uk is vulnerable. here are the numbers. the imf has revised down its growth for next year, from 1.2% to just 0.5%. significantly behind the us and europe at over i%, and the globalfigure of 2.9% growth in 2023. so why would the uk fare comparatively worse? well part of the problem is the uk s reliance on fossil fuels, making up 76% of our energy mix, compared tojust under 60% across the eu. let s listen to the imf s chief economist. the one thing that worries me more about the uk economy is that their inflation numbers seem to quite high, there are quite high gas prices a ....

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BBCNEWS World Business Report June 4, 2024 05:40:00

Many of you actually have jobs, show of hands. that gives you a sense of what people are experiencing in the us. chris campbelljoins us. good to have you on the programme. do you think they re fed is going to go maybe 0.5% rise today as opposed to the 7.5% increase as we have seen month on month? they don t like to spook the markets very much so his consensus will be half a percent. that is what we expect. percent. that is what we exuect- percent. that is what we expect. percent. that is what we exect. ~ . ., expect. what impact will have on the economy? expect. what impact will have on the economy? his - expect. what impact will have on the economy? his focus i expect. what impact will have | on the economy? his focus is, he is most worried about inflation still. 5. he is most worried about inflation still. he is most worried about inflation still. s, i think the chairman inflation still. s, i think the chairman has inflation still. s, i think the chairman has suggested i infl ....

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BBCNEWS World Business Report June 4, 2024 05:42:00

Won t it? there is no question. there is something in - won t it? there is no question. there is something in the - there is something in the american dna, wejust love to consume, even when the cost of capital goes up, capital is even when credit cards get more expensive. we have seen a lot of americans buying more on credit and the uptick on credit card spending is significant in the united states. we were forecasting a recession in the latter part of next year, probably late due to. it could last 12 months. that is what we are preparing for. it is in fortunate because of cause americans, 60% of us live pay check to pay check it is unfortunate. it will be most difficult for some families currently, even now, we re not in a recession, how a difficult time taking ends meet. bill time taking ends meet. all riaht, time taking ends meet. all right, chris, thanks foryour right, chris, thanks for your thoughts on what is ahead. chris campbell there on his thoughts on what the fed may d ....

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BBCNEWS World Business Report June 4, 2024 05:41:00

Interest rate as a top rate. it could be a little class or a little miners of that but we will probably look at something like that. 0bviously next year when we get there. we are not that far yet. but also inflation, as you suggest it may be peaking but it hasn t yet entirely peaked and 7% inflation is a lot more than 2% which is what the chairman and the federal reserve, us federal reserve, intends to get to the united states. 50 reserve, intends to get to the united states. reserve, intends to get to the united states. so chris, where are ou united states. so chris, where are you in united states. so chris, where are you in the united states. so chris, where are you in the big united states. so chris, where are you in the big debate - united states. so chris, where| are you in the big debate about whether the us will enter recession or not? in the new year. because it is a worry what will happen injanuary, february, march, when the credit bills come in. all of those consumers ....

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BBCNEWS World Business Report June 4, 2024 04:39:00

Bring inflation back.- bring inflation back. do you think the bring inflation back. do you think the united bring inflation back. do you think the united states - bring inflation back. do youj think the united states was late to the game in terms of recognising how persistent patient is and in raising interest rates? i patient is and in raising interest rates?- interest rates? i think everyone interest rates? i think everyone was late - interest rates? i think everyone was late to l interest rates? i think i everyone was late to the interest rates? i think - everyone was late to the game. we were everyone was late to the game. we were expecting inflation to be we were expecting inflation to he more we were expecting inflation to be more of a short lived problem then it proved to be. what problem then it proved to be. what we problem then it proved to be. what we realised is that the combination of fact as has been the perfect storm for inflation. supply disruption, strong ....

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