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Right now is elizabeth warren. it started in june where it was this sort of sheepish i think she neighbor dark horse. now there s sense there s so much momentum in her favor right now, while she may not be at the top of the polls, everything is going in the right direction for her. steve kornacki, how does iowa differ from the nation at large, and what s the danger inherent with the iowa caucus process is its own world, but what you say and do out there often counts toward how people see you in the general election? it s interesting. caucuses, not a primary, show up for three hours, stay in the room, have multiple rounds of voting. it takes a little bit more commitment. it tends to attract on the democratic side a much more liberal, activist-oriented electorate. you talk about elizabeth warren starting to move up there. that s a natural constituency for her in a lot of ways. the cliché is that iowa is an important state. ....
Electorate. you talk about elizabeth warren starting to move up there. that s a natural constituency for her in a lot of ways. the cliché is that iowa is an important state. the importance is more so in 2020. if win iowa, you can see that setting off a cascade of victories for him. he proves his legitimacy as front-runner. but if he loses, it could turn on him pretty fast. and the campaigns saying these early states aren t important to us if they feel it starts to go south. well, rudy giuliani saw the polls in iowa, new hampshire, he said i ll start in florida. went nowhere. al gore, when he ran in 1988, he said i m not going to win iowa and new hampshire, i ll jump start it in the south. we ve yet to see a candidate in the modern era do that. and beto o rourke, polling at ....
Particularly the african-american vote. warren s coalition is made up of groups that have a lot of enthusiasm heading into 2020. she s up double digits among democrats who identify as liberal, women with college degrees or more, white women and voters who say they want large scale change. and while both warren and biden with bidding formidable democratic coalitions, it s by no means a two way race exclusively, not yet. while 56% back biden or warren, 41% say they prefer somebody else right now including 14% who are backing bernie sanders who has his own coalition of much younger voters. but as we said yesterday we re starting to see the sorting process begin a bit, and ultimately democrats will need their eventual nominee to get both those coalitions onboard. we re going to talk more about that on the other side of this. but i m going to give you a cliché, the beer track and the wine track. we ll talk about that right after the break. track we ll talk about that right after the break. ....
Apparently was able to do that white gunman was distracted. yes tr yes, it was a heroic effort. the police chief said it was astounding and incredible that more officers weren t hurt and wound seriously. there was also concern about the residents here. for hours there were bullets just flying everywhere. as you can see behind me, it s a very dense neighborhood, these very narrow streets in philadelphia in this north philadelphia neighborhood not far from where this is all happening. way down the street down there is when the incident actually unfolded. there was a daycare center with as many as 80 young chern wildro were sheltering in place and then evacuated. the old cliché it was a war zone, but it did seem like a war zone to people living around here. bullets flying everywhere. the suspect was taken in custody, the six officers were ....
In terms of recruiting. i don t want to dismiss that because the more senate races you can at least make republicans have to fight for, the better off you are. and the better chance you have of picking off some of the winnable races. but if amy mcgrath wants to beat mitch mcconnell, the best thing she can do, i m being a little glib here. if she was a republican running at him from the right and saying we need some fresh conservative blood, he s been there long enough, i think that that might have a better chance. i think the other thing to understand about mitch mcconnell is that we use the old cliché about not taking things for granted. this is a politician that likes the fight, that has already months ago prepared an entire campaign against mcgrath on the chance that she might run. he s already prepared a campaign against other democrats that might run. plans he ll probably be able to leave on the shelf but he s prepared nonetheless. so a lot of politicians at his age, and he s in ....