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An increase of 1.5 °C (2.7 °F) above pre-industrial average temperatures is seen as a dangerous threshold for the climate of our planet. The official Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) estimated that it could happen by 2052. A new study has put forward a stricter range; the threshold will be crossed between 2027 and 2042. As reported in Climate Dynamics, researchers have developed a Scaling Climate Response Function (SCRF) to extrapolate changes to temperatures up to the year 2100. The new method differs from the General Circulation Models (GCMs) used by the IPCC, which try to...

Novel Method to Predict Global Warming with Lower Uncertainties Written by AZoCleantechDec 22 2020 According to a new study, the threshold for hazardous global warming will probably be encountered between 2027 and 2042, which is a considerably narrower window compared to the predictions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for the period between now and 2052. Image Credit: McGill University. Published in the Climate Dynamics journal, the study reports a new and more accurate method developed by scientists from McGill University to predict the temperature of the Earth. By using hi...

 E-Mail The threshold for dangerous global warming will likely be crossed between 2027 and 2042 - a much narrower window than the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's estimate of between now and 2052. In a study published in Climate Dynamics, researchers from McGill University introduce a new and more precise way to project the Earth's temperature. Based on historical data, it considerably reduces uncertainties compared to previous approaches. Scientists have been making projections of future global warming using climate models for decades. These models play an important role in unde...