Page 40 - Computer Model News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

Wreaking havoc there through the caribbean, karen. but all eyes on florida. when and where do we expect it to make landfall in. >> i am so glad you asked me that first. because we can tell you all the computer models and who's doing what differently and what they say. here we are early friday morning. we go into early saturday morning. still not going to make landfall. maybe saturday night, maybe sunday morning. that's our window. so there's 48 hours right there. the window is closing so fast for you. if you're deciding at the last minute, we're going to leave, that window is shutting down pre...

Hurricane irma remains an extremely dangerous category 5 storm in the dominican republic and haiti bracing for the worst after this storm tore through and devastated the island of barbuda yesterday. >> chad myers is there to give us the latest sense. chad? >> i'm seeing a slight wobble to the right. it's a wobble in the eye that a computer model can't predict. it's too broad of a model, compared to the mesoscale or microscale. there's the eye of the storm. we zoom right in. notice the last couple frames, how it tries to turn to the right a little bit. does it turn back to the left? likely. is ...

These are all different models, consensus model here. as we go, this canadian model here just off the coast of flori florida, that's only about 25 miles off the coast. so that likely would put the western eyewall on shore. if we get something like this yellow line, hurricane work model that's 50 miles off shore, almost closer to what matthew did, when it went right over this island in freeport and the bahamas. that's what we'll be tracking so closely, stephanie, throughout the next two days. if we get that path 50 miles off the coast, the eye will stay out of southeast florida. one of these tr...

The right occurs of who will have a landfall, in florida or carolinas and at what time. let me show you a computer model. we will put the european and u.s. back to back, on top of each other. you wand to see them trending together. that gives you confidence. there's always a spread in the end, but not much here. this is sunday afternoon near west palm, miami. now let's take a look at, of course, monday, which is september 11th. both systems bring it up into the southeast with a landfall here, but it could be anywhere, john. we are hoping for a small window to keep it off-shore, but that window...

Tom, this is going to be something to watch over the next several days. >> well, exactly, jim. in fact, i want everybody to make sure they understand that. this is a long-term event. so, what i share with you now, let's say i show you a model that shows a land fall in miami as a category 4 next saturday, do not think miami is going to have a category 4 next saturday. every day is important. every computer model run that come out a couple times a day is important. any deviation to the north and south is going to change the end game. but here's what we do know. notice the sustained winds, 130 mi...