Page 46 - Computer Model News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

Here's monday morning, tuesday morning. center of the cone. highly most concentrated probability but the cone is wide, from west virginia to halfway to bermuda. let's talk about our computer models. why are they doing so poorly or changing their mind? we don't have people living in the middle of the atlantic ocean. we don't have the population density and data density as we do over the u.s. to say, is it going to rain in d.c.? if you say, is it going to rain in bermuda? you have 1,000 miles of nothing between you and bermuda so there's 1,000 miles of loss of data. the hurricane center flying t...

Quite the celebration there in the locker room. bill is here now. >> that's how we celebrate, jonathan. >> yeah, i know. i'm sorry i'm not there with you but i'm very much looking forward to seeing where the cone of uncertainty is today. >> yeah, it goes all the way from here to where you are, by the way. the cone of uncertainty still huge. one thing we do know, let's talk about what we do know. we still have to wait for the computer models to give us a little bit better guidance on where the storm is going to end up. we're going to deal with possibly historic flooding rain in the carolinas....

Top of them. after that the track diverges. steve started the conversation with rain. that is a concern but there is a concern that this storm will hit the eastern seaboard as a hurricane. could be cat one or cat two. latest computer models trying to hook it towards the carolinas but also possibility of further north movement. one computer model brings this out to sea and that would spare a lot of rainfall and a lot of the heavier impacts. it stands alone. it is the european computer model. there is joaquin and it pushes it out to sea. we have a situation where it looks like heavy rainfall lik...

By saturday morning, we're looking at a major hurricane, a category 3. and then that's the crucial, critical timeline. where does joaquin go after that major hurricane? one theory is it looks like it may take a jog to the west and move inland across the carolinas. that would be sunday morning to sunday afternoon as a potential strong category 2 or category 3 storm. or if it parallels the storm, it could move closer to the delmarva peninsula and around new york city as a weaker storm. but still the potential is there for a messy setup. this is the current spaghetti model and this trend keeps ch...

Possibility of four inches of rain. that's a lot of rain in a short period of time. hasn't rained in a long time so the ground is really hard. the runoff is going to be quick into the small streams. then tropical storm joaquin could put a big question mark over the top of this forecast. it's not going to be near any land areas over the next three days. some of our computers have it going up to a hurricane. some have it remaining a tropical storm. here's the item of concern. it then gets picked up friday into saturday heading northwards and the latest forecast from the hurricane center has it s...