DW The Day September 4, 2019 00:16:00
Predicting. i think the cone people look at that most say ok if i'm in the cone danger of out of the cone no danger at all and in reality the cone has nothing to do with how confident we are and we look at that we might think oh this is a range of possibilities instead the cone is just based on historical error from the national hurricane center so they look at all the paths of the last 5 years how well their forecast did and then that's how they determine the width of the cone so it really just shows different areas of the storm might go based on historical performance but torrence been tough...
Source: archive.org