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Presidential election. we're talking about a margin of 77,000. that's a lot of people. >> why is that message permea permeating leadership in the house? there hasn't been a moment with nancy pelosi surrounding them with democrats. >> because nancy pelosi is trying to preserve her majority. while she knows that's part of the majority, they didn't flip to create that majority. she's focused on virginia and richmond, and a much more conservative electorate that she is facing.

Red turning purple, and not only because of women voters, female voters, but also the increased participation of gen-xers and millennials? >> yeah, i mean, look, that's what republicans were so jarred by with this doug jones win in alabama. he was not buoyed by a conservative electorate. he was buoyed by an active millennial base in support of suburbanite and suburban women. that's a trend we've been seeing for a while, younger voters and suburbanites moving away from the gop. and if democrats are to take the senate, the house or both chambers, they're going to rally a lot of those voters and ...

Moore. and the allegations of these women are not even part of the piece. >> let's remember what we're focused on in terms of a national program about the race is different day in and day out. voters are hearing -- they're of course hearing about the women. but the differences on approach to abortion. what is going to motivate a conservative electorate. we have to bear that in mind. >> in terms of who and what will motivate the electorate, president trump did not need to jump in here. he did. and former president obama has recorded a robocall for doug jones. >> i don't know if they have used t...

Electorate that could be a problem zpr as a social conservative it's interesting. not cast the first stone kind of conservative. >> no. he's a happy -- >> he's a redemption guy. >> yes. >> and has a happy face and sells that message very well. >> he's very good at it. if you followed him around he was very good at that. >> tax cuts for people in upper income levels he doesn't like that. he says we shouldn't touch entitlements and if you do you're hurting the people. >> this is his liability in the race. much more conservative electorate these days grass roots out there. that translates into as...

Bridgegate mess. let's talk a quick 2016. ben carson do you give him -- you know him well april. you just got reporting on him. >> i just talked to him before we came on the air. he actually has raids from $3 to 5 million the last six weeks. he is excited about making this announcement. he is talking about one of the central pieces is criminal justice. he's also talking about the heart issue and dealing with the heart. he is in it to win it for the long haul. we'll see what happens. >> of those three candidates announcing, fiorina carson, huckabee which one will be relevant on march 1st 2016? ...