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If you can't win some of these bigger states, he simply does not have the numbers to get to 270. >> scott, in your mind, you say without florida and north carolina, this is pretty tough. can you envision a scenario that you see 270 for trump? >> sure, i mean, i think he has a chance to win. on election night, we'll look to florida, as mark murray said earlier on the show. if he wins florida, we're in for a long night of counting vote in a lot of states. if he loses florida, which may come in early, the returns, then it's probably going to be a very short night. so after florida, let's say he w...

For four dead americans. now, i did not intend to imply in any way that that work is political. >> joining me now with the rest of our panel is "the washington post" political reporter robert costa. good morning. >> good morning. >> what on earth was he thinking when he said that? >> mccarthy's still adjusting to the national spotlight. when you're the majority leader of the united states it's more of a background role. you're counting vote, keeping members in line. now he has to step up. he's going to be third in line to the presidency. newt gingrich said it was a transition even for him in 1...

Quick analysis with our political reporter david chalian. the caveat is the individual mandate remains in he's a yes, but if it remains in and we have the senator baseball card on the screen, other senators will be out. >> like that one from maine, susan collins who expressed the mandate repeal being a part of the tax bill, brooke. as you know, this is what it's all about when counting vote, right? you have to figure out what needs to be there in order to get the 51 votes they need. when you take rand paul's yes or likely yes because of the individual mandate, you begin to understand why the i...

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